Cobalt Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 12z seems to be right in line with the 0z. Colder than 6z as well. Brr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 I'm liking the look at hr 180 with developing SLP just offshore of HSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 Hey, looks like I was on to something! https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=eus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2017113012&fh=180&xpos=0&ypos=524 EDIT: trying to attach 180 hrs and it won't work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 Only 8 days of models runs till this may or may not become a reality Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 On 11/30/2017 at 4:21 PM, yoda said: I'm liking the look at hr 180 with developing SLP just offshore of HSE Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 I've already got my hopes way too high, but who cares Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 Still not a legit threat, but it's nice to see these popping up under D10. Signaling is there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 30, 2017 Author Share Posted November 30, 2017 On 11/30/2017 at 4:24 PM, stormtracker said: Still not a legit threat, but it's nice to see these popping up under D10. Signaling is there Expand The only "concrete" thing I can take away from the gfs op is active energy flow behind the big front. That could easily morph into sunny and chilly but for now ops seems to think there will be some activity dropping down the back of the western ridge after we cool down. About as much as you can hope for at these types of lead times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 first flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 We take and run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 On 11/30/2017 at 4:24 PM, stormtracker said: Still not a legit threat, but it's nice to see these popping up under D10. Signaling is there Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 It was only a matter of time before coastals like this started showing up on op's considering the pattern. Verbatim a stripe of 8"+ from RIC to BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 On 11/30/2017 at 4:26 PM, yoda said: We take and run Expand It keeps the highest snowfall out of D.C, so it must be true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 Very snowy Op run. 186. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 180hr GFS is solid, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 13" south of Richmond......it's ALEEET time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 On 11/30/2017 at 4:26 PM, supernovasky said: first flakes Expand Model algorithms like to show snow on the back edge of events like that but it’s just fools gold. It’s the past six hours precip combined with the instantaneous 850mb temps. In reality, it will just be breezy and chilly at that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 On 11/30/2017 at 4:29 PM, stormtracker said: 180hr GFS is solid, right? Expand Yes... its pasty snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 Snow through 192.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 The GFS looks almost identical to last nights GEM for the Friday event. Interesting week of tracking coming up. FINALLY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 On 11/30/2017 at 4:30 PM, mitchnick said: 13" south of Richmond......it's ALEEET time! Expand DT only ALEETs for euro duh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 On 11/30/2017 at 4:29 PM, stormtracker said: 180hr GFS is solid, right? Expand Don't worry. If that doesn't work out, you got another on its tail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 tail end Charlie turns into a Lakes clipper....meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 lol, more energy diving down at 216 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 I will say this much. Once that front goes through, the atmosphere is spinning all around us. So at least we'll have a few shots it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 498 DM heights in N MN at 216 with large arctic blast incoming -- below zero temps in ND Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 The energy diving down into the central part of the country at roughly hours 180-200 is the one to watch in the coming days. Depending on what the southwest trough does that has some good potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 On 11/30/2017 at 4:35 PM, mitchnick said: I will say this much. Once that front goes through, the atmosphere is spinning all around us. So at least we'll have a few shots it seems. Expand Yup. There’s going to be clippers, but those are short lead time events. Hopefully we can score one or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 On 11/30/2017 at 4:35 PM, yoda said: 498 DM heights in N MN at 216 with large arctic blast incoming -- below zero temps in ND Expand Below zero 2m temps in Northern Plains at 234-240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted November 30, 2017 Share Posted November 30, 2017 The run through 240 is actually reasonable and it fits in with what the ensembles have been advertising for the last day or two. eta: A post frontal storm and then the possibility of a followup a couple of days later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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