VBsurf Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Loving the surface temps (32) and wetbulb right now (29) with that band lifting almost due N from NC into that main snow shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Wow at 18z NAM. Just wow. Easily 10" for PGV and ECG. About 6-8" for Va Beach and Norfolk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Imma just leave this right here for everyone to s**t their pants over.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Let’s be honest... how real do we think this is?Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VBsurf Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 How AKQ still has a chance of rain for my zipcode is beyond me. WSW is needed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 3km NAM didn't really follow it up, has about 3-4" Just started snowing near town center of Va Beach. Let's get it. PWS shows 28.3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 The 3K NAM is verbatim WSW criteria for AKQ CWA.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 AKQ has changed my forecast to almost 3” with snow until around 4am.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suffolkweather Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 52 minutes ago, tramadoc said: Let’s be honest... how real do we think this is? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Umm. This thing is trying to phase with the coastal low. It's legit. HRRR had been picking up on this possibility and the NAM just legitimized it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 East end of Richmond did not fair too well. Only 1" of snow end and around the airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suffolkweather Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2+" in western Suffolk in just 2 hours. and still snowing moderately. 18Z goes nuts with QPF in SE VA/NE NC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just about an inch down in Virginia Beach. Moderate snow, I bet we're getting some good ratios. We could easily push over 2", which is the latest official forecast. 27/26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 hour ago, tramadoc said: Let’s be honest... how real do we think this is? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk I said this last night.... I def can see it happen.. really depends how fast it moves.. but with the sun setting now def a good chance to add up quick down there.. Also getting a little light burst again out here in the west end... still only about 2 here tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Light snow and 29.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EverythingisEverything Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 2 hours ago, tramadoc said: Imma just leave this right here for everyone to s**t their pants over. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk That would be so nice! Moderate snow coming down Virginia Beach 23456 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suffolkweather Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 24.5 with heavy snow at the moment. Suffolk near 36.76/76.67 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 I am happy with snowfall today. Puts me at 17" for the season, well above average with still half the season to go. Hopefully we can continue this into the second half! But, looks like we have a bit of warm to deal with first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 22 minutes ago, ATreglown said: I am happy with snowfall today. Puts me at 17" for the season, well above average with still half the season to go. Hopefully we can continue this into the second half! But, looks like we have a bit of warm to deal with first. How much did you get from this event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 6 minutes ago, Cobalt said: How much did you get from this event? Got right at 4". It has snowed from 7:30ish this morning till now, but the tiniest flakes ever. We had a lot of moderate snow, but just took forever to accumulate even at 28*. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 About 2" give or take on the ground near town center of VB. No precip currently but as the snow hole over the area is filling in I believe we'll be able to get another inch, or maybe 2" on the high end. This event will likely push the total for the season over a foot for ORF...or about 240% of climo. I give this winter an A- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 About 2” here still coming downSent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 5 minutes ago, SteveVa said: About 2" give or take on the ground near town center of VB. No precip currently but as the snow hole over the area is filling in I believe we'll be able to get another inch, or maybe 2" on the high end. This event will likely push the total for the season over a foot for ORF...or about 240% of climo. I give this winter an A- 240% climo and it gets an A-. I would say that is as A+!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 1 minute ago, ATreglown said: 240% climo and it gets an A-. I would say that is as A+!!! I know I am extremely happy with snow in PG, VA this year!! It has exceeded my expectations!! To have 3 nice events, one being 8" by Jan. 17th, I will take any given year, and try not to complain the next year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 18, 2018 Author Share Posted January 18, 2018 Officially 2.0" at RIC on the preliminary report. ORF likely to break daily snowfall record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 Officially 2.0" at RIC on the preliminary report. ORF likely to break daily snowfall record.Doubtful they break it seeing as how it's 17.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 Bands seem to be blossoming just SW of the area. Just went for a nice, long jebwalk. It's just beautiful outside...about 2.5" on the ground. SPC says it's getting real for you @tramadoc tonight Mesoscale Discussion 0031 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0909 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018 Areas affected...The Outer Banks area of North Carolina into the Tidewater area of southeast Virginia Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 180309Z - 180715Z SUMMARY...Heavy snow rates in excess of 1 inch per hour, including occasional heavier convective bursts, may develop across the North Carolina Outer Banks area, possibly into portions of the Virginia Tidewater, during the 11 PM to 4 AM time frame. DISCUSSION...A significant mid-level trough is forecast to continue pivoting east of the southern Appalachians during the next few hours. As it does, models suggest that it may take on more of a neutral to negative tilt, accompanied by an increasingly better defined lower/mid tropospheric cyclonic circulation center across the piedmont through coastal areas. This appears likely to contribute to a consolidating area of upward vertical motion, with considerable strengthening by the 05-08Z time frame, centered across the Outer Banks area of North Carolina. Aided by dynamic cooling, cold advection and melting precipitation, thermodynamic profiles near immediate coastal areas are expected to cool entirely below freezing, supporting snow or a changeover to snow. Rapid Refresh forecast soundings indicate that lift may become maximized within the dendritic growth layer for several hours, supporting snow rates in excess of 1 inch per hour, in the presence of precipitable water between .5 and .75 inches. At least some convective enhancement appears possible leading to occasional heavier bursts of snow, before diminishing/spreading offshore after 08-09Z. It is possible similar snow rates could impact portions of the southeast Virginia Tidewater, but the most prolonged/heaviest snow appears most likely to the south, across the Outer Banks area near/north of Cape Hatteras. ..Kerr.. 01/18/2018 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 Bands seem to be blossoming just SW of the area. Just went for a nice, long jebwalk. It's just beautiful outside...about 2.5" on the ground. SPC says it's getting real for you [mention=10224]tramadoc[/mention] tonightMesoscale Discussion 0031 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0909 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018 Areas affected...The Outer Banks area of North Carolina into the Tidewater area of southeast Virginia Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 180309Z - 180715Z SUMMARY...Heavy snow rates in excess of 1 inch per hour, including occasional heavier convective bursts, may develop across the North Carolina Outer Banks area, possibly into portions of the Virginia Tidewater, during the 11 PM to 4 AM time frame. DISCUSSION...A significant mid-level trough is forecast to continue pivoting east of the southern Appalachians during the next few hours. As it does, models suggest that it may take on more of a neutral to negative tilt, accompanied by an increasingly better defined lower/mid tropospheric cyclonic circulation center across the piedmont through coastal areas. This appears likely to contribute to a consolidating area of upward vertical motion, with considerable strengthening by the 05-08Z time frame, centered across the Outer Banks area of North Carolina. Aided by dynamic cooling, cold advection and melting precipitation, thermodynamic profiles near immediate coastal areas are expected to cool entirely below freezing, supporting snow or a changeover to snow. Rapid Refresh forecast soundings indicate that lift may become maximized within the dendritic growth layer for several hours, supporting snow rates in excess of 1 inch per hour, in the presence of precipitable water between .5 and .75 inches. At least some convective enhancement appears possible leading to occasional heavier bursts of snow, before diminishing/spreading offshore after 08-09Z. It is possible similar snow rates could impact portions of the southeast Virginia Tidewater, but the most prolonged/heaviest snow appears most likely to the south, across the Outer Banks area near/north of Cape Hatteras. ..Kerr.. 01/18/2018I noticed some deeep blues on radar headed this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 10 hours ago, tramadoc said: 10 hours ago, RIC Airport said: Officially 2.0" at RIC on the preliminary report. ORF likely to break daily snowfall record. Doubtful they break it seeing as how it's 17.5". He meant for the date, 1/17...would be news if they broke their actual daily snowfall record for all days. What are we at for total in RIC - RIC Airport? For the winter, 7.5"? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dswx Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 For anyone in the metro Richmond area: The next meeting of the Central Virginia Chapter of the American Meteorological Society will be 6:00 pm, Thursday, February 1, 2018, at The Grapevine Restaurant, 11055 Three Chopt Rd, Henrico, Virginia. Our speaker will be Branco Vlacich, Virginia Department of Transportation (VDOT). His topic will be "VDOT Winter Storm Preparation". The Central Virginia Chapter of the American Meteorological Society meetings are welcome to all with an interest in meteorology (professional meteorologists and weather enthusiasts). Although encouraged, chapter members do not need to be members of the American Meteorological Society. The meeting agenda (subject to change) will be: 1. Welcome/Introductions 2. Chapter elections. Nominees are: For President, Peter Effertz, Meteorologist, Virginia Department of Environmental Quality For Vice President, Russell Harper, Dominion Energy For Secretary/Treasurer, Dan Salkovitz, Meteorologist, Virginia Department of Environmental Quality 3. Chapter constitution (required to be submitted to the American Meteorological Society) 4. Chapter Facebook page update - Peter Effertz 3. Speaker: Branco Vlacich, Virginia Department of Transportation, "VDOT Winter Storm Preparation". 4. Topic/date for next meeting? Please plan to come early (5:15-5:30 pm) and have dinner at The Grapevine. Menu: https://richmondgrapevine.com/menu/ If you know someone who would like to be included in chapter email notifications please let me know. Please feel free to invite others and/or distribute this announcement although the venue (The Grapevine's back room) is limited to about 20 people for now. RSVP to me please. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 He meant for the date, 1/17...would be news if they broke their actual daily snowfall record for all days. What are we at for total in RIC - RIC Airport? For the winter, 7.5"?Gotcha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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