Snowmadness Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, RVASnowLover said: The HRRR has this but it doesn't match current radar. Radar precipitation is more than what HRRR is showing Yep much more 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just over .5 here of ice. Still have power....for now. Several large branches down though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treyfish Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 https://www.weather.gov/media/akq/briefings/LatestBriefing.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Looks like we’re pretty much done now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Nevermind was looking at models which don’t show this big ass swath coming towards us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Since its dark and if the temps havent gone up any things will get real bad there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 15 minutes ago, Sernest14 said: Nevermind was looking at models which don’t show this big ass swath coming towards us Yeah spoke too soon. 2nd batch is here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 39 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: Yeah spoke too soon. 2nd batch is here now That went away quick - looks like we’re done? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 13 minutes ago, Sernest14 said: That went away quick - looks like we’re done? Yeah we're done. 2nd batch fell apart a little as it got closer to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 We'll still have freezing drizzle/mist throughout the night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Will take only 3 hours without power from this (fingers crossed things do t turn overnight). Most of Ashland town and just outside seemed to be without around the same and was restored fairly quickly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmiser Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Sitting by candlelight, power out for last 2 hrs. Branches snapping in the dark. Pic of our local substation (not a transformer, tho those are lighting up the sky too) lighting up the sky and then a boom... instant darkness.Be safe everyone. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmiser Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 on another note, it was nice to finally see huge icicles again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feb11th1983 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I've been out all night clearing trees along the railroad just west of Crewe. This areas devastated. It will be weeks before all of south Side Va has power again. 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 hour ago, feb11th1983 said: I've been out all night clearing trees along the railroad just west of Crewe. This areas devastated. It will be weeks before all of south Side Va has power again. Wow, that is crazy! Be safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 12z GFS Ensembles NOT GOOD. Half of them show another ice storm for Central Va this coming Thursday 2/18. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 On what planet does Accu(weenie)weather reside? Definitely not earth. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Thursday's ice storm is starting to look like it might be as bad or worse .. than this last one. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 Meanwhile, we have to watch Dallas get a pure 6"+ snowstorm with temperatures in the low-mid teens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 If the low is more SE then you would have a long duration ice or even snow storm. But after this the low is too far west and it warms up and rains in central VA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 7 hours ago, ldub23 said: If the low is more SE then you would have a long duration ice or even snow storm. But after this the low is too far west and it warms up and rains in central VA 2 problems with that and yes they are problems if it’s freezing rain: 1-Half the ensembles are major hits for Central Va 2-The pattern for the past several weeks has been one of suppressed systems as the model runs near the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Early but Thursday needs to be watched 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Models continue to trend colder for Thursday. Again it’s what I mentioned yesterday. 2 days ago it was mostly rain w a bit of frozen to start on models. Now? It’s a least a 50/50 split for RVA. At least 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 UKMET with the continued trend more south - at least in terms of expansion RDPS (end of run so hard take with a grain of salt) shows what the GFS does - at least .5" of freezing rain 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, Sernest14 said: What model is this? Ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, Sernest14 said: UKMET with the continued trend more south - at least in terms of expansion RDPS (end of run so hard take with a grain of salt) shows what the GFS does - at least .5" of freezing rain Yep that’s what’s happening. The CAD is stronger seemingly each run most of the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I don’t have exact numbers but what I can tell from US Weather is Euro is colder 12z. Snow to freezing rain. And still cold at 5pm as far as I can tell. If someone has some maps that would be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 21 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: What model is this? Ukie? GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Yep. 1-2” of snow then sleet then freezing rain. 12z Euro. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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