Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: We’ll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 27 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: It ended up being 8" in Central Park right? That was a pretty bad forecast, if you go 36" for NYC you better mean it (36" anywhere really). Ideally the forecaster forgets the last bust and continues to forecast based on the available information. That's one nice thing about working for the government, we aren't subject to criminal action for a bad forecast. So there is rarely any pressure put on to influence the next forecast one way or another. Now we're all subject to losing followers if we produce enough bad forecasts, that's a different story. I got 4” Maybe I’m the angry Jo Schmo...jk. I know it’s not an easy profession but man has Upton failed here many many times this decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 25 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd consider emerging from December with less than 12" a relative dissapointment...unless there was a main entree imminent. That's totally reasonable, considering the Reading Coop normal is 12" for December. Now if James was thinking that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 That Euro op, despite being in fantasy land, has peaked my interest enough to begin following the first SNE potential winter storm of the season. Now that I'm here, I've probably put the hex on any significant snow occurring in E SNE until January, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 18 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: That's totally reasonable, considering the Reading Coop normal is 12" for December. Now if James was thinking that... I am totally on board with Erics analysis here, ramp it up baby https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/935996648899170304 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 If we don’t get a storm boy oh boy are y’all gonna hear some sh*t from LURKERBOY!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: I am totally on board with Erics analysis here, ramp it up baby https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/935996648899170304 He’s not a met you know.Some of his stuff is quite weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: He’s not a met you know.Some of his stuff is quite weenie My guess is he's most of the way there studying at NC State. I could be wrong that he's not majoring in Met, but that's what I'm going with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: He’s not a met you know.Some of his stuff is quite weenie So? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 26 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said: If we don’t get a storm boy oh boy are y’all gonna hear some sh*t from LURKERBOY!!!! Yeah, except you're in NYC. A Miller B, for example, can play out very differently for you compared to BOS or ORH. "We" may not be the appropriate choice. Heck, a SWFE can flip to rain down there and dump 10" on KTOL. Radically different climo compared with much of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 19 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: My guess is he's most of the way there studying at NC State. I could be wrong that he's not majoring in Met, but that's what I'm going with. emergency management Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 29, 2017 Author Share Posted November 29, 2017 that's an implicit ice storm from hell on the 18z GFS out there at the end of the run... but some seriously insane cold in the UMW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: that's an implicit ice storm from hell on the 18z GFS out there at the end of the run... but some seriously insane cold in the UMW We take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 what a pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 Lol just saw Ryan on TV saying that the cold has some staying power...nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 EPO on the GFS reaches -7 deviation by mid December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: EPO on the GFS reaches -7 deviation by mid December Most Impressive. ...could that be too much of a good thing though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 Get your generators now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Most Impressive. ...could that be too much of a good thing though? Could be but give me a cold December It has been a while over here since I seen a cold December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 Just now, Snow88 said: Could be but give me a cold December It has been a while over here since I seen a cold December Yes sir...bring the cold...the snow will come..right. Lol. Pattern looks impressive either way..allllll Aboard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 Anyone have a good link archiving snowfall totals by month and year? I used to have a great NOAA link to Boston climate data showing texts of total snow / month for every year dating back to at least 1934... but I've scoured CDC, CPC etc and can't find it. TIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 25 minutes ago, CT Rain said: We take There’s many of us here that would love an epic ice storm. I think this is our year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 I’m sure the cold will get muted some once it arrives. But it is impressive to look at this far out She’s a beaut, Clark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: He’s not a met you know.Some of his stuff is quite weenie 1 hour ago, OceanStWx said: My guess is he's most of the way there studying at NC State. I could be wrong that he's not majoring in Met, but that's what I'm going with. He's one of my friends. Yes, he is a meteorology major at NC State and he really know his stuff with planetary scale pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I’m she cold will get muted some once it arrives. But it is impressive to look at this far out She’s a beaut, Clark Extreme Temperature anomalies Usually get bigger as we get closer as climo Usually is less and less Cooked into The forecast. Now, if core of.cold transitions further west.. Than ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 15 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Anyone have a good link archiving snowfall totals by month and year? I used to have a great NOAA link to Boston climate data showing texts of total snow / month for every year dating back to at least 1934... but I've scoured CDC, CPC etc and can't find it. TIA http://w2.weather.gov/climate/xmacis.php?wfo=box Go to monthly summarized data, and you can figure out which drop downs to pick from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Extreme Temperature anomalies Usually get bigger as we get closer as climo Usually is less and less Cooked into The forecast. Now, if core of.cold transitions further west.. Than ya. I think that may be the case-and hopefully that increases our snow chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 14 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Extreme Temperature anomalies Usually get bigger as we get closer as climo Usually is less and less Cooked into The forecast. Now, if core of.cold transitions further west.. Than ya. Pike, can you explain the climo idea and how it could be making The temp anomalies smaller/or less being its 10 days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 No thanks with the core of cold over us. Get it west to allow amplification over us on the east side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 28 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Extreme Temperature anomalies Usually get bigger as we get closer as climo Usually is less and less Cooked into The forecast. Now, if core of.cold transitions further west.. Than ya. Hmm. I get the climo part...but not sure I agree with the first part. I admit I could be wrong. Any way to verify your statement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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