weathafella Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Please put all the posts in one paragraph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Anyway...that was a pretty potent s/w digging through the Plains, but there's lots of s/w's in the flow. Good luck figuring it out outside of 2-3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 We continue with AOA normal temperatures until the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 00z GFS makes the mid week storm a bomb at the benchmark, 985mb, it does it as it closes off at H5, 00z GFS shows the western PNA ridge located further west, allowing our jets to phase closer to the benchmark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: We continue with AOA normal temperatures until the weekend. What shows that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: What shows that? All guidance. mid 40s tomorrow-maybe 48 for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Tomorrow I am at 45F sure tomorrow, but Friday I am in the low 40s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 00z GFS makes the mid week storm a bomb at the benchmark, 985mb, it does it as it closes off at H5, 00z GFS shows the western PNA ridge located further west, allowing our jets to phase closer to the benchmark No wonder we’re losing wars. We think farts are bombs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Tomorrow I am at 45F sure tomorrow, but Friday I am in the low 40s Not exactly wintry James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: No wonder we’re losing wars. We think farts are bombs. What are you talking about, when are we losing wars? When is a 985mb low not a bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: Not exactly wintry James. But the weekend is, the NWS has snow likely in my forecast, plus next week looks very cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: What are you talking about, when are we losing wars? When is a 985mb low not a bomb Did you even check the QPF map? Sure there is a 985 low... but precip fail... in fact we all fail along I-95 from DC to BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: But the weekend is, the NWS has snow likely in my forecast, plus next week looks very cold He said "until" the weekend James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: What are you talking about, when are we losing wars? When is a 985mb low not a bomb We’ve lost every war since WW2 but who’s counting. It doesn’t wrap up until it’s in the gulf of Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 minute ago, dendrite said: He said "until" the weekend James. I figured that out after I reacted, my bad, but 45F I think is below normal for me out on the outer Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: But the weekend is, the NWS has snow likely in my forecast, plus next week looks very cold Next week is cold-that’s for sure. But this first few days of this pattern is not. Good luck with the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: We’ve lost every war since WW2 but who’s counting. It doesn’t wrap up until it’s in the gulf of Maine. Trends weathfella, Jerry trends, from the 12z runs to now, this was a trend in the right direction, that trough at h5 closes off much further south than recent runs, this is a step in the right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Not exactly wintry James. Marginal temps and tons of whiffs and sheared out messes. What a pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: Did you even check the QPF map? Sure there is a 985 low... but precip fail Meh...who is worrying about QPF at that time range? It's a potent clipper on that run, but I only really care whether it has a storm or not at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: Next week is cold-that’s for sure. But this first few days of this pattern is not. Good luck with the snow. Thanks, the GFS dumps a good 6" of snow on me, but I will have to check the coolwx,com maps, those have never failed me, they are much more accurate then the dumb model generated snowfall maps on weatherbell and other sites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Trends weathfella, Jerry trends, from the 12z runs to now, this was a trend in the right direction, that trough at h5 closes off much further south than recent runs, this is a step in the right direction That mid week storm is a non starter for SNE.... punt that thing as far as you can. Id be more interested in whatever if anything comes after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Just now, dendrite said: Meh...who is worrying about QPF at that time range? It's a potent clipper on that run, but I only really care whether it has a storm or not at this point. True, I was just more pointing out that the 985 SLP isn't showing the snowstorm he thinks it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Just now, dendrite said: Meh...who is worrying about QPF at that time range? It's a potent clipper on that run, but I only really care whether it has a storm or not at this point. thanks Dendrite, I agree, not focusing on the precip map, just to see where the baroclinic zone is, and it is not as far offshore as previous runs have shown, it is much closer to something awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Just now, yoda said: True, I was just more pointing out that the 985 SLP isn't showing the snowstorm he thinks it is Look I am not stupid, I don't throw out false hoods that no one can believe in, whether or not you think its possible is another story. But I see the water vapor imagery right now that +PNA/-EPO west coast ridge is moving westward as flow on the front side of the ridge is moving north to south and is moving further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Look I am not stupid, I don't throw out false hoods that no one can believe in, whether or not you think its possible is another story. But I see the water vapor imagery right now that +PNA/-EPO west coast ridge is moving westward as flow on the front side of the ridge is moving north to south and is moving further west So then all the 00z models tonight are wrong? UKIE jumped ship as well fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, yoda said: So then all the 00z models tonight are wrong? UKIE jumped ship as well fwiw It is still 6 days away, so its more than likely wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 This map shows the current air masses involved with the Southern Plains this evening. Arctic air is spilling southward over CO and WY. While polar air mass is turning the rain over to snow in western TX and moving eastward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 30 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That mid week storm is a non starter for SNE.... punt that thing as far as you can. Id be more interested in whatever if anything comes after that Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Well that 0z GFS run blew for the Hartford area....JFC....smeared out mess 0-384......hell of dry slut next week too.....clipper after seems like only chance......one time....just one time we need a white wintry Xmas day here....come on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 I need some comforting and sage words from Fella ATM......I hate SNE winters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.