wasnow215 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, wasnow215 said: Yep. 1-2” of snow then sleet then freezing rain. 12z Euro. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Looks to me we are going to get a major ice event here or almost a carbon copy of the last storm with snow then ice to maybe rain.. definitely trending more to a ice and or snow event.. Will see how much it warms up tomorrow, still a little snow pack hanging on here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 28 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: Looks to me we are going to get a major ice event here or almost a carbon copy of the last storm with snow then ice to maybe rain.. definitely trending more to a ice and or snow event.. Will see how much it warms up tomorrow, still a little snow pack hanging on here Yeah man. It’s the trends that are concerning for the ice. Hopefully this time WILL go to rain..or just be all snow! Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Man that GFS cutoff is brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Glad I didn’t put the generator back up... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 And DT back with the “no models/data show anything significant for Richmond area”- ukie, cmc, gfs all show something fairly significant along with the rdps. NAM is basically on its own island at this point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 8 minutes ago, Sernest14 said: And DT back with the “no models/data show anything significant for Richmond area”- ukie, cmc, gfs all show something fairly significant along with the rdps. NAM is basically on its own island at this point I stopped looking at his posts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 hour ago, Sernest14 said: And DT back with the “no models/data show anything significant for Richmond area”- ukie, cmc, gfs all show something fairly significant along with the rdps. NAM is basically on its own island at this point The guy has “WMPTSD” (wm is weather model lol). He got burnt in his mind so now he just quit. He sucked for the ice storm and took his ball and went home while half the region lost power and thousands of businesses closed. Big baby. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 hour ago, Hyphnx said: I stopped looking at his posts Same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 0z NAM is trending icer for RVA. Much different from 18z. Deja Vu 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, Snowmadness said: 0z NAM is trending icer for RVA. Much different from 18z. Deja Vu So now EVERY model trending colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 I cant stand that DT guy either.. He makes people believe that he is seeing things weeks ahead but obviously its the models.. Then blames it on them when his forecast bust... Anyways... I think he has saying the ice wont be as bad here because he believes we will have snow and or sleet that cuts down the ice... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 14 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: I cant stand that DT guy either.. He makes people believe that he is seeing things weeks ahead but obviously its the models.. Then blames it on them when his forecast bust... Anyways... I think he has saying the ice wont be as bad here because he believes we will have snow and or sleet that cuts down the ice... Well said! I think he’s more interested in being “contra-wise” more so than making the best call. So he can crap on other forecasts and forecasters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Anyone have GFS ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Regular gfs Para GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, Inudaw said: Regular gfs Para GFS My gosh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 A little more SE and it never goes to just rain for central VA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 For once, I wouldn't mind a sleet fest, seeing that much possible ice...I rather have the damn sleet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Yeah..sleet or snow. No ice. I’ll be tracking, while playing golf in Myrtle Beach lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 GFS ensembles are more snowy than sleety or icy. So that’s good. And not one of those is rain. From what I see anyway. Not one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 410 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 VAZ048-062-509-510-161715- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0005.210218T0600Z-210219T0600Z/ Fluvanna-Goochland-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa- Including the cities of Bybee, Central Plains, Cunningham, Lake Monticello, Nahor, Palmyra, Troy, Goochland, Louisa, and Mineral 410 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of three tenths to four tenths of an inch possible. * WHERE...Fluvanna, Goochland, Western Louisa and Eastern Louisa Counties. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 410 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 VAZ060-061-066>069-161715- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0005.210218T0600Z-210219T0600Z/ Prince Edward-Cumberland-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan- Including the cities of Farmville, Angola, Guinea Mills, Hawk, Raines Tavern, Reeds, Stoddert, Fort Mitchell, Kells Corner, Arvins Store, Loves Mill, Lunenburg, Nutbush, Rehoboth, Crewe, Earls, Mannboro, Scotts Fork, Amelia Courthouse, Chula, Denaro, Jetersville, Fine Creek Mills, Flat Rock, Goodwins Store, Subletts, Worshams, Clayville, and Genito 410 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of one quarter to one half an inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of central and south central Virginia. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anyweather Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 6 hours ago, eaglesin2011 said: For once, I wouldn't mind a sleet fest, seeing that much possible ice...I rather have the damn sleet. Me too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Geez...I take a couple of days off from looking at weather and models and come back to this! Back to back ice storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 HRRR looks a little bit more juiced on the southern area at 60 compared to NAM - cold also digs a bit more south and we snow through the run (12z thursday) compared to NAM where we start as sleet/freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Looks like a real model trend of bringing in more cold air upstairs for this one. If that means we stay more sleet than freezing rain I’m 100% for it! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anyweather Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 The 12K NAM trend from this morning shows another significant ice for Friday morning for our area. Secondary low on the front intensifying? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Yeah, this is starting to look like the normal sleet fest that we normally get around here.. Maybe a couple inches before change over to sleet the freezing rain/rain Today will be interesting to see how warm we get ...Forecast is mid 50s . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 9 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: Yeah, this is starting to look like the normal sleet fest that we normally get around here.. Maybe a couple inches before change over to sleet the freezing rain/rain Today will be interesting to see how warm we get ...Forecast is mid 50s . I don’t see anyway we hit the mid 50’s. MAYBE 50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 21 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: Yeah, this is starting to look like the normal sleet fest that we normally get around here.. Maybe a couple inches before change over to sleet the freezing rain/rain Today will be interesting to see how warm we get ...Forecast is mid 50s . Crazy to see va beach sitting at 65 this am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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