RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 4:51 PM, CT Rain said: Well... it's not just 2m temps... also toasty at 925 and 850 hpa. Lots of easterly flow before the things winds up which is problematic south and east of I-84. Expand Luckily we live N and W of 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 4:54 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: We would need a strong +pp optimally placed to get much on the coastal plane with a low that close accompanied by easterly inflow. Expand Exactly, Ray. We're starting out with light S/E flow with no high to the north. I'd sell a lot of snow for KGINX unless the track threads the needle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 4:54 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: We would need a strong +pp optimally placed to get much on the coast plane with a low that close and east inflow. Expand Well I guess it you take the GFS verbatim but I don't even give it a thought 8 days out, if its stays that way a day before I still will only believe the Euro for thermals in a big dog. Pete Bouchard would though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 4:57 PM, CT Rain said: Exactly, Ray. We're starting out with light S/E flow with no high to the north. I'd sell a lot of snow for KGINX unless the track threads the needle. Expand Yea well if at 2 PM you need to change your mind you know where to find me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 4:57 PM, CT Rain said: Exactly, Ray. We're starting out with light S/E flow with no high to the north. I'd sell a lot of snow for KGINX unless the track threads the needle. Expand Yea, mainly rain inside I 495...maybe like 2-5", or something...IN THIS DEPICITON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 4:57 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Luckily we live N and W of 84. Expand Yeah looks OK here for now. But a jog west and it's a lot of trouble here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 4:57 PM, Ginx snewx said: Yea well if at 2 PM you need to change your mind you know where to find me Expand lol OK... if you think this is a good setup for the coastal plain then congrats on the wishcast. Could it deliver? Sure. A well placed track with a nice comma head over SNE would bring the goods. But without a nice high to the north and the trough axis well west there is certainly a warm risk - particularly S & E of BDL/ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 4:57 PM, Ginx snewx said: Yea well if at 2 PM you need to change your mind you know where to find me Expand Spin it all you want, it's what the model shows, correctly. Whether it ends up to be the truth, remains to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 4:58 PM, CT Rain said: Yeah looks OK here for now. But a jog west and it's a lot of trouble here. Expand Lol and a big jog east? so silly, this storm was a 984 300 miles East of Cape Hatteras even here 6 hrs ago on this POS model, only 32 more runs and it will be congrats CHI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 5:03 PM, Ginx snewx said: Lol and a big jog east? so silly, this storm was a 984 300 miles East of Cape Hatteras even here 6 hrs ago on this POS model, only 32 more runs and it will be congrats CHI Expand Well... the Euro has the same thermal look. All I'm saying is the pattern certainly could support a hugger and without a nice cold high to the north there are some caution flags for the coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 5:01 PM, CT Rain said: lol OK... if you think this is a good setup for the coastal plain then congrats on the wishcast. Could it deliver? Sure. A well placed track with a nice comma head over SNE would bring the goods. But without a nice high to the north and the trough axis well west there is certainly a warm risk - particularly S & E of BDL/ORH. Expand Duh when isnt it , cmon so foolish to even bring up rain snow lines 8 days out , in fact it's as weenie as 8 day snow maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Even the whiffs of the 6z GFS for the area, it brought 7" of snow to my area. I'm waiting for the 12z run to complete Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 5:02 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Spin it all you want, it's what the model shows, correctly. Whether it ends up to be the truth, remains to be seen. Expand Spin on this I have no idea what you mean by spin and at no point did I say the GFS did not show that. As DEPICTED of course but hey lets call it spin to say the GFS has thermal issues and bounces around more than Wiz in a moon bounce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 4:41 PM, WintersComing said: No snow maps posted yet?? Expand Just because you asked: GFS at 8 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Steve will post a 300mb U anomaly map to show it's all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 5:04 PM, CT Rain said: Well... the Euro has the same thermal look. All I'm saying is the pattern certainly could support a hugger and without a nice cold high to the north there are some caution flags for the coastal plain. Expand Agree 100% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 I think they are arguing and agreeing at the same ‘damn’ time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 5:11 PM, CoastalWx said: Steve will post a 300mb U anomaly map to show it's all snow. Expand I like your caution flags though, they often end up in Boston Harbor. Lets see what evolves, definitely have to see if there's a DP draw due to a bombing system, cripes its 8 days away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 5:04 PM, CT Rain said: Well... the Euro has the same thermal look. All I'm saying is the pattern certainly could support a hugger and without a nice cold high to the north there are some caution flags for the coastal plain. Expand I can totally see this....my climo is more towards and beyond the holidays, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Hoping to get a coating Saturday, despite the arctic jet energy just screaming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 5:08 PM, klw said: Just because you asked: GFS at 8 days Expand yea...2-5" in the 128-495 belt, and nothing inside rt 128...pretty congruent with my initial guesstimate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 4:57 PM, CT Rain said: Exactly, Ray. We're starting out with light S/E flow with no high to the north. I'd sell a lot of snow for KGINX unless the track threads the needle. Expand On 12/5/2017 at 4:57 PM, Ginx snewx said: Yea well if at 2 PM you need to change your mind you know where to find me Expand On 12/5/2017 at 5:04 PM, CT Rain said: Well... the Euro has the same thermal look. All I'm saying is the pattern certainly could support a hugger and without a nice cold high to the north there are some caution flags for the coastal plain. Expand On 12/5/2017 at 5:12 PM, Ginx snewx said: Agree 100% Expand If you agreed with Ryan 100%, why did you reply to him that way you did in the 1st place? Completely opposing views in the span of 10 min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 5:14 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I think they are arguing and agreeing at the same ‘damn’ time. Expand Confuses the hell out of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 5:18 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: yea...2-5" in the 128-495 belt, and nothing inside rt 128...pretty congruent with my initial guesstimate. Expand Nah, SSTs have cooled since August. No worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 5:18 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: If you agreed with Ryan 100%, why did you reply to him that way you did in the 1st place? Completely opposing views in the span of 10 min. Expand Winterwolf? Obsess much, good cherry picking job by the way. Lets talk rain snow lines, carry on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 5:18 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: If you agreed with Ryan 100%, why did you reply to him that way you did in the 1st place? Completely opposing views in the span of 10 min. Expand GGW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 5:21 PM, CoastalWx said: Nah, SSTs have cooled since August. No worries. Expand Just wait until the Arctic Jet crosses the 40.5/70 Benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 4:48 PM, Ginx snewx said: When isnt it, Pete Repete every major Expand bob forgot this one, why did I reply like this? Did I lie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 4:27 PM, Ginx snewx said: Yo Jerry Dec 1960? Expand Different evolution but who wouldn’t take the results! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 5:23 PM, weathafella said: Different evolution but who wouldn’t take the results! Expand Us lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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