eaglesin2011 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 I'll call it a win if we actually have something to shovel . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 18z gfs is nice but cutting it close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 18z gefs was unimpressive here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anyweather Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/21/2021 at 5:35 PM, RVASnowLover said: 18z GFS was historic. Again, cautiously optimistic. Still many runs to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anyweather Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Looks like we are still in the game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 I dunno, its looking like its gonna be a snow to rain, back to snow ,sort of storm for us. You know how that turns out here most of the time...Its allot of sleet that normaly isn't forecast... Gonna need the perfect set up to make it historic in this area... I'm expecting a mix bag at this point... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, eaglesin2011 said: I dunno looking like its gonna be some sort or snow to rain back to snow sort of storm for us. You know how that turns out here most of the time its allot of sleet that normaly isn't forecast... Gonna need the perfect set up to make it historic in this area... I'm expecting a mix bag at this point... Agreed. And possible freezing rain also. Look at those winds tho. We don’t want freezing rain w gusts to 45-50. Need to get inside of 72 hours to really have a better idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Eh.... For some reason this storm right now is not modeled with much "ice" its either Rain to snow... snow to rain to snow.. all snow or nothing.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 I’m scared. It’s wayyy to close to me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 59 minutes ago, Inudaw said: Eh.... For some reason this storm right now is not modeled with much "ice" its either Rain to snow... snow to rain to snow.. all snow or nothing.... Sure its "modeled" for that but most rain back to snow storms in this area end up with allot of sleet or just plain rain.. Its rarely ever all snow in this type of storm in this area. Where you all located? I'm right outside the Short Pump area ..The rain/snow line sets up right a little more north west from here allot . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Cadding for true ice storms have been hard to come by lately. High is not the ideal spot for a wide spread ice event. Sure there might be a small transition zone between snow to rain. Unless the high can nose down a bit faster before the system comes in. Ice will probably not be a huge factor right now. Rain is surely a bigger concern if the low is too fast. Heck a weak storm or no storm is still the cards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 True, its yet to be determined how strong & where this is exactly headed... Its gonna be at that a main factor if we get anything but rain in this area... A total miss, looks pretty doubtful to me at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Not a bad 12z suite. GEFS was good. Euro looked better than it has been 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 From Raleigh Wx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: From Raleigh Wx Not bad. Still a long ways to do before anything is set 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Definitely allot more reasonable totals, still cant really take any of them verbatim until the first storm passes but good to see them all showing snow at some point... Its definitely going going depend on where it tracks & how strong & of course how fast we get & how long we can keep the cold air in place...Also, if we can cash in on the back end wrap around here or not..That is normally when we are able to get the decent totals here. Allot still up in the air for sure.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 I liked the 18z Para-GFS. The normal was pretty boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: I liked the 18z Para-GFS. The normal was pretty boring. I heard the para was a better model. Hope so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 I personally don’t want a rain to snow event. We don’t do well with those. Usually just ends up being a sloppy mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 0z gfs gut punches the Richmond area relatively to areas west and east. :X Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 UKMET snow totals eta: it’s loltastic up here around Fredericksburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anyweather Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 12 z GFS Still is similar to previous runs. I think the green/blue depictions will continue to fluctuate. Still feel we are in a good position. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Looks like a model shift south with more of a block coming down close to the lakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 6 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: Looks like a model shift south with more of a block coming down close to the lakes. Yeah better transition Thursday am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 South trend happening? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, RVASnowLover said: South trend happening? I was just going to remark about that. It looks like from looking at the 12 Z models so far and going back 24 hours it is trending south. Lots of talk about that on the main mid Lantic thread. We don’t want to trend much more south or else it’ll lack precipitation for RVA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Yeah, they are lining up at the cliff in that thread. Hoping for WSW criteria snow. Guess we will have to see the impact of tomorrow's system and where the models go from there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 24 minutes ago, JB Fins said: Yeah, they are lining up at the cliff in that thread. Hoping for WSW criteria snow. Guess we will have to see the impact of tomorrow's system and where the models go from there. Oh I bet. I haven’t ventured over there yet. I’m hoping for the same. I don’t mind it going south, means more cold air for us but can’t go too far south 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Euro solution would make no friends for any region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 15 minutes ago, Inudaw said: Euro solution would make no friends for any region. Yeah it’s weak sauce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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