JB Fins Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Man, what the hell happened? Getting ready for another WWA. Just want a solid WSW event. The Euro is either in a slump, lost its touch or can't handle this pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 24 hours ago this was looking like a significant snow/ice storm. Now it looks like a light event. Euro has not been reliable at all this winter. DT is looking silly now putting out that map yesterday with 8-10 and having to backtrack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 12K NAM and RGEM still look good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 5 minutes ago, Snowmadness said: 12K NAM and RGEM still look good. Can't get a good gauge on 12k vs 3k - seems like 3k has been underdone with past so may be a good blend between the 2? anyone notice anything different between the 2 with past storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 12 minutes ago, Snowmadness said: 12K NAM and RGEM still look good. So you’re saying there’s a chance! Even DT just came out and said something is wonky with the euro. It’s usually rock solid but for some reason it’s been pretty poor for our region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Miller B storms are always hard to forecast. We need a clean Miller A from the south to OBX 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I only look at short range models at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 That’s the way to go at this range. I still like to look at others just because. I would probably take a blend of 3K and 12K NAM and go to 2-5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feb11th1983 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 We are overdue for a Miller A. When was the last true Miller A to produce here? 2010 was a good winter here but i don't recall a Miller A. 1/31/10 was a great snow storm here but that was a Carolina slider, it was 18 degrees and snowing in Midlothian that afternoon. 1/25/00 was a Miller A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 50 minutes ago, Snowmadness said: Miller B storms are always hard to forecast. We need a clean Miller A from the south to OBX So... Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 AKQ kept the watch up, just extended the time it appears. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I'm sure we are all looking foward to this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 7 minutes ago, Inudaw said: I'm sure we are all looking foward to this. The way the models have been well see if anything like that happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 19 minutes ago, Inudaw said: I'm sure we are all looking foward to this. Isn't that a total from all the upcoming storms together? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Westendsnowguy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, eaglesin2011 said: Isn't that a total from all the upcoming storms together? That's through Sunday....the big ones are supposed to be next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 84 hour total. Most of that is from hour 60 to 84. Amount prior to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treyfish Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 https://www.weather.gov/media/akq/briefings/LatestBriefing.pdf 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 42 minutes ago, Inudaw said: I'm sure we are all looking foward to this. That can’t verify. I’m not ready.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Could be in for some icy days coming up 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 00z 12k NAM trended slightly colder earlier in storm if you compare frames on 2nd wave from 18z . You can see the rain snow line drop Will see if that equates to more snow. Looks like Ashland to Fredericksburg is gonna be the higher totals. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Not sure if it means anything but the NAM has the cooler air down more into Kentucky/TN/SwVA at 18z tomorrow compared to the last 3 runs with the precip field more filled in. Hoping that means the cooling is coming in a little more quick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Ha! Glad it wasn’t just my eyes playing tricks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Need that cold air to come in just a hair more quickly and we could have a nice snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, Snowmadness said: 00z 12k NAM trended slightly colder earlier in storm if you compare frames on 2nd wave from 18z . You can see the rain snow line drop Will see if that equates to more snow. Looks like Ashland to Fredericksburg is gonna be the higher totals. Looks to me that the heaviest snows runs right through Richmond 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 3K nam is a little less with around 3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, RVASnowLover said: Looks to me that the heaviest snows runs right through Richmond Yeah I may be wrong. My app still hasn’t loaded total accumulations yet. I was just referencing earlier in storm when it starts as rain here in 2nd wave. Hopefully the transition to snow happens faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 That total is only through hour 27. Still 4 more hours of snow after that. I think the models froze at hour 27 for snow totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Actually 6 more hours of snow not 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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