RVASnowLover Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 7 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: But we said this 3 days ago lol. Not saying it will be this strong, but keeps showing up in some form or fashion. I believe it’s also the only one showing it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: I believe it’s also the only one showing it Yes for this solution but the rest had a low same time period just off the coast. And yes it’s still a low chance but compared to 3 days ago I’d say at least a MECS has gone from 1/20 chance to a 1/10 chance no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 5 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Yes for this solution but the rest had a low same time period just off the coast. And yes it’s still a low chance but compared to 3 days ago I’d say at least a MECS has gone from 1/20 chance to a 1/10 chance no? Yes there is a strong signal for a storm but I believe GFS is on its own with this monster of a solution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 That is the craziest model run I’ve ever seen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 And just like that, GFS takes away our two feet of digital snow. Darn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 5 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: And just like that, GFS takes away our two feet of digital snow. Darn! :shocked: Storm still there just further east. No consistency as far as location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 48 minutes ago, Inudaw said: :shocked: Storm still there just further east. No consistency as far as location. Snow hurricane or bust! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 To paraphrase the great Meat Loaf, 2 out of 3 ain't bad but 0 for 3 would just plain suck. I want that one big one so we can reach climo and call it a winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Gfs is a miss to the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 GFS is VB storm... CMC is a bit further west... east of 95 for Va till it gets further north. Slams NY and Boston area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Plenty of time for models to shift west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 hour ago, Snowmadness said: Plenty of time for models to shift west. Storms never shift east or west when we need them to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 The pattern isn’t exactly ideal for a storm next weekend but we’ll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 3 hours ago, RVASnowLover said: The pattern isn’t exactly ideal for a storm next weekend but we’ll see Its far from ideal. All about timing..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Improvements on 0z runs tonight for this weekend. No big hits yet except the CMC has 6 inches or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Some improvements at 6z. Hope it continues in the 12z suite 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 GFS and CMC were interesting. Pretty accurate for RIC. Temp issues. Rain to snow. Seems about right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: GFS and CMC were interesting. Pretty accurate for RIC. Temp issues. Rain to snow. Seems about right Still time to develop. Or go OTS lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 GFS Ensemble mean was very good. Unfortunately gfs ensembles haven’t been the best this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Well the euro was really good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EverythingisEverything Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 4 hours ago, RVASnowLover said: Well the euro was really good Even getting interesting for SEVA again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 It also doesn’t have much, if any support so keep that in mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Could almost the exact same timing as last weeks storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 GFS was improved but somehow puts a snow hole around Richmond/Petersburg and we don’t get much. But overall was an improvement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Definitely an improvement. But yeah several inches in DC and more in Tidewater while we get like an inch? What a chef’s kiss that would be to how often we manage to miss out in every way possible. Let’s hope that doesn’t happen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 SE VA should like the CMC a lot. My greedy self would like to see it west just a little bit more though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 It will come west. All models seem to be trending west to what they were showing a few days agao. Looking good today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 9 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said: It will come west. All models seem to be trending west to what they were showing a few days agao. Looking good today Not necessarily. If anything it may go further east. Goal posts are narrowing. When you need the West trend inside three days there's time but with no blocking its doubtful. Hope I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Sorry to my friends in SE VA but in these situations for us in RIC to score big we need the low closer so that SE VA sees rain or mixing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, Stormpc said: Not necessarily. If anything it may go further east. Goal posts are narrowing. When you need the West trend inside three days there's time but with no blocking its doubtful. Hope I'm wrong. Right now the trend seems to be west but we’ll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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