HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think 2/15/15 was a pretty good positive bust. 4-1-97 is my number 1, but 12-14-92 is up there for me, too. April 82 I remember busted way high for ENE. Got sent home from school early iirc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 2 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Oh' man, that one had a brutal qpf cutoff for us WNE folks. Yeah you and RI. Worst standing wave of subsidence I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 7 minutes ago, Hoth said: Yeah you and RI. Worst standing wave of subsidence I've ever seen. Yeah that storm sucked in every possible way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Yeah that storm sucked in every possible way I'm amazed Corey survived to play the squeezebox another day after that one. Just brutal. Do you remember when the other bust I posted was? I want to say it was Easterish a few years ago. Weird unexpected heavy snow band pounded I91 area from New Haven to Hartford out of nowhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 6 minutes ago, Hoth said: I'm amazed Corey survived to play the squeezebox another day after that one. Just brutal. Do you remember when the other bust I posted was? I want to say it was Easterish a few years ago. Weird unexpected heavy snow band pounded I91 area from New Haven to Hartford out of nowhere. I do. I did a mini case study on it, because it was not far from destroying JFK and LGA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 13 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Yeah that storm sucked in every possible way We 22” You 4” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Any strong E or NE flow just kills the valley. Dec 92 was another one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I do. I did a mini case study on it, because it was not far from destroying JFK and LGA. Found it. 3/31/14. GFS busted high on the thermal profile (surprise, surprise). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Any strong E or NE flow just kills the valley. Dec 92 was another one March 13 wasn't all about that though. There was standing waves involved because the RI hole would not typically be there if it was mostly terrain related. Yeah the ENE flow doesn't help but it wasn't the primary factor in mar 2013. Also the BL was a little more NE so not nearly as bad as dec 92 for the valley. There were definitely standing waves involved...one of the more bizarre storms from that standpoint. I had never seen it before on that scale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: March 13 wasn't all about that though. There was standing waves involved because the RI hole would not typically be there if it was mostly terrain related. Yeah the ENE flow doesn't help but it wasn't the primary factor in mar 2013. Also the BL was a little more NE so not nearly as bad as dec 92 for the valley. There were definitely standing waves involved...one of the more bizarre storms from that standpoint. I had never seen it before on that scale. The radar loops were incredible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 17 minutes ago, Hoth said: Found it. 3/31/14. GFS busted high on the thermal profile (surprise, surprise). I found my PPT too. I forgot the soundings at OKX were really unstable at 12z. ISP had TSSN and 3"/hr. You also had OES in SE MA from the low level cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 3/31/14? Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 3 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 18z GFS brings 5-7" of snow to CHH with the Friday/Saturday morning storm. It looks like a small or moderate storm, but if things went right could turn out to be much more, I mean that shortwave energy in the Pacific Jet, going under the ridge out west could spark a low over Brownsville, TX that could go through the GOM and up to Cape Hatteras, NC and then strengthen as it reaches the benchmark tapping into the arctic jet clipper and energy transfers to the coastal low, if this happens more so than modeled it will become a colder and snowier solution in future runs. That central Great Lakes trough goes negative and boom goes the dynamite. I don't follow the comings and goings of weather board characters much anymore but are you Blizz 24 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 1 hour ago, CT Rain said: Yeah that storm sucked in every possible way Ya that one hurt in the valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 3 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 18z GFS brings 5-7" of snow to CHH with the Friday/Saturday morning storm. It looks like a small or moderate storm, but if things went right could turn out to be much more, I mean that shortwave energy in the Pacific Jet, going under the ridge out west could spark a low over Brownsville, TX that could go through the GOM and up to Cape Hatteras, NC and then strengthen as it reaches the benchmark tapping into the arctic jet clipper and energy transfers to the coastal low, if this happens more so than modeled it will become a colder and snowier solution in future runs. That central Great Lakes trough goes negative and boom goes the dynamite. BL problems. Especially for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 NAM sharper at 84hrs, with a more activated baroclinic zone just off the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 James has quite the arctic jet fetish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 We take.(GFS tonight) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: We take. Advisory event on the GFS...I'd sign on the dotted line right now for that threat. GGEM is a close miss...both are interested in the following shortwave too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Advisory event on the GFS...I'd sign on the dotted line right now for that threat. GGEM is a close miss...both are interested in the following shortwave too. I feel like real winter is days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: I feel like real winter is days away. We may be locked in for awhile after Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: We may be locked in for awhile after Wednesday. I can’t even remember when we were this locked in per the progs this early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We may be locked in for awhile after Wednesday. The fact GFS also kept teasing central North Carolina for some snow this early is also noteworthy. Incredible and deep trough pattern coming up for this early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: I can’t even remember when we were this locked in per the progs this early. 2005 is prob the last time I can remember. Though cracks started appearing that year for the period around Xmas and beyond by the time we got to Dec 12-14. Right now, it doesn't look that way...but that could always change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 2 minutes ago, WxBlue said: The fact GFS also kept teasing central North Carolina for some snow this early is also noteworthy. Incredible and deep trough pattern coming up for this early. Yeah I don't typically pay close attention to down there, but that's some huge bending against climo there that early if they get any snow at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Good vibes in here tonite Were going from fantasy range to reality as our end of week chances have some legs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: March 13 wasn't all about that though. There was standing waves involved because the RI hole would not typically be there if it was mostly terrain related. Yeah the ENE flow doesn't help but it wasn't the primary factor in mar 2013. Also the BL was a little more NE so not nearly as bad as dec 92 for the valley. There were definitely standing waves involved...one of the more bizarre storms from that standpoint. I had never seen it before on that scale. Because even further to the SW in Westchester, I had 8-9". So it wasn't just a terrain thing..there were some weird subsidence zones that require a lot of explanation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 2005 is prob the last time I can remember. Though cracks started appearing that year for the period around Xmas and beyond by the time we got to Dec 12-14. Right now, it doesn't look that way...but that could always change. This look is much better for December and beyond than 2005, I think. Dec 2005 only really had one event for the NYC area, and I don't remember the cold being as intense and long-duration as what is currently being modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 This is sooo cool and its free!! https://weather.us/forecast/4928788-agawam/ensemble/euro/snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 37 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 2005 is prob the last time I can remember. Though cracks started appearing that year for the period around Xmas and beyond by the time we got to Dec 12-14. Right now, it doesn't look that way...but that could always change. My main analog is a colder version of that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.