RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 1 hour ago, Powderboy413 said: Wow 0z EPS with tons blocking in the LR, best look this decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 26 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Well that settles it. >65 inches of snow for me in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: Well that settles it. >65 inches of snow for me in December. lol, Was referring to the ATL look. But lock up a 65” Decie if you like. You can always adjust higher after the first snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 It seems that the depicted blocking is not at the latitude of Greenland or the Davis Straight, but significantly further south. Is this a good thing, bad ...irrelevant? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 Tippy I was going by H5 look...not any text data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 26, 2017 Author Share Posted November 26, 2017 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Tippy I was going by H5 look...not any text data. ah yeah... i was thinking maybe you get special EPS derivatives giving your association with employer and junk. cool - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 26, 2017 Author Share Posted November 26, 2017 may very well be wrong about this but i'm suspicious there may yet be more of an important system evolving along the upper M/A /NE coast in D6 or 7. seems ever since that popped into the fantasies of the models, they've been doing everything in their power to interfere and stop it, while still conserving the having it there. At D5 into 6 ... there is this rather discordant stretching of the heights from an outside slider on the west coast, clear across the country to the wave leaving the EC at in that time range. There does not appear to be enough gradient to support that long of a wave length there... I wonder if that's a system that pops back into contention in a run or two. the gfs does something similar. the handling in the eastern Pac appears to be the issue there (to me..) that outside slider should pop a more substantial ridge "if" it is allowed to dig sooner ... so it may in fact be just the Pac handling in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 Bring on the Nor'easters and weather bombs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 Yeah.... we take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 Decent look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 26, 2017 Author Share Posted November 26, 2017 all up underneath a stable trend in neutral/negative stratosphere, too. interesting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 That’s snowy and a lot of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 That’s a fabulous looking 500mb pattern...but it doesn’t mean it’s snowy necessarily(one would think that it would produce some real nice chances)...but to say it’s gonna be snowy at this lead is way premature imo. But we take FOR SURE...great looking set up as Ryan eluded too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 If that pattern look holds we will have our chances at wintry weather, Details TBD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 47 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That’s a fabulous looking 500mb pattern...but it doesn’t mean it’s snowy necessarily(one would think that it would produce some real nice chances)...but to say it’s gonna be snowy at this lead is way premature imo. But we take FOR SURE...great looking set up as Ryan eluded too. Exactly--just like when we can pull some snow out of a crappy pattern we can miss when things look favorable. I think we just had a miss in a similarly fantastic-looking pattern last year, IIRC. For now, though let's just accept there will be snow and lots of it. 31.4/20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 Dec 1985 had a really good pattern that failed to produce big snows. But at least the snow that does fall usually ends up sticking around like that month. You would definitely favor snow in that pattern though. We will see. Having that pattern set in during the 2nd week of December is good timing too with respect to climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 38 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Exactly--just like when we can pull some snow out of a crappy pattern we can miss when things look favorable. I think we just had a miss in a similarly fantastic-looking pattern last year, IIRC. For now, though let's just accept there will be snow and lots of it. 31.4/20 Share this with your buddies on here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Share this with your buddies on here Not to be a little biatch but there's nothing guaranteed in that pattern, suppression depression can happen. EPS precip maps kind of indicate that. Need a nice vortmax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Not to be a little biatch but there's nothing guaranteed in that pattern, suppression depression can happen. EPS precip maps kind of indicate that. Need a nice vortmax. I'll take my chances with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 Snow would definitely be favored in that type of set up ... but that was exactly what I meant in my post when I said, it doesn’t necessarily have to be snowy. Sure hope it is, but in the back of your mind you gotta be thinking there’s always the possibility of suppression. Hope we stay on the good side of that idea. But id gamble with that look anytime...we certainly do “take.” Bring it!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 I’m all in, high fiving the dealer as I shove my stack in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll take my chances with that. 99% of us would. Seems a few wouldn’t . That’s ok. There’s always pessimists Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 20 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll take my chances with that. Duh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 99% of us would. Seems a few wouldn’t . That’s ok Who are the few who wouldn’t? I didn’t see anybody here say they Wouldn’t gamble with that look? It doesn’t look a whole lot better than that..no doubt. The few who you were mentioning, only pointed out some undeniable Facts..that’s all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 99% of us would. Seems a few wouldn’t . That’s ok. There’s always pessimists Twisted sista, nobody said they would not take their chances with it but anyone saying it's a guaranteed snowy and stormy period fails to understand it isn't always. Is it a win if you get some ULL squalls and an inch covering? Ask Dec 89 how that all worked out. One storm on the 15th which actually screwed a lot. Look familiar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 There are no guarantees in any pattern, But you have to think this one could produce, But we have to wait and see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Twisted sista, nobody said they would not take their chances with it but anyone saying it's a guaranteed snowy and stormy period fails to understand it isn't always. Is it a win if you get some ULL squalls and an inch covering? Ask Dec 89 how that all worked out. One storm on the 15th which actually screwed a lot. Look familiar? I don’t think I mentioned anyone by name . But you can see those that aren’t on board. And like I said.. that’s ok too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I don’t think I mentioned anyone by name . But you can see those that aren’t on board. And like I said.. that’s ok too I didn't see anybody not on board but I guarantee you will be the first to jump off if there is even a hint of change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I didn't see anybody not on board but I guarantee you will be the first to jump off if there is even a hint of change this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2017 Share Posted November 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I didn't see anybody not on board but I guarantee you will be the first to jump off if there is even a hint of change No that isn’t correct. I am all in on this . 100% invested and commited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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