IllinoisWedges Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 4 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Yep, but it’s a start. Get the ground cold and hopefully have a good setup to get a white Christmas Hopefully we can bag a bigger storm later on in the month. GFS shows this giant E trough relaxing a bit towards the latter half of the run but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 4 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: As mentioned above, the latest HRRR has solid mid-60's tomorrow. Record for Chicago tomorrow is 66 (1998). MSN/MKE look vulnerable... records 60 for both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 HRRR gust map looks fairly impressive at 17z tomorrow. This is knots so some areas are 45-50 mph on here. Question will be how much effect the expected cloudiness has.Yea, the amount of mixing is still in question. Either way it will be windy, but difference will be 30-40mph or 40-55mph.3km is most bullish, but the HRRRx and HRRR are fairly windy as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 LOT just issued a Wind Advisory for their CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Last warm day of the year... currently 62 over here, should climb a few more degrees through late afternoon. I'd love to get lucky and hear thunder later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 15 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: Last warm day of the year... currently 62 over here, should climb a few more degrees through late afternoon. I'd love to get lucky and hear thunder later. The slower frontal timing should help chances. Gonna be a close call. 60/50 here with a ripping south wind. Surface pressure should drop a good 8mb between now and early evening when the front arrives. Going to be interesting watching the dews crash from the upper 50s to the upper 20s in less than 6hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Skies are looking nice in central Iowa today, like an early March feel, before the front hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 11/26/2017 at 10:48 PM, cmillzz said: Why are they even discussing something that's 2+ weeks out? Never seen that in a NWS discussion before. It's 2017, this stuff verifies more than it doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Upper 60s in central Iowa, and upper 30s in northwest Iowa right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 65 at ORD. That is the 17th time that Chicago has hit 65 or higher in December, so it's about a 1 in 8-9 yr occurrence on average. The last time was December 2012. 11/17 have occurred in the first six days of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 65 at ORD. That is the 17th time that Chicago has hit 65 or higher in December, so it's about a 1 in 8-9 yr occurrence on average. The last time was December 2012. 11/17 have occurred in the first six days of the month.65 was the final for today at ORD, so just missed the record.65 at MDW as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 It sure was nice experiencing a good thundershower again. I think this was our first since early October. The 0.30" of rain might be the heaviest precip event we see this entire month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Although it may not seem like it, our first inch of snow is coming right about on average, assuming that the end of the week clipper can do that, and I'm fairly confident we can score at least an inch out of it, DVN agrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XfireLOW Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 I got 6-8" of heavy wet snow today so far with some light snow still falling. There was about an hour of steady rain before changing to snow, probably could have added 2-3" to the total if the rain had been snow. Its still close to 30f here and feels awfully strange for a December snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 How so you mean strange for december Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Getting some decent gusts now. There's a ton of leaves on the lawn now and I have no idea where they came from lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XfireLOW Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 5 minutes ago, tim123 said: How so you mean strange for december Well rain in any form is not the norm in December for the MN/Canadian border. It happens occasionally but not a more than a drizzle, today was out right steady rain for nearly an hour before changing to snow. Having a storm transition from rain to snow is strange enough here. I know its more common elsewhere, but up here by the time the colder air arrives, the moisture is gone almost always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 65/56 with a roaring south wind and a few sprinkles. The last moments of this nice stretch of warmth. Heavy downpours and the cold front less than 15 mins away.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Brief cell popped up here and probably gusted near 50 mph with it. South facing windows were rockin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 After reaching a record high of 69 degrees 7hrs ago, it's now currently snowing lightly in Des Moines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 56 mph gust in Waukegan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/2/2017 at 0:43 PM, Hoosier said: I think the Monday wind is getting underplayed a little. Still think there could be gusts near advisory criteria in the warm sector... if not during the daylight hours then by evening. It's usually not as favorable of a location for stronger gusts as the post frontal/CAA regime, but in this case we have a deepening surface low which results in a pressure gradient of near/over 50 mb between the sfc low and the sfc high around New England. The instantweathermaps gust maps are really bullish with an area of 50+ mph but imo that is probably overdone. Instantweathermaps FTW ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ TUESDAY... The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a Wind Advisory...which is in effect until 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ Tuesday. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * South to southwest winds to 30 mph with gusts to 40 to 45 mph shifting to the west overnight. * The strongest southerly winds are expected from 1000 PM to 1 AM EST. West winds behind a cold front may gust to 40 to 45 mph late tonight. IMPACTS... * Loose objects will be blown around. * High profile vehicles will be difficult to drive. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or gusts of 45 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Getting thunder/lightning to pop with the convection east of Chicago now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 I would imagine a very rare thunderstorm in december in Marquette right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 I was outside using the leaf blower around 1 today when all of a sudden it get really dark, and BAM, a thunderstorm with white lightning, downpours, and strong wind gusts. Who would have thought our most interesting thunderstorm of the year would be on December 4th.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 57 degrees in Minneapolis at 2 this afternoon, and now snowing with the ground covered (according to webcams I checked out). Winter is coming!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 9 minutes ago, blackrock said: 57 degrees in Minneapolis at 2 this afternoon, and now snowing with the ground covered (according to webcams I checked out). Winter is coming!!!!! First Post, Can confirm snowing moderately and accumulating in Minneapolis. Was very warm this weekend and earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Just now, ORDIOWPITMSP said: First Post, Can confirm snowing moderately and accumulating in Minneapolis. Was very warm this weekend and earlier today. Welcome! Thanks for sharing. We don't have too many Minnesotans on this board, so it will be nice to hear your updates. Enjoy the snowfall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 For Mets: The GFS is showing a Low Pressure moving south along the Lake Michigan shoreline for Friday night/Saturday. That definitely seems like an odd direction. Would it be showing a Meso-low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, blackrock said: Welcome! Thanks for sharing. We don't have too many Minnesotans on this board, so it will be nice to hear your updates. Enjoy the snowfall! Thanks, I'll be sure to fill in the gap for the area. Not to sound creepy but I've been a long time lurker, and probably qualify as a full fledged cold and snow weenie. I'm a geologist by trade so I don't have quite the technical background on weather and forecasting as some of the others here, but do enjoy listening and learning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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