RVASnowLover Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 8 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: Is ice seeming like the more prominent thing with this next one than snow? I kind of get that feeling, but can’t really tell. 12z Euro was on the snowy side. If the euro is right then we could get hit by both. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: As depicted with the euro at 12 Z it was a half an inch of ice starting very late Wednesday or early Thursday, and ending up as 5 to 10 inches of snow from south east to Northwest in the Richmond metro area. One reason I think it’s possible is because we are so close to the event it’s not like it’s 7-8 days out. We're in that range now too where the euro usually performs pretty well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 18z euro holds. 5-10 in metro RVA. Not sure if any ice is included. Don't have access to those maps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Its a north to south gradient. 8 north 3 south. 0 5 ice south, 0.1 north. Nasty. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 even if we do get say 4-6 and like a .10-.20 of ice, that will cause a lot of problems. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 The set up for Wednesday night into Friday reminds me of the President's Day II storm (February 14-18, 2003). I mean, it may not be an exact match, but it more or less FEELs like that scenario based on what I am seeing. 2003, like the upcoming event looks to be, was a long duration event in the form of different waves of moisture with the main event happening on the 16th. It was supposed to be a historic event with easily 12-18" widespread across C VA, especially just north of RIC. It started off as rain and went over to sleet, but it simply did not get cold enough aloft for the snow accumulations forecasted. The metro area only received 3-4" of sleet, which was enough to shut schools and make for a nice wintry scene, but it was a big bust and huge letdown for us back then. During the height of the event, RIC was at 20°F while PHF, only 60 miles SE, was 60°F so there was a lot of warm air nearby which makes sense why we never got rid of the sleet. We also got dry slotted while DCA went on to record 16" of snow. Eventually, the sleet made it up there, but by then the storm was winding down. I am not saying a good snow (6"+) at RIC won't happen, but I remain skeptical given what I'm seeing. Hoping the one early-middle of next week is better for us. But, that said, at least we have storms to track unlike the last couple winters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 NAM north. Not in range until at least 0z tomorrow anyway, but has the ingredients. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: NAM north. Not in range until at least 0z tomorrow anyway, but has the ingredients. Yeah taking it with a grain a salt because it’s not in range. It did give us some ice. No snow though until you get up near Fredericksburg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Does anyone have RGEM? It’s stuck on 24 hours on Tropical Tidbits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Does anyone have RGEM? It’s stuck on 24 hours on Tropical Tidbits. No but judging by comments in main thread it went south with the 2nd wave 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I saw that. Ty. Also saw someone say that the Icon looked like the European model but it looked nothing like it at all LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 RGEM does look south. Looks like snow to ice. Waiting for clown maps to load Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, RVASnowLover said: RGEM does look south. Looks like snow to ice. Waiting for clown maps to load PW already has it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, yoda said: PW already has it Thanks. Good hit if you like snow and ice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 0z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: 0z RGEM Further south than the euro. I’ll take it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Also the same model that gave MD 2 feet of snow from the coastal couple weeks ago so again take with a grain of salt. Looking for trends 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Gfs a nasty ice storm Thursday night so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 9 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Gfs a nasty ice storm Thursday night so far Oof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Oof Yikes. Hopefully that’s overdone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 8 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: Yikes. Hopefully that’s overdone Total precip is over an inch. Surface temps well below freezing. Again it’s one model and one run. But yeah. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Total precip is over an inch. Surface temps well below freezing. Again it’s one model and one run. But yeah. It’s close to what the euro is showing too. Definitely something to watch. You’re talking down trees and power lines IF that were to verify 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 0z Canadian is all snow pretty much. 6-8” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: 0z Canadian is all snow pretty much. 6-8” I rather have that than half inch of ice 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: I rather have that than half inch of ice Absolutely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Anybody here remember the Christmas ice storm of 1998. We lost power for 12 days here. It was a narrow swath that cut SW to NE across Richmond thru Henrico, Charles City and New Kent. Hopefully this won’t be as bad, but looking at these early models, has me worried. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I’m guessing 6z euro was not good for the main thread folks since no one has listed clown maps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 6z was a great run! Has 11 inches just north city in Henrico Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I would so take that and run. Especially if we get just enough ice to make it stick around, not enough to cause power loss but enough to where sledding would be supreme. Think the main thread is quiet as they root hard for the shift and also they were cracking down on banter. However, the no banter rule is usually ignored for the chosen ones in that thread. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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