CAPE Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 12z Euro snowfall for mid next week.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 Looks like euro does a poor mans version of the Canadians little post frontal wave? Maybe a little pity slush dusting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Looks like euro does a poor mans version of the Canadians little post frontal wave? Maybe a little pity slush dusting? Looks like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 If we get some mood flakes or a coating with the first wave of cold I would be thrilled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 sure does come close on day 8 little further west and we could have something there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: If we get some mood flakes or a coating with the first wave of cold I would be thrilled. Meh....until JI uncancels winter, I'm never going to sleep! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: sure does come close on day 8 little further west and we could have something there Yeah its pretty close to something. Verbatim it comes together in time to give me some snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 can someone post a snow map for the euro day 7-8 for what it shows verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 GEFS mean is up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, ryanconway63 said: can someone post a snow map for the euro day 7-8 for what it shows verbatim The day 8 deal is mostly a miss. 1-2" verbatim from eastern VA into DE. Temps are right near freezing. Further analysis is futile at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 Looks like euro does a poor mans version of the Canadians little post frontal wave? Maybe a little pity slush dusting?No such thing as a pity dusting. We take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 Kind of already getting snow map fatigue... are they at all useful at this range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Westendsnowguy Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 1 minute ago, caviman2201 said: Kind of already getting snow map fatigue... are they at all useful at this range? They are hardly useful ever....just good eyecandy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 5 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: Kind of already getting snow map fatigue... are they at all useful at this range? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 All we need to know is if the blocking is still being advertised. The rest I assume will just happen suddenly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 29 minutes ago, mitchnick said: wth have we failed at YET? the future? this is going to be a long winter We’ve never had great patterns fall apart or FAIL to produce?? Historically we do better in that happening, so caution is all I’m implying until we get closer to game time. I’m not chuck so don’t put me there. Yeah i hope it is a l o n g winter. Smh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 I know this can’t and won’t happen, but if somehow I/we stepped away from models until maybe Sunday? Lol. Something gotta pop. No way we don’t score. Famous last words from a Caps fans in April... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 GEFS pannel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Westendsnowguy Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 2 minutes ago, supernovasky said: GEFS pannel Talk about a skewed mean.......most of the "snow" is icy not actual snow if you look at the members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 1 minute ago, supernovasky said: GEFS pannel e20 with a side of fries, please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 Just now, Westendsnowguy said: Talk about a skewed mean....... That happens all the time though, since it's stretched out to 15 days. It's still very promising. 17/20 of the ensembles show at least 0.5" of snow. That's not too shabby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 15 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: Kind of already getting snow map fatigue... are they at all useful at this range? For me, I'm just personally using them to gain confidence that there will be some measurable amount of snow within 15 days. I mean, until we get into the peak of Winter, this is all we got to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 Just now, Cobalt said: That happens all the time though, since it's stretched out to 15 days. It's still very promising. 17/20 of the ensembles show at least 0.5" of snow. That's not too shabby Yup, and 13/20 show at least 3". Which would be a good start to the December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 7 minutes ago, Cobalt said: e20 with a side of fries, please E8 or E20 and I'm good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 Just now, UIWWildthing said: E8 or E20 and I'm good. e11 or e14, or even e19 would be perfectly acceptable as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Westendsnowguy Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 24 minutes ago, supernovasky said: Yup, and 13/20 show at least 3". Which would be a good start to the December. Not that it matters but this is a much more realistic snow map for the gefs......if you're looking at weatherbell and actually taking any snow product seriously you will be pretty let down....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 1, 2017 Author Share Posted December 1, 2017 32 minutes ago, Cobalt said: That happens all the time though, since it's stretched out to 15 days. It's still very promising. 17/20 of the ensembles show at least 0.5" of snow. That's not too shabby That's not what he's saying. If you look at the actual member solutions, many aren't snow but wxbell's algorithm is uber liberal and deeply flawed. I posted earlier that many members we're rainy before the snow maps came out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 Just now, Bob Chill said: That's not what he's saying. If you look at the actual member solutions, many aren't snow but wxbell's algorithm is uber liberal and deeply flawed. Be glad I didn't post Kuchera! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 EPS has a lot of precip in D10-15 and keeps temps cold. Long wave pattern is rock stable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutWX Posted December 1, 2017 Share Posted December 1, 2017 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: EPS has a lot of precip in D10-15 and keeps temps cold. Long wave pattern is rock stable. Operational Euro looked like it was trying to breakdown the North Pacific pattern toward the end of the run, which is in contrast to the GFS/GEFS/EPS. Has a lot more troughing over Alaska and a much weaker west coast ridge than the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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