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Late autumn, early winter model mayhem


Typhoon Tip

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19 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

It looks like we could have a full on phased jet structured storm system become a large nor'easter with snow and wind come Friday of this week and into Saturday, GFS shows the jets disconnected now, but we just need the northern stream to speed up some, which has happened in the past, remember the Blizzard of 2010, Boxing Day Blizzard 2010?

 No guidance has it.  Phased solutions are not favored.

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1 hour ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

It looks like we could have a full on phased jet structured storm system become a large nor'easter with snow and wind come Friday of this week and into Saturday, GFS shows the jets disconnected now, but we just need the northern stream to speed up some, which has happened in the past, remember the Blizzard of 2010, Boxing Day Blizzard 2010?

We're about 18 hours out-of-synch.  Long shot, but worth watching.

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6 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

Keep the core of the cold in the Great Lakes and it's game on this winter.

Keeps a general cold W/SW flow advecting lake moisture into portions of New England during the boring times to keep the snow threat going.  Also stops us from having the dreaded suppression when the cold core is over us.  

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I think Will is right when he said after Wednesday looks like a better chance for snow cover on the coastal plain.  The Friday into Saturday systems looks like a far south enough tracking clipper low to bring Chicago, IL to Pittsburgh, PA to Philadelphia, PA snows and further north into SNE, there is just enough arctic jet energy in the trough to get a coastal low going, perhaps turn into a nor'easter.

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