RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 I like how the eps connects the epo/pna poleward into the ao/nao regions. Not sure if that is the right terminology but it looks effin awesome, we bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS was pretty weenieish last night in LR It is def a northern stream dominant fast flow environment though. So clippers and redevelopers would be the favorites...but during times when the trough bends back to the southwest a bit we could see more of a SWFE type setup coming out of the Arklatex region and such...and at least early on, the trough is so deep that you can't rule out a gulf system. But in the long run I favor the types of systems that typically go with northern stream dominance. Lots of fast moving stuff. Probably a good thing as anything slow would have the capability of congrats KMSS. At some point though one of these will be a good one. I don't really see a breakdown either. May wax and wane some, but no sign of a wholesale change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Lots of fast moving stuff. Probably a good thing as anything slow would have the capability of congrats KMSS. At some point though one of these will be a good one. I don't really see a breakdown either. May wax and wane some, but no sign of a wholesale change. Yeah it could be a very good pattern for a lot of New England. Hopefully it produces the goods. I know clippers and IVTs aren't as exciting but they are still a significant part of snow climo in our region and they will be favored in this pttern too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it could be a very good pattern for a lot of New England. Hopefully it produces the goods. I know clippers and IVTs aren't as exciting but they are still a significant part of snow climo in our region and they will be favored in this pttern too Given the recent Decembers, hopefully no complaints. Day 7-8 is mildly interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 7 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Euro is meh on the anafrontal, but had another s/w coming down the flow with a wave that tries to develop last minute. Goes to show you that it's sort of a loaded gun with s/w's sliding down the geopotential medium like Tom Brady with his hands in the air. Do you touch yourself to Tom Brady? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Do you touch yourself to Tom Brady? Don't you remember that pic with his arms in the air going down the slide? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 Hate em as a Jets fan but if he was my QB, I’d do more to myself than a random tug on Sundays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 17 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Hate em as a Jets fan but if he was my QB, I’d do more to myself than a random tug on Sundays. Lol GOAT no doubt. Good weekend to check winter preps. As Will said what a weenie EPS run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it could be a very good pattern for a lot of New England. Hopefully it produces the goods. I know clippers and IVTs aren't as exciting but they are still a significant part of snow climo in our region and they will be favored in this pttern too Nice 1-3” EPS for Wed nite. I’m excited for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nice 1-3” EPS for Wed nite. I’m excited for that The gfs shows nothing of the sort... the euro doesn’t either. Next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The gfs shows nothing of the sort... the euro doesn’t either. Next He’s trying to convince himself, and get Will or Scott to comment... lol. i agree, that’s a dud/nothing there...a few stray flakes/snow showers in the Berkshires maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 58 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Hate em as a Jets fan but if he was my QB, I’d do more to myself than a random tug on Sundays. As a Dolphins fan, I concur but I’m pretty sure that the disfunctional organizations that we support would have screwed Brady up somehow, some way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 Yeah Wednesday night is low percentage and the only reason the eps mean shows it is all you need is a minority of members with a hit to get some qpf in the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 Next Friday/Saturday is our first legit widespread snow threat imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Next Friday/Saturday is our first legit widespread snow threat imho. I will give it another day or so before writing anything off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I will give it another day or so before writing anything off Friday/Saturday vs Thursday depends on whether the front can slow in time earlier but I’m feeling pretty good about most of us having snow otg by the begyof the work week starting 12/11 and I’d be shocked if it’s bare ground at our 12/18 gtg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The gfs shows nothing of the sort... the euro doesn’t either. Next Glad we don’t live there. For here EPS has snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Glad we don’t live there. For here EPS has snow Good luck. Ill take the under on anythin more than mangled flakes. GFS again says most folks outside of NNE and far Western Ma would be lucky to get even that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 GFS has a couple of s/ws to watch late next week.. So does the euro. I would not claim any solution right now, but does offer some snow chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 16 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Good luck. Ill take the under on anythin more than mangled flakes. GFS again says most folks outside of NNE and far Western Ma would be lucky to get even that Who cares what the Gfs has Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Who cares what the Gfs has People who forecast for a living. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 I agree with the sentiment that lighter events will be the rule until around xmas eve. Possibly a mod. event at some point. Nice, festive pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: People who forecast for a living. I don’t think most of them use it other than to correct its errors when making a forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 You guys also are getting too anxious. It's only 12/2. We might whiff on next week and get something wet after...who knows. It's not uncommon for the succession I spoke about yesterday. Y'all need to be patient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 1 hour ago, mreaves said: As a Dolphins fan, I concur but I’m pretty sure that the disfunctional organizations that we support would have screwed Brady up somehow, some way. I thought I was the only Dolphins fan up here in New England, glad to see there is another.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I don’t think most of them use it other than to correct its errors when making a forecast I like using GFS just as much as Euro, even though Euro does better overall in skill scores. I also like NAM, CMC, HRRR, RAP, etc. Great meteorologists use all tools and put a weight on each of them to come up with a forecast that's likely giving them the least error. All of them have bias to account for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: . We might whiff on next week and get something wet after...who knows. It's not uncommon for the succession I spoke about yesterday. Y'all need to be patient,embrace cutters Your yelling bomb on a plane Thou cold and dry with A mild up storm builds "character" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 1 minute ago, WxBlue said: I like using GFS just as much as Euro, even though Euro does better overall in skill scores. I also like NAM, CMC, HRRR, RAP, etc. Great meteorologists use all tools and put a weight on each of them to come up with a forecast that's likely giving them the least error. All of them have bias to account for. Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 Gefs likes next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I agree with the sentiment that lighter events will be the rule until around xmas eve. Possibly a mod. event at some point. Nice, festive pattern. Embrace moisturizer, sun glasses, and gloves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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