eaglesin2011 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Well clouds starting to overtake a bit more... Max temp looks to be maxing out about mid 50s.. 54 here at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 The latest HRRR shows current Low a bit further SE than the last 10 runs - should be good right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Down to 41- was at 51 2 hours ago. Didn’t think we were supposed to hit this until 10-11 or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Prob is with the clouds it will be hard to drop quick from here... Gonna need to hit on a heavy band or prob will be just a dusting for most around here Still sitting at 41 in my part of Glen Allen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Just looking at radar, looks like classic case of the mountains robbing any precip trying to come this way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Not helping that the storm is moving in a northeast direction.. Dosnt matter anyway we are still in the 40s Better then getting a severe flash freeze in the morning Prob will still get a little backfill from the ocean moisture later right b4 it pulls away 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 10 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: Not helping that the storm is moving in a northeast direction.. Dosnt matter anyway we are still in the 40s Better then getting a severe flash freeze in the morning Prob will still get a little backfill from the ocean moisture later right b4 it pulls away Agree. Maybe we get quick burst or snow on the backend but that’s about it. I’m looking more towards middle of January. Still strong signals of a potential storm 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 I’m not trusting anything until it gets very close. Wouldn’t be surprised to see that rain/snow line mess us up this winter. Enough doom and gloom from me though. I won’t be able to pay too much attention anyway, as I’ll have classes again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Yeah, we may miss out on the next one too but models are showing a sign of a big event around the 18th-25th timeframe.. Still just about 2 weeks away so, it's still fantasy land but more favorable conditions seem to be setting up later this month. Looks like the classic appetizer ( that this area probably will miss out on) followed by a bigger event that maybe cashed in by many .. We will see ... I'll be more excited this time next week, if it's still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 This one was a miss all the way. Didn’t even get much rain. This weekend will be rain. Maybe the next one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Yeah, we never do well with these and I was surprised by school delay in Henrico just based on forecast. I had some dandruff on my grill cover this morning but that was the only evidence I saw that anything occurred. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 1 hour ago, JB Fins said: Yeah, we never do well with these and I was surprised by school delay in Henrico just based on forecast. I had some dandruff on my grill cover this morning but that was the only evidence I saw that anything occurred. Nope, we never do well when precip has to make it over the mountains, rain or snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Looking ahead, looks like well definitely have the cold around but have to wait and see about about a storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 12z GFS is a thing of beauty. It’s not going to be right but it’s pretty to look at haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Better clear I 95 now! Virtual school for the kids for the rest of the winter, (among other things) if that even came close of happing lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 8, 2022 Author Share Posted January 8, 2022 It would come at the most climatologically favorable time of the year. I feel very optimistic for RIC given the advertised pattern. Even as we look at the map below and seeing being just a bit too far south for the last couple of events. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Wonder how much rain / sleet was still showing mixed in the 12z? But yes, Its setting up at really good time if everything sets into place .... I still think appetiser comes through first... Maybe this is it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 26 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: Wonder how much rain / sleet was still showing mixed in the 12z? But yes, Its setting up at really good time if everything sets into place .... I still think appetiser comes through first... Maybe this is it? What were you thinking the appetizer was? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 8, 2022 Author Share Posted January 8, 2022 Looks like RIC reached 20°F this morning, the 2nd coldest of the season. I am happy to finally get bona fide winter cold. It will be interesting to see whether it stays below 32°F on Tuesday. AKQ is going with only 30°F at RIC for a high under full sun. Prior to last February's ice storms, the last time RIC stayed below below freezing was on 1/31/2019. This 742 consecutive day stretch, was the longest on record. The 1991-2020 period of record had an average of 5 days with a high temperature of 32°F or below, with 1996 featuring the most at 17 days. 2020 and 2012 did not have any. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 1 hour ago, RIC Airport said: It would come at the most climatologically favorable time of the year. I feel very optimistic for RIC given the advertised pattern. Even as we look at the map below and seeing being just a bit too far south for the last couple of events. Agree. I like the pattern setup we’re going to be in. Hopefully we take advantage 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 5 hours ago, Rhino16 said: What were you thinking the appetizer was? Another coastal or clipper that misses us that hasn't shown up yet. But again, maybe this could be it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 Yesterday the GFS provided eye candy then took it away. Now today's 12Z Euro crushes C VA next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 48 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Yesterday the GFS provided eye candy then took it away. Now today's 12Z Euro crushes C VA next weekend. And I’m sure it will keep changing. Hopefully one of them is on to something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 12Z EPS looked solid. Something to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 12z GFS is a no. Not handling that low in the Atlantic well. Canadian was good for a lot of people. GEFS was decent. This is for this weekend. See what the Euro says Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 I have been thinking this whole time we would miss out on the next one and that it would set up something bigger down the road .. Guess we will have to wait and see.. Looks like allot of action either way over the next few weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 20 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: I have been thinking this whole time we would miss out on the next one and that it would set up something bigger down the road .. Guess we will have to wait and see.. Looks like allot of action either way over the next few weeks The Euro is a suppressed, weaker version of the Canadian but we get something out of it. Maybe it’s the appetizer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 GFS, CMC and Euro ensembles look pretty good for this weekend. Not so much for the OPS except CMC. Probably best to go with the ensembles but we’ll see. Complicated setup as always around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 18z gfs is NC special which may be a good thing at this time. Gfs does tend to have a southern bias. We’ll see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 would take the 00z gfs and run with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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