eaglesin2011 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 6 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: HRRR not reliable. Not trying to be a weenie but it’s not. Hopefully it is wrong, but in this area things have to be almost perfect to get a big snow... I can see sleet being an issue if it really amps up.... Maybe we will get lucky and get the 35mph winds with thunder snow for an extended period of time and have it add up quick ..lol .. who knows .. Allot still up in the air with this one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 The 00z GFS is looking very nice for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 19 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: Hopefully it is wrong, but in this area things have to be almost perfect to get a big snow... I can see sleet being an issue if it really amps up.... Maybe we will get lucky and get the 35mph winds with thunder snow for an extended period of time and have it add up quick ..lol .. who knows .. Allot still up in the air with this one GFS has been all in for here for a few days now. 0z actually ticked a tad south from 18z just now. So I think we are solid for 3-6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 18 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: GFS has been all in for here for a few days now. 0z actually ticked a tad south from 18z just now. So I think we are solid for 3-6 Would gladly take 3-6 all things considered 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Getting a little cooler with the rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 00Z GFS again went bonkers. Euro and UK gives RVA metro 4-8. Latest HRRR gives us 10-12. We’ll see. Basically now casting time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Currently 38 per Accuweather. I wonder what time we change over, though waking up to all of the overnight discussion didn’t give much confidence for RVA. As is almost universally the case, things seemed to have trended too much away from us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 I'd say the 7 to 8am time frame is still most likely for go time around here... Good thing, when it changes over it will be come down heavy . Hopefully All snow by then & not sleet/mix Probably will be done by 2pm Big freeze tonight (whatever isnt plowed & treated) I would think most major roads will be fine by tomorrow morning with patchy ice . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Starting to get more frozen ice pellets now here in Glen Allen/Staples Definitely breezy, prob will help a bit from any major power outages but probably will still have a few.. Gonna be pretty wild for a few hours Update: At 6:35am mainly a Heavy wet snow .. Grass and deck now have a wet dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 finally more snow and sleet in Tuckahoe. Shaved ice look in the deck at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Slowly transitioning to snow. Rain/snow/sleet mix in Scott’s Addition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Almost every model now is giving RVA 6+. We’ll see if they are right. Going to need some heavy bands 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 I dunno about 6 plus in RVA... It's more likely between Ashland to Fredericksburg. Back to mainly sleet being my area... Exactly why I don't think it will be 6plus here or RVA... (Switching back and forth from sleet & snow) But if we get a big band /maybe even thunder snow... It can add a few inches quick, if temps drop & stay below freezing without any sleet.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 That would be a nice surprise. I was having my coffee watching/waiting for the transition and while agonizing, it is much more pleasant to watch winter weather transition in this direction opposed to the other. Where we watch and listen for the mixing as it moves through our area and knew it was the end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: I dunno about 6 plus in RVA more likely between Ashland to Fredericksburg Back to mainly sleet being my area exactly why I don't think it will be 6plus here Switching back and forth from sleet & snow Thought we were transitioning here in the city proper but now looks like we’ve gone back to plain rain. We’ll need some heavy bands to come through if we’re going to get 6+. I’m still thinking 3-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Getting heavy sleet. Maybe we’re finally making the transition in RVA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Snow/sleet mix now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: Getting heavy sleet. Maybe we’re finally making the transition in RVA Nah not yet... Still flipping back and forth here in Glen Allen... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: Nah not yet... Still flipping back and forth here in Glen Allen... snow/sleet mix near downtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 First picture .. back to mainly sleet/rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Going back and forth. One minute and it’s snow/sleet, next minute it goes to rain/sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Rain and Sleet so far in Midlothian, maybe a mangled flake every now and then. I really need to move a little further NW, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Classic rain/snow line in RVA. Just even a couple of miles makes a difference in what weather you’re seeing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Goochland area seems to be the line right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 We just flipped to snow in Midlo, finally! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Back to snow/sleet mix in the city. See if it stays or goes back to rain/sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Been a rain/sleet mix in the west end of the city but we just went over to big ole parachutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Woke up to no power and covered everything in sleet/snow. Wasn’t expecting it like this until a few more hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 HRRR still pretty bullish. Starting to switch to mainly snow, some sleet in the city 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 All snow now, coming down pretty good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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