Baroclinic Zone Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: And now that I say that GFS looks more interesting. What a cluster**** the GFS is. Completely changed the upper air look from 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Yeah that is a close call on GFS...gets eastern MA with some decent snows on Friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that is a close call on GFS...gets eastern MA with some decent snows on Friday night. The GEFS and EPS have some interesting outliers with Friday. Will have to see if we can thread the needle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that is a close call on GFS...gets eastern MA with some decent snows on Friday night. Trending Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The GEFS and EPS have some interesting outliers with Friday. Will have to see if we can thread the needle. GGEM tries to play ball too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 CMC snows Friday night overnight into Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Fresh deep snow for the gtg on Monday night 12/18 per GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 12z GFS shows another winter storm threat next Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Weenie run of GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Weenie run of GFS. Run from Kevin's basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Run from Kevin's basement. We will confirm for sure if it doesn't show the 12/22 cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 32 minutes ago, leo2000 said: I don't think I have ever seen a -EPO that low before wow!!!. Have you ever seen one at all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 16 minutes ago, weathafella said: Trending Gfs east bias. Correct it and we all dig out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 #december2remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We will confirm for sure if it doesn't show the 12/22 cutter. Worse. 12/24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: Worse. 12/24. That actually makes more sense...given recent years. Get that 55F rainstorm on Xmas eve to wash away a 10" snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 12z gfs says "you're a mean one, Mr. Grinch". Hopefully the torch is short lived. <edit> But atleast it has a follow up storm to replenish the pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Looks rather promising with that trough setup for the 16th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 2 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Ok, so from what I can see these two quotes are completely opposite? One guy says it(LR) looks incredible, the other says the LR is wretched? The GFS says one thing at 0z, and then the complete Opposite at 6z? Obviously it's an OP run and all that....just amazing how opposite the two posts are. I think we were focusing on different time frames as well. nzucker was looking at the end of the run (the 27th) whereas I was looking at the week leading up to Christmas. Anyway all the but the last Grinch storm was gone in the latest run so the GFS be GFSing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 You can wrap that up and put a bow on it. That 23-27th timeframe will feature a Rainer of some sort. GFS displays this well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 The GFS is such a fickle one....it's like a box of Chocolates as Gump would say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 21 minutes ago, weathafella said: Worse. 12/24. With a deepening -EPO and a burgeoning block, I will go out on a limb and say, ain't happening James. GFS shows the trough too far west based on this look. I would totally expect this to change a lot if that configuration was to hold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: With a deepening -EPO and a burgeoning block, I will go out on a limb and say, ain't happening James. GFS shows the trough too far west based on this look. I would totally expect this to change a lot if that configuration was to hold Tell that to the 1980s....lol. It can happen and hopefully won’t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Just a parade of shortwaves diving out of Canada in the long range. We graciously accept. Nice -EPO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 EPO pinching off like that can def support a trough folding back to the west. That's where either a -NAO would help, or keeping the PNA ridge intact rather than the EPO pinching off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Deep winter locking in. If you failed to prepare last week, there may be time this week to do so. Get ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 12z GFS does what the other past runs couldn't do, and so did the NAM, they moved that front shortwave out faster, in fact, the NAM develops it into a nice coastal storm 3-6" deal for the Cape, while the GFS keeps it weak and fast and allows the second shortwave the more powerful shortwave to dig further west and impact the coastline into the CT River Valley with warning snows, maybe a foot on the Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPO pinching off like that can def support a trough folding back to the west. That's where either a -NAO would help, or keeping the PNA ridge intact rather than the EPO pinching off. This makes more sense to me intuitively. GFS undercut the ridge too far West Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 5 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 12z GFS does what the other past runs couldn't do, and so did the NAM, they moved that front shortwave out faster, in fact, the NAM develops it into a nice coastal storm 3-6" deal for the Cape, while the GFS keeps it weak and fast and allows the second shortwave the more powerful shortwave to dig further west and impact the coastline into the CT River Valley with warning snows, maybe a foot on the Cape Time to fire up a thread for a foot of snizzles on the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 24 minutes ago, weathafella said: Tell that to the 1980s....lol. It can happen and hopefully won’t. wanna bet the GEFS don't show that 5H look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.