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Late autumn, early winter model mayhem


Typhoon Tip

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Most are aware of this but ... the oper. GFS has been, other than very minor differences ... steadfastly insisting on that thing next week being a northern routed Clipper as the best tropospheric reflection of the deep layer system.  

which sucks... but not totally..  there's a weird look to that QPF that's accompanied every solution going back like eight cycles at this point ... where it's all arced on the polarward side ... it's like it's snowing light to moderately along and n of rt 2 and nothing in CT...  every single run.  huh

other than that?  this was a great run for winter enthusiasts... it was also a great run for actionable items in general.  how about the 1921 reduxed ice storm ending as an over-to-snow coastal around D10....   

basically, you're looking at something to track on an ~ 2.5 day periodicity - 

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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I knew it was time to worry.

Is it rain or just not much snow?

Just not much snow. Still gives a bit. Even GFS gives some. But maybe like a inch or two and then a dryslot as the low tracks north of us. 

Maybe some drops mixed in in far southern and southeast areas. 

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