JB Fins Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Well, now I am depressed. Don't know what it is, turned 50 a few months back and just jonesing for a big snow here to feel young again and now it's looking like a few inches washed away creating a slurpee like landscape for a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I fell asleep. Anyways... I would say the result was somewhere about 0.25” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Yeah, when we get dustings like this I have to come up with descriptive measurements over actual measurements. I am calling this Cole Slaw out here in Tuckahoe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, JB Fins said: Yeah, when we get dustings like this I have to come up with descriptive measurements over actual measurements. I am calling this Cole Slaw out here in Tuckahoe. Yeah, agreed, same place. This wasn’t supposed to be the winter for snow if I remember correctly, it all kinda changed midway through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJnVa Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 31 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: I fell asleep. Anyways... I would say the result was somewhere about 0.25” 2.5-3" here in Chesapeake. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Congrats you southern folks on this first storm.. Just a heavy dusting/car topper here.. I'm content at this point to enjoy whatever snow we get on Sunday, even if it will only be around a few hours.. Would be nice to get a good front end thump .. I will be happy if we can get 2 to 3 inches before the changeover.. Anything after that will be a bonus. Just hope we can avoid a ice storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Was nice to wake up and have the car covered. Enjoy it while we can before the slopfest on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 6z EPS was pretty good this morning. Primary dies quicker, better transfer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Roughly 1.5" averaged here in downtown Norfolk, granted the density of buildings likely skewed overall totals. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Why I don’t trust the GFS. It consistently showed Danville and parts of NC getting 8-9 inches of snow today. Not even close. Generally 1-3, isolated areas got 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: Why I don’t trust the GFS. It consistently showed Danville and parts of NC getting 8-9 inches of snow today. Not even close. Generally 1-3, isolated areas got 4 I’m still hoping that the 0z runs were just a flunk or something. I’m still optimistic for events after this one should they appear on models, I have too much trust in late season storms. And yeah, GFS is weird. We’ll see what happens at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 59 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: I’m still hoping that the 0z runs were just a flunk or something. I’m still optimistic for events after this one should they appear on models, I have too much trust in late season storms. And yeah, GFS is weird. We’ll see what happens at 12z Hopefully the 12z suite will be better. Need to start seeing some better trends soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 At least they are trending a little more south still not enough to help us much. Depending allot on the front&back end of this storm... in between isn't pretty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 That 12z RGEM looks good, but the ending of rain isn’t. Hopefully the extra clarity as we get closer doesn’t reveal that it will be rain to wash it away. It’s annoying that what’s perfect for them up in NoVa and beyond, is usually bad for us down here, so you have to read their posts carefully. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 23 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: That 12z RGEM looks good, but the ending of rain isn’t. Hopefully the extra clarity as we get closer doesn’t reveal that it will be rain to wash it away. It’s annoying that what’s perfect for them up in NoVa and beyond, is usually bad for us down here, so you have to read their posts carefully. Exactly. It is wild. NOVA is obviously not far but what works for them usually doesn’t work well for us and vice versa. That’s why I usually just go on there to find maps. Really hope we can stay away from rain. I’m fine with 4-6 of snow and then some sleet. Just don’t want rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I genuinely think if the low is off the coast just South enough the Northwesterly cold air will push in just enough to keep the rain to the south towards Petersburg / Colonial Heights areas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, RVAman said: I genuinely think if the low is off the coast just South enough the Northwesterly cold air will push in just enough to keep the rain to the south towards Petersburg / Colonial Heights areas. Hopefully the models aren’t right on picking up the thermals. I’ve seen it before where models said we would go over to rain but never did 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Great UK run for the area - 7" through first 12 hours with a lengthy break (hopefully we can stay a little cooler - at around 33 degrees all day Monday but this is during very light precip or dry slots) with an additional 1-4" depending on area to finish off the storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I would take the Ukie in a heartbeat, 7" and then it can just be light precip just no rain. We never seem to do as well on the backend, I always seem to recall the mets calling for more as the storm pulls away but it's never more than flurry or two I feel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1st Post! Long time lurker. Great UK Run! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Great UK run. Hope the EURO follows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Through 114: Euro nothing to write home about - looks like a 3-4" - precip switches to a light rain Monday and back to light snow 0Z Tuesday. Really a lack of moisture in our area this run. Good initial lump but lacking after 18z Sunday. Still a little wrap around to come through but don't anticipate more than an inch with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Yeah EURO wasn’t horrible but not great either. It’s weaker and less precip from the coastal. We get a front end thump then either get light precip or maybe even dry slot. We don’t get much precip on the backside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Board is getting crushed. Rather have the temps not be an issue, so if we get 4-6 and just some light drizzle before a 1/2 inch on the backend, I would be satisfied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Agree. I would take that. Euro verbatim only gives us like an inch on the backend which kind of sucks. That’s what’s giving the main forum most of their snow. They are getting crushed with the backside while we get a little light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 FWIW: SLP at 84 hr was a basically south in KY vs IN on 00z run. Need that south trend to continue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I would like to see the coastal a little more juiced up. Probably have more mixing issues but we get more snow on the backend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Snowmadness said: FWIW: SLP at 84 hr was a basically south in KY vs IN on 00z run. Need that south trend to continue. That’s key too. Primary dying in KY is better for us than it going into Ohio or IN. Quicker transfer is good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Where do you guys check out your models? I'm relatively knew to this, although I've been following models on TTB for a while. Wondering if there are any more advanced free ones out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Pivotalweather is okay, and so is weather.cod.edu for the GEFS i guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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