wasnow215 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, rmcwahoo said: I'm an amateur of course but so far midday models appear to be trending a little colder Yes. Gfs is the weakest. Only a couple inches at 12z. FV3 4-6”, and OH Canada!! Double digits or close. At 10:1 anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 6 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Yes. Gfs is the weakest. Only a couple inches at 12z. FV3 4-6”, and OH Canada!! Double digits or close. At 10:1 anyway. Can you or someone post the mean total for the area from the major models for the mid day runs.. Im at work and unable to look myself.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 In order: Gfs, FV3, Canadian. All 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dswx Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Summary of 12z model RIC snowfall amounts, using Kuchera Ratio (accounts for varying snow to rain ratio): NAM ~4 inches GFS ~2 GFS-FV3 ~1 Canadian ~7 Other models: ICON (German Model/adjusts for snow to rain ratio) ~3 RPM ~3 through 15z Sunday, 10:1 ratio IBM Deep Thunder ~2 through 12z Sunday, 10:1 ratio Euro ~5 (6 just west of metro) through 12z Monday, 10:1 ratio 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Yeah, I Just saw the euro snowing until 7am Monday morning... wow.. that would def make a difference... (I doubt it last that long but hey better for us if it does ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 12z 1/10/19 Euro “snow depth change”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 33 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: 12z 1/10/19 Euro “snow depth change”. I'll take it, hope the temp warrants all snow and not this stupid mixing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 47 minutes ago, Hyphnx said: I'll take it, hope the temp warrants all snow and not this stupid mixing It looks like the timing is a little later-well after dark on Saturday or even Sunday morning. Yes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: It looks like the timing is a little later-well after dark on Saturday or even Sunday morning. Yes? From LWX: Forecast Discussion An upper-level trough will eject out of the southwest overnight Friday night into Saturday. An area of surface low pressure will form over Texas in response to this upper-level feature, and move into the southeastern U.S by Saturday night. Ahead of the main surface low pressure system moving across the southeast, another weak area of upper-level energy will be moving across our area Saturday afternoon into Saturday night, which will provide some extra lift ahead of the main system. At the same time, a strong surface high will funnel cold air in from the north, while southwesterly flow above the surface overruns the wedge of cold air. This combination of moisture and enhanced lift will result in a period of snow starting late Saturday morning, continuing into Saturday night. Snow associated with the main surface low looks to move in early Sunday morning and continue throughout the day on Sunday. On Sunday, the primary surface low pressure system will slide by to our south through the Carolinas. The precipitation from this system will stretch northward and affect areas as far north Pennsylvania. Temperatures will be plenty cold enough for snow for the entire duration of this system, so precipitation types will not be an issue. Latest runs of the operational Euro and NAM are in fairly good agreement that the low will move off the coast around Cape Hatteras, while the operational GFS took a slightly more southern track. However, GEFS and EPS ensembles seem to be in fairly good agreement that more closely resembles that of the operational Euro and NAM. While some uncertainty remains in terms of the exact track, it seems as though most guidance is in decent agreement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 3 minutes ago, Hyphnx said: From LWX: Forecast Discussion An upper-level trough will eject out of the southwest overnight Friday night into Saturday. An area of surface low pressure will form over Texas in response to this upper-level feature, and move into the southeastern U.S by Saturday night. Ahead of the main surface low pressure system moving across the southeast, another weak area of upper-level energy will be moving across our area Saturday afternoon into Saturday night, which will provide some extra lift ahead of the main system. At the same time, a strong surface high will funnel cold air in from the north, while southwesterly flow above the surface overruns the wedge of cold air. This combination of moisture and enhanced lift will result in a period of snow starting late Saturday morning, continuing into Saturday night. Snow associated with the main surface low looks to move in early Sunday morning and continue throughout the day on Sunday. On Sunday, the primary surface low pressure system will slide by to our south through the Carolinas. The precipitation from this system will stretch northward and affect areas as far north Pennsylvania. Temperatures will be plenty cold enough for snow for the entire duration of this system, so precipitation types will not be an issue. Latest runs of the operational Euro and NAM are in fairly good agreement that the low will move off the coast around Cape Hatteras, while the operational GFS took a slightly more southern track. However, GEFS and EPS ensembles seem to be in fairly good agreement that more closely resembles that of the operational Euro and NAM. While some uncertainty remains in terms of the exact track, it seems as though most guidance is in decent agreement. Ty! Almost seems like two parts right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: Ty! Almost seems like two parts right? Correct. When looking at the dew points for RIC I was almost in denial that mixing would occur. I still think it should be an all snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 21 hours ago, Hyphnx said: Correct. When looking at the dew points for RIC I was almost in denial that mixing would occur. I still think it should be an all snow event. I doubt it will be an (ALL) snow event in RIC Metro but damn that will really increase the totals unless dry air makes it way in of course... image 1 of 39 previousnext close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Snowfall Totals by Location Experimental - Leave feedback 01/11/2019 0700AM to 01/14/2019 0700AM What's this? Snowfall Totals by Location These tables show the snowfall forecast for individual locations, and provide the same information as the graphics on this web page, just shown in a different way. All of these values are valid for the same time period as depicted on the graphics. County: AllSelected-- VA --Accomack, VAAmelia, VABrunswick, VACaroline, VACharles City, VAChesterfield, VACity of Chesapeake, VACity of Colonial Heights, VACity of Emporia, VACity of Franklin, VACity of Hampton, VACity of Hopewell, VACity of Newport News, VACity of Norfolk, VACity of Petersburg, VACity of Poquoson, VACity of Portsmouth, VACity of Richmond, VACity of Suffolk, VACity of Virginia Beach, VACity of Williamsburg, VACumberland, VADinwiddie, VAEssex, VAFluvanna, VAGloucester, VAGoochland, VAGreensville, VAHanover, VAHenrico, VAIsle of Wight, VAJames City, VAKing and Queen, VAKing William, VALancaster, VALouisa, VALunenburg, VAMathews, VAMecklenburg, VAMiddlesex, VANew Kent, VANorthampton, VANorthumberland, VANottoway, VAPowhatan, VAPrince Edward, VAPrince George, VARichmond, VASouthampton, VASurry, VASussex, VAWestmoreland, VAYork, VA-- MD --Dorchester, MDSomerset, MDWicomico, MDWorcester, MD-- NC --Bertie, NCCamden, NCChowan, NCCurrituck, NCGates, NCHertford, NCNorthampton, NCPasquotank, NCPerquimans, NC Location Snow Amount Potential Chance of Seeing More Snow Than Low End Snowfall Expected Snowfall High End Snowfall >=0.1" >=1" >=2" >=4" >=6" >=8" >=12" >=18" Accomac, VA <1 <1 2 88% 36% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Ahoskie, NC 0 0 1 31% 8% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Amelia Courthouse, VA <1 4 5 89% 81% 69% 34% 5% 0% 0% 0% Aylett, VA 0 5 7 84% 78% 69% 46% 22% 6% 0% 0% Back Bay, VA 0 0 1 50% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Beaverdam, VA 1 6 8 89% 84% 77% 57% 33% 10% 0% 0% Bishopville, MD <1 2 4 87% 71% 45% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% Bowling Green, VA <1 6 8 89% 84% 76% 56% 32% 11% 0% 0% Boykins, VA 0 <1 2 48% 29% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Brodnax, VA 0 <1 3 82% 55% 27% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Bumpass, VA 1 7 8 90% 85% 78% 59% 35% 10% 0% 0% Burkeville, VA <1 4 5 90% 82% 67% 26% 2% 0% 0% 0% Callao, VA <1 4 6 86% 79% 68% 39% 10% 1% 0% 0% Cambridge, MD <1 4 6 85% 77% 67% 41% 15% 2% 0% 0% Cape Charles, VA 0 0 1 40% 17% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Cape Henry, VA 0 0 <1 41% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Capron, VA 0 <1 2 49% 30% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Carrollton, VA 0 <1 2 46% 29% 14% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Carson, VA 0 1 3 74% 54% 33% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0% Central Garage, VA 0 5 7 84% 77% 68% 45% 21% 6% 0% 0% Charles City, VA 1 2 4 97% 87% 60% 14% 1% 0% 0% 0% Chase City, VA 0 2 3 77% 59% 35% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% Chester, VA 1 3 5 94% 86% 70% 25% 2% 0% 0% 0% Churchland, VA 0 <1 1 47% 22% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Clarksville, VA 0 1 3 62% 42% 19% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Colonial Beach, VA 1 5 7 92% 87% 79% 56% 27% 7% 0% 0% Colonial Heights, VA <1 2 4 94% 83% 61% 14% 1% 0% 0% 0% Corolla, NC 0 0 0 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Courtland, VA 0 <1 2 46% 28% 12% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Crewe, VA <1 4 5 90% 81% 66% 24% 1% 0% 0% 0% Crisfield, MD 0 2 4 73% 60% 44% 17% 4% 1% 0% 0% Croaker, VA <1 1 4 94% 77% 48% 9% 1% 0% 0% 0% Dewitt, VA 0 2 4 86% 70% 47% 10% 1% 0% 0% 0% Disputanta, VA 0 1 3 78% 57% 33% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% Doswell, VA <1 6 8 86% 80% 72% 52% 29% 10% 0% 0% Downtown Norfolk, VA 0 0 <1 44% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Downtown Portsmouth, VA 0 0 <1 39% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Downtown Richmond, VA <1 4 6 85% 78% 67% 40% 13% 2% 0% 0% Driver, VA 0 0 2 49% 25% 8% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Duncan, VA 1 6 7 90% 84% 76% 54% 26% 5% 0% 0% Edenton, NC 0 0 <1 35% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Elizabeth City, NC 0 0 1 41% 12% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Emporia Airport, VA 0 <1 2 64% 36% 13% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Emporia, VA 0 <1 2 59% 38% 18% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Eure, NC 0 0 2 51% 24% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Exmore, VA 0 <1 1 66% 25% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Five Forks, VA 1 4 5 93% 85% 72% 32% 4% 0% 0% 0% Flat Rock, VA <1 5 6 86% 79% 68% 42% 14% 2% 0% 0% Fork Union, VA 2 6 8 92% 87% 80% 58% 30% 5% 0% 0% Fort A.P. Hill, VA 1 6 8 90% 85% 77% 57% 32% 11% 0% 0% Fort Lee, VA <1 2 4 94% 81% 55% 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% Fort Monroe, VA 0 0 2 45% 24% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Fort Pickett, VA 0 3 5 81% 69% 54% 20% 3% 0% 0% 0% Franklin, VA 0 <1 2 43% 27% 13% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Gaston, NC 0 <1 1 59% 25% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Gates, NC 0 0 2 42% 25% 11% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Glen Allen, VA <1 5 7 86% 80% 71% 47% 22% 5% 0% 0% Gloucester Point, VA 0 <1 2 61% 38% 17% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Goochland, VA <1 5 7 87% 80% 72% 49% 23% 5% 0% 0% Grand View, VA 0 0 2 43% 26% 11% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Great Bridge, VA 0 0 <1 40% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Greenbrier, VA 0 0 <1 39% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Gum Spring, VA <1 6 8 87% 82% 74% 53% 27% 7% 0% 0% Gwynn, VA <1 <1 2 92% 45% 12% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Hampden Sydney, VA 1 4 5 92% 84% 72% 35% 4% 0% 0% 0% Hampton, VA 0 0 2 47% 23% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Hancock, NC 0 0 <1 25% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Hanover, VA 0 5 7 84% 78% 69% 48% 24% 7% 0% 0% Hayes, VA 0 <1 2 85% 52% 22% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Heathsville, VA <1 3 5 94% 86% 68% 26% 4% 0% 0% 0% Hertford, NC 0 0 <1 35% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Highland Springs, VA 0 4 6 84% 77% 66% 38% 12% 2% 0% 0% Hopewell, VA <1 2 4 95% 84% 61% 15% 1% 0% 0% 0% Ivor, VA 0 <1 2 49% 31% 15% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Jamaica, VA 0 3 5 82% 71% 56% 25% 6% 1% 0% 0% Jamestown, VA 0 <1 3 75% 51% 27% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% King And Queen Court House, VA <1 4 6 88% 79% 67% 34% 8% 1% 0% 0% Kings Dominion, VA <1 6 8 85% 79% 71% 51% 28% 9% 0% 0% Ladysmith, VA 1 6 8 89% 84% 77% 57% 33% 11% 0% 0% Lake Monticello, VA 2 7 8 94% 90% 84% 64% 37% 10% 0% 0% Lancaster, VA <1 2 5 89% 77% 58% 22% 4% 0% 0% 0% Lanexa, VA 1 2 4 98% 88% 62% 15% 1% 0% 0% 0% Langley AFB, VA 0 <1 2 43% 26% 12% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Lawrenceville, VA 0 <1 3 70% 50% 29% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% Lewisetta, VA 0 0 4 75% 59% 42% 17% 5% 1% 0% 0% Lunenburg, VA <1 3 4 86% 73% 52% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% Lynnhaven, VA 0 0 <1 37% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Mathews, VA 0 <1 2 76% 40% 13% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Matoaca, VA <1 2 4 94% 83% 61% 14% 1% 0% 0% 0% McKenney, VA 0 2 4 78% 62% 41% 10% 1% 0% 0% 0% Mechanicsville, VA <1 5 7 86% 79% 69% 43% 17% 3% 0% 0% Meherrin, VA <1 3 5 90% 80% 64% 23% 2% 0% 0% 0% Melfa, VA 0 <1 1 83% 26% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Midlothian, VA <1 4 6 85% 77% 66% 39% 12% 2% 0% 0% Mineral, VA 2 6 8 92% 87% 80% 61% 34% 10% 0% 0% Moyock, NC 0 0 1 46% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Murfreesboro, NC 0 0 2 46% 28% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% New Kent, VA <1 3 5 87% 77% 62% 30% 9% 2% 0% 0% New Point Comfort, VA 0 0 2 55% 30% 12% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Newport News, VA 0 <1 2 41% 26% 13% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Norfolk International Arpt, VA 0 0 1 39% 12% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Norfolk NAS, VA 0 0 1 46% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Oceana NAS, VA 0 0 <1 34% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Ocean City, MD 0 <1 3 72% 48% 25% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% Ocean Pines, MD 0 2 3 81% 62% 35% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% Ocean View, VA 0 0 1 40% 14% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Oyster, VA 0 <1 1 38% 17% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Palmyra, VA 2 6 8 93% 89% 82% 61% 32% 6% 0% 0% Pasquotank, NC 0 0 1 43% 15% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Petersburg, VA <1 2 4 92% 77% 52% 11% 1% 0% 0% 0% Piney Grove, VA 0 5 8 85% 79% 70% 50% 26% 9% 0% 0% Pocahontas State Park, VA 1 4 5 94% 87% 73% 31% 3% 0% 0% 0% Pocomoke City, MD 0 1 4 75% 60% 43% 15% 3% 0% 0% 0% Poquoson, VA 0 <1 2 45% 27% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Potomac Mills, VA 1 5 8 90% 84% 77% 55% 29% 9% 0% 0% Powellsville, NC 0 0 1 31% 8% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Powellville, MD 0 2 4 75% 62% 44% 11% 1% 0% 0% 0% Powhatan, VA 0 5 7 85% 78% 68% 44% 19% 4% 0% 0% Prince George, VA <1 2 4 91% 74% 48% 9% 1% 0% 0% 0% Princess Anne, MD 0 3 5 79% 69% 54% 20% 2% 0% 0% 0% Purdy, VA 0 <1 3 69% 48% 26% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% Rawlings, VA 0 2 4 76% 60% 40% 10% 1% 0% 0% 0% Richard Bland College, VA <1 2 4 90% 73% 46% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% Richmond International, VA 0 4 6 84% 75% 63% 34% 10% 1% 0% 0% Salisbury, MD <1 3 4 89% 79% 62% 18% 0% 0% 0% 0% Saluda, VA 0 1 4 84% 68% 48% 16% 3% 0% 0% 0% Sandbridge Beach, VA 0 0 <1 43% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Sandybottom, VA 1 2 4 99% 93% 70% 20% 2% 0% 0% 0% Scotts Fork, VA <1 4 5 90% 82% 68% 31% 4% 0% 0% 0% Shacklefords, VA <1 2 4 92% 79% 58% 19% 3% 0% 0% 0% Shawboro, NC 0 0 <1 36% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Shelltown, MD 0 1 4 72% 58% 40% 13% 2% 0% 0% 0% Smithfield, VA 0 <1 2 45% 29% 15% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Snow Hill, MD <1 2 3 92% 76% 47% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% Stony Creek, VA 0 <1 3 62% 44% 26% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% Surry, VA 0 <1 3 64% 43% 22% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Tappahannock, VA 0 5 7 83% 76% 67% 45% 22% 6% 0% 0% Taylors Island, MD <1 5 7 87% 80% 70% 44% 17% 3% 0% 0% Trenton Mills, VA <1 5 7 89% 83% 74% 51% 24% 6% 0% 0% U.s. Naval Weapons, VA 0 <1 2 67% 42% 19% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Varina, VA 1 3 5 95% 88% 73% 29% 3% 0% 0% 0% Victoria, VA 0 3 4 81% 69% 51% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% Vultare, NC 0 <1 2 56% 29% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Wachapreague, VA <1 <1 1 88% 21% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Wakefield, VA 0 <1 2 50% 32% 15% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Wallops Island, VA 0 0 1 80% 25% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Waverly, VA 0 <1 3 57% 38% 20% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Western Branch, VA 0 0 2 47% 23% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% West Point, VA <1 2 4 96% 86% 63% 19% 2% 0% 0% 0% West View, VA <1 5 7 87% 81% 72% 49% 22% 5% 0% 0% Whaleyville, MD 0 2 4 79% 65% 44% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% Whitesburg, MD 0 3 5 74% 63% 48% 18% 3% 0% 0% 0% Williamsburg, VA 0 <1 3 77% 51% 26% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% Windsor, NC 0 0 1 42% 10% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Windsor, VA 0 <1 2 41% 26% 14% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% York River State Park, VA <1 1 4 91% 71% 44% 9% 1% 0% 0% 0% Yorktown, VA 0 0 2 56% 34% 16% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Zion Crossroads, VA 2 6 8 93% 89% 83% 64% 38% 13% 0% 0% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 What did 18z euro show for RVA? I don’t have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dswx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 10 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: What did 18z euro show for RVA? I don’t have it. The operational run has ~4 inches for the Richmond area at 10:1 ratio through 12z Monday. The ensemble mean is about the same. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 11, 2019 Author Share Posted January 11, 2019 Well, the RIC daily snowfall record for Sunday 1/13 is only 1.5" which is the 2nd lowest for the month of January. Maybe that will finally be broken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Really surprised the new ice map is so low..I'm thinking this could be a mistake.. I could really see a flash freeze And def a little ice buildup in other parts of this area esp n/w of Richmond metro...In the metro it could be a sleet fest.... The models have trended a little more north but most are still predicting snow/mix for the beginning and end of the storm..(really there will be multi different parts of this storm.. (and different parts of the area will experience it differently)... The front edge of snow/then maybe nothing for awhile, then a changeover, then back to snow/ice at the end.. ..... I think the ice threat is def going to be more then then is showing on this map and may catch people off guard when then precip changes back and forth.. Monday morning could be rough.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1014 AM EST Fri Jan 11 2019 Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Fluvanna-Cumberland-Goochland- Caroline-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster- New Kent-Middlesex-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover- Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Crisfield, Princess Anne, Bybee, Central Plains, Cunningham, Lake Monticello, Nahor, Palmyra, Troy, Angola, Guinea Mills, Hawk, Raines Tavern, Reeds, Stoddert, Goochland, Corbin, Burruss Corner, Cedar Fork, Dawn, Fine Creek Mills, Flat Rock, Goodwins Store, Subletts, Worshams, Clayville, Genito, Sandy Point, Westmoreland, Colonial Beach, Leedstown, Oak Grove, Potomac Beach, Potomac Mills, Naylors Beach, Downing, Emmerton, Ethel, Farnham, Haynesville, Kennard, Lewisetta, Alfonso, Beanes Corner, Brook Vale, Kilmarnock, Lancaster, Lively, Regina, Bottoms Bridge, Browns Corner, Mountcastle, New Kent Airport, Orapax Farms, Quinton, Talleysville, Grafton, Harmony Village, Church View, Cooper, Healys, Jamaica, Nesting, Louisa, Mineral, Ashland, Mechanicsville, Bon Air, Midlothian, Chesterfield, Chester, Colonial Heights, Richmond, Sandston, Aylett, King William, West Point, Beazley, Biscoe, Henley Fork, Indian Neck, Newtown, Owenton, Saint Stephens Church, King And Queen Court House, Tappahannock, and Dunnsville 1014 AM EST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Snow, sleet and freezing rain. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches possible. Total ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Maryland and central, east central, eastern and north central Virginia. * WHEN...From late Saturday through Sunday evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions Saturday night and Sunday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. Prince Edward-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia- Including the cities of Farmville, South Hill, Fort Mitchell, Kells Corner, Arvins Store, Loves Mill, Lunenburg, Nutbush, Rehoboth, Crewe, Earls, Mannboro, Scotts Fork, Amelia Courthouse, Chula, Denaro, and Jetersville 1014 AM EST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Snow, sleet and freezing rain. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of one to two tenths of an inch possible. * WHERE...Prince Edward, Mecklenburg, Lunenburg, Nottoway and Amelia Counties. * WHEN...From late Saturday through Sunday evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions Saturday night and Sunday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 According to short range models, ice is looking more like a threat now than snow in RVA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 HRDPS is intriguing. Mix line runs right through RVA. Massive drop off! Western Henrico gets anywhere between 6-8 while Eastern half gets 1-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Just now, RVASnowLover said: HRDPS is intriguing. Mix line runs right through RVA. Massive drop off! Western Henrico gets anywhere between 6-8 while Eastern half gets 1-3 Includes a lot of sleet, though. The good news is that it wants to jackpot the RVA area QPF wise, the bad news is that it's not all snow, and it's the HRDPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 EURO goes North. Not looking good here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 ICE ice baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 18 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: EURO goes North. Not looking good here. Oz Euro was north. Not the 12z that just came in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, Inudaw said: ICE ice baby On Euro?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Most guidance has increased the ice threat, and decreased the threat of higher snow totals for the Richmond area. Especially eastern areas. :p Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Inudaw said: Most guidance has increased the ice threat, and decreased the threat of higher snow totals for the Richmond area. Especially eastern areas. :p So this “snow depth” on the 12z 1/11 euro could also include ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 most likely a sleet fest for hours in the metro.. but a few miles away could be big snow...snow/mix line big differnce 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: most likely a sleet fest for hours in the metro.. but a few miles away could be big snow...snow/mix line big differnce Yeah interesting. I live near you I think. Montpellier exit off of 295, staples mill rd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 It's been so cold, hard to believe it won't be cold enough for an all snow event. But then again, it's not even here, yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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