WintersComing Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On a side note....gotta love the tool arguing with Rain on Twitter about this weekendSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 6:41 PM, ORH_wxman said: I would say Sunday looks like the better shortwave on most guidance. Definitely some more room there to amplify. That said, can't rule out Friday night/early Saturday...that is a scraper for an inch or two on the Euro and same with GGEM (and perhaps Ukie). Expand It looks like the Euro is favoring higher heights out west and a deeper base of the eastern trof. The GFS is much stronger with the northern stream (a little bit of a known bias?) but that explains the back to back inverted trof looks over the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 When you see the Model threat as the "hot topic" at 1:30-1:45pm, you know the Euro has snow for the population centers haha. That second one looks good for the southern/eastern crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Anyone know how to fix the signature? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 12:02 PM, dryslot said: I always go look at the overnight model runs before reading the board, If I looked at the board first and don't even see one new page I know I don't need to look at the models. Lol Expand On 12/4/2017 at 6:45 PM, powderfreak said: When you see the Model threat as the "hot topic" at 1:30-1:45pm, you know the Euro has snow for the population centers haha. That second one looks good for the southern/eastern crowd. Expand Or the above..........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 6:42 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Is UKMET in range for the Sunday event? Expand No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 6:24 PM, WxBlue said: Too bad Maue's site don't have vorticity maps up yet. Would love to see how energies are behaving on the Euro. Expand My man, you need to get out once in a while. Maues employer https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/usa/relative-vorticity-500mb/20171210-0300z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 That is some cold air towards the end of the Euro run moving into New England with a couple reinforces beforehand, Good times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 6:49 PM, dryslot said: No Expand It has an elongated low offshore 120-144hr. Looks like a SE MA scrape based on subtracting 120hr QPF from 144hr QPF in my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 6:55 PM, dryslot said: That is some cold air towards the end of the Euro run moving into New England. Expand Yes , some are downplaying that because of today's lack of snowcover, well duh it will be white before then, and oh yea, We snow on the Euro this weekend, very decent look to .5/.6 qpf in a cold environ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 6:34 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Am I wrong in my analysis that Sunday/ Sunday night is probably a better system anyway? Seems colder and that it may be stronger anyway Expand Except it’s Sat night late into Sunday vs Sunday Night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 6:55 PM, dryslot said: That is some cold air towards the end of the Euro run moving into New England. Expand Cold, but CAA from the SW isn't our preferred direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 6:55 PM, Ginx snewx said: My man, you need to get out once in a while. Maues employer https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/usa/relative-vorticity-500mb/20171210-0300z.html Expand Yeah, I totally forgot they kept that one separate from Maue's work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 6:58 PM, Ginx snewx said: Yes , some are downplaying that because of today's lack of snowcover, well duh it will be white before then, and oh yea, We snow on the Euro this weekend, very decent look to .5/.6 qpf in a cold environ Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 6:59 PM, dendrite said: Cold, but CAA from the SW isn't our preferred direction. Expand Preference would be the core of the cold dropping S out of QUE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Congrats Scooter. You can lock in the jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 7:01 PM, dryslot said: Preference would be the core of the cold dropping S out of QUE. Expand I like my -30C dropping right out of James Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 6:59 PM, dendrite said: Cold, but CAA from the SW isn't our preferred direction. Expand On 12/4/2017 at 7:01 PM, dryslot said: Preference would be the core of the cold dropping S out of QUE. Expand Yeah it goes pretty much the length of all the great lakes before coming in here. Nothing special for us...def pretty damned cold for this time of the year, but certainly won't be threatening any records when it comes in like that. We want that core coming down through MSS to BTV and seeping right down the N-S oriented valleys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 7:03 PM, dendrite said: I like my -30C dropping right out of James Bay. Expand Originating from the arctic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 7:03 PM, dendrite said: I like my -30C dropping right out of James Bay. Expand I am happy right where the core is, save the brutal for January but radiators will mount up soon. Man I looked at the glass this Am 30.52, nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Snow otg is the first wish. That looks like a good chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 These arctic shortwave will explode once they reach our benchmark location, especially if they move south of New England and south of 40.5N latitude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 7:05 PM, Ginx snewx said: I am happy right where the core is, save the brutal for January but radiators will mount up soon. Man I looked at the glass this Am 30.52, nice Expand I agree, I'll take a modified cold air mass, We don't need an arctic one overhead as i would still like to see snow............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 7:06 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: These arctic shortwave will explode once they reach our benchmark location, especially if they move south of New England and south of 40.5N latitude Expand In your mind, you’re working off of the 200 inches per year for CHH benchmark right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 7:10 PM, weathafella said: In your mind, you’re working off of the 200 inches per year for CHH benchmark right? Expand I'm not stupid Jerry, I think you know that, the lat/lon benchmark for storm tracks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 7:08 PM, dryslot said: I agree, I'll take a modified cold air mass, We don't need an arctic one overhead as i would still like to see snow............. Expand However for Dec 13rd, we take, no slouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 7:12 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I'm not stupid Jerry, I think you know that, the lat/lon benchmark for storm tracks Expand Whoosh.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 6:59 PM, dendrite said: Cold, but CAA from the SW isn't our preferred direction. Expand Save the big cold...it's better if it picks up some Lakes moisture on its way here . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 7:10 PM, weathafella said: In your mind, you’re working off of the 200 inches per year for CHH benchmark right? Expand Can they explode north of 40.5 or is that the cutoff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 7:12 PM, Ginx snewx said: However for Dec 13rd, we take, no slouch Expand Hard to believe it was that cold in November too when we had -20C into NNE and 0F at the picnic tables. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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