WxSynopsisDavid Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, Inudaw said: Euro.. decides it wanted to give every single county of Va some amount of snow from the system.... The whole state is 12in+ except for SW VA and SE VA both even both of those areas are 8-12in. This is pretty ridiculous, that would shut the whole state down for a few days. Whats very interesting is between hour 108 and 114 the deform band maxes out on the color table. Pockets of pink showing up in the deform band. That band would be laying down 3in to 4in rates an hour, ratios would be pushing 15:1. Wonder if this scenario starts to lock in and hold on the globals or if we see another back-and-forth swing later today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Euro crushes RVA. Euro is being consistent and other models have been moving towards the Euro. We’ll see. Always have to be cautiously optimistic around here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 wow!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Basically Euro has snow starting in RVA Friday Early am to Sunday Am. There is a short break for like 10 hours or so between the storms but good lord. this is 2016 look written all over it. Maybe bigger. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 That is a nasty deform band. As I said earlier, you can see the pockets of pink in that deform band. Ridiculous rates and ratios under that thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 And the cold is here to stay so whatever we do get will stick around for awhile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 6z NAM at end of its range is still snowing. 8in of snow on the ground across south central VA into the middle peninsula. This is a healthy, tasty pre-game for the Saturday storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Confidence slowly increasing for those that missed the last few systems for Va. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Looked like a pretty big change on the 6z euro. See if it shows it again at 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Eh it was not that big of change in respect to Richmond. If anything ensembles were a bit better overall for the metro area. Less extreme north west solutions in favor of a few more south and east solutions. A majority still a "Major" events for South Central Va and points south and east toward the tidewater. Mean actually went "Up" for that area. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 00z NAM. Not sure I’m buying the NAM. It hasn’t been great but here it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Yea and that stuff on the nam is not even the "storm." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Would be pretty impressive to get that much before the real “storm” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 man I hope the 0z NAM is right; 6 inches as an appetizer before the bigger storm would be amazing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 another thing to note is that the bigger storm will likely be much higher ratios closer to 15:1 so up whatever is shown on the 10:1 maps (not sure if Kuchera adjusts for that already though?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 12z NAM ends up sliding a bit more south and less amped on that second wave. Still some accumulating snow for SCentral and SE VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Sernest14 said: 12z NAM ends up sliding a bit more south and less amped on that second wave. Still some accumulating snow for SCentral and SE VA Thankfully it’s the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 12z nam put all its eggs into the real storm this go around... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: Thankfully it’s the NAM but that was the only one giving us 2"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Thursday’s “event” is about the cold air chasing precip and we all know how that usually goes around here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 5 hours ago, WxSynopsisDavid said: 6z NAM at end of its range is still snowing. 8in of snow on the ground across south central VA into the middle peninsula. This is a healthy, tasty pre-game for the Saturday storm. NAM 12z pretty much takes away Thursday now and revs up the storm starting Fri 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Curious to see what the 12z globals show 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: NAM 12z pretty much takes away Thursday now and revs up the storm starting Fri 12z NAM hammers eastern NC. Does rev up Fridays event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 12z GFS took a step back. Weak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Gfs keeping the shortwave separate. Never connects any pj or st waves together despite having 3 different possibilities to do so. Gfs went all in in the opposite direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 So far vast differences between American models and foreign models. Will the euro cave to the gfs like it has been lately? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Inudaw said: Gfs keeping the shortwave separate. Never connects any pj or st waves together despite having 3 different possibilities to do so. Gfs went all in in the opposite direction. Maybe it will go the other opposite direction at 18z. 18z runs are pretty fun… right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Canadian not good either. Holds vort back as well. Bad 12z trends after yesterday looked promising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 They are right where we want them for this time of the week... The first storm will need to move through first to get a better hold of the weekend storm... We are in a good place so far ... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 UK went east from its 0z run as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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