RVASnowLover Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Darn. Looks like 4-6 is the general consensus. Time to start looking at the short range models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 4-6 for the metro area? Based what I'm seeing, basically 2" if that followed by rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Yeah, at this point I’m hoping for at least 3” and am going to be pleasantly surprised by anything more. (That’s what she said) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 The speed of this storm is just way too fast for any significant snowfall, that wrap around thing- not happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I see. Was looking at wrong runs. I work too much while trying to follow models haha. Whatever happens, happens. Maybe we’ll get surprised Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, RVASnowLover said: I see. Was looking at wrong runs. I work too much while trying to follow models haha. Whatever happens, happens. Maybe we’ll get surprised Let the snow gods be with us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 RGEM is a step back too. Damn smh. Meanwhile it crushes the DMV on the backside. Of course people in that thread are going crazy over it and popping bottles and hugging it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I know it’s a little late for weather models like the GFS but for what it’s worth it seems a little better at 18Z than 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 hour ago, RVASnowLover said: RGEM is a step back too. Damn smh. Meanwhile it crushes the DMV on the backside. Of course people in that thread are going crazy over it and popping bottles and hugging it 18z GFS had more snow before any changeover than DC total! Lol ironic if it worked out that way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Snowing all the way down around Hickory NC, with rain down through Charlotte and into South Carolina. Don’t believe the models had all that. Maybe we can over perform on the initial thump. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, NovaTarHeel said: Snowing all the way down around Hickory NC, with rain down through Charlotte and into South Carolina. Don’t believe the models had all that. Maybe we can over perform on the initial thump. Notice that too. May not mean anything. Well see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Hate to say it but unless we get lucky and the cold can hang on longer w'ere looking at an inch or two, maybe 3. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Traffic cams show snow already coming down in Abingdon. Looks like nice stickage so far on grass and sides of 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: Hate to say it but unless we get lucky and the cold can hang on longer w'ere looking at an inch or two, maybe 3. That's been the likely outcome here for a few days now besides a few wonky model runs.. Definitely need it to come in sooner then later.. not sure if that overrunning front end that is down in NC will make it up this way it looks like its dying out a bit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 10 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: Hate to say it but unless we get lucky and the cold can hang on longer w'ere looking at an inch or two, maybe 3. I still don’t trust the models and the placement of the low. A 50 mile shift is entirely possible in any direction and can completely change the game. Also, the models tend to under estimate CAD in our area. Don’t jump yet! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 It's more then just that we also have to a avoid the dreaded dry slot that also seems to show up here.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 16 minutes ago, NovaTarHeel said: I still don’t trust the models and the placement of the low. A 50 mile shift is entirely possible in any direction and can completely change the game. Also, the models tend to under estimate CAD in our area. Don’t jump yet! I don’t jump ship until I know for sure. When I see rain line start moving in our area then I’ll jump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 At 27 now (3-5 degrees lower than short range models depicted at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Rumor has it of a Southern trend, apparently the ULL is way further South compared to what the earlier models suggested? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 30 here in the city. Please keep dropping 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Also willing to bet we see some light snow showers roll into the Metro by midnight / 1 am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 My thingy says 35°, but It is close to the house, so I’ll hope it’s actually closer to 30 in the middle of the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treyfish Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 31 IN Ashland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Ignore my previous about the ULL. Doesn't really matter if the Coastal pushes up the warm air. Plenty of moisture, just not enough cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 NAM has more moisture filling in after the first wave compared to last few runs looks great through 15z so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Is anyone else hearing this airplane? It’s definitely been over half an hour of it just circling... NAM was okay to me, only glanced at it because I’m tired, maybe I missed something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Looking at radar that area of snow to our west should be here around midnight-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, RVASnowLover said: Looking at radar that area of snow to our west should be here around midnight-1 I’m starting to agree that 3-3.5” is going to be near our total. We’ll see once it gets here, and after the rain, who knows what. I’m about ready to start searching for the next threat, but won’t pass up the ability to Nowcast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 14 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: Looking at radar that area of snow to our west should be here around midnight-1 How much of that is virga? Any snow reports? I'm still thinking 1-2am when it will move in here but the earlier the better... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 22 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: How much of that is virga? Any snow reports? I'm still thinking 1-2am when it will move in here but the earlier the better... You might be right. It also looks like it’s dying once it gets closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now