eaglesin2011 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Yes I know.. Just saying, it's so disorginized in this area right now, that some places could be getting barely anything....while just a few mins away could be making out allot differently...prob best to just look at the radar hallucinations/ water vapor loop & get real time updates from other users at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dswx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 The upper low is not as impressive as last week's storm. Weaker deformation. Bummer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 hour ago, dswx said: 8z HRRR Kuchera (posted) has 1 inch for RIC. 6z NAM Kuchera has 3.5 (not posted) while IBM's Deep Thunder model has 3.9 (can't post; Deep Thunder is not Kuchera). It’s ok -but we were talking about Euro yesterday and I posted “snow depth”. I was asking what Euro Kuchera was showing for snow totals at 12z specifically. IMO HRRR is NOT a reliable model outside of four hours btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Light to moderate snow here in Glen Allen. Love it! Maybe not better rates than last time, but started earlier this time which will help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dswx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 28 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: It’s ok -but we were talking about Euro yesterday and I posted “snow depth”. I was asking what Euro Kuchera was showing for snow totals at 12z specifically. IMO HRRR is NOT a reliable model outside of four hours btw. Yep. I did not see your post until this morning so did not post the 12z Euro. HRRR is actually good beyond 4 hours. More so in warm season for t-storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 yeah starting to fill in nicely in the area.. prob will just miss out on the real extended period of steady/ heavy snow... Sleet mixing in prob will make roads worse since it looks like almost all the roads have not been treated... (be careful on the bridges and overpasses).. Main roads mainly just wet at the moment..(but again since not treated could cover up quickly in places) Id say in about an hour (9:30 or so) we should get a nice hit from the precip working up this way up from SW VA/NC if it all holds together.. looks like a good batch of steady/mod snow... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, dswx said: Yep. I did not see your post until this morning so did not post the 12z Euro. HRRR is actually good beyond 4 hours. More so in warm season for t-storms. Yes I like it for severe you’re correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Here’s my point about the HRRR at least with snow outside of four hours. Here is HRRR 7z five hours out for surface precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Here’s my point about the HRRR at least with snow outside of four hours. Here is HRRR 7z five hours out for surface precip. And here is same hour (hour one for this shot) on 11z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 But it is a convective model so I get it. Love this stuff man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 An inch here now. 31°- continued ligot to moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Drizzly rain here, but that's what was expected. I'm happy for all who get to cash in, especially those MA guys like @BobChill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Drizzle in Norfolk as well. 37 degrees according to the closest PWS, I don't really see any accumulation here unless heavier precip somehow continues after dark. Upper level low doesn't look as consolidated as models depicted..not sure is that just subjective. Onto Saturday night/Sun night possible event. Timing should be during the night, and I like a 1040+ HP in Quebec. If this stripe shifts 50 mi north, everyone in this thread will cash in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dswx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 38 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: An inch here now. 31°- continued ligot to moderate snow. Very nice moderate snow coming down in downtown Richmond now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Yep plz for the 50 mi north shift... Richmond has enough of these 1-3 storms.. ha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Drizzle in Norfolk as well. 37 degrees according to the closest PWS, I don't really see any accumulation here unless heavier precip somehow continues after dark. Upper level low doesn't look as consolidated as models depicted..not sure is that just subjective. Onto Saturday night/Sun night possible event. Timing should be during the night, and I like a 1040+ HP in Quebec. If this stripe shifts 50 mi north, everyone in this thread will cash in. Is that another ULL moving through? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2.25" here so far today... might squeeze another 0.5" .... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 hour ago, tramadoc said: Is that another ULL moving through? Doesn't look like one on the h5 chart. Looks like a classic shortwave embedded in the trough. NAM looks pretty damn good for our area at 84. Let's just leave it at that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2.5" total.... Precip starting to wane it seems. No AKQ radar sucks. But ne radar looks pretty meh for the remainder of the area for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 yeah if there is a dry patch we will hit hit.. ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 looks like its pretty much over here in the Richmond Area.. closer to the coast tho may not be done just yet as the storm wraps around... Still could get a few scattered burst down this way but I would count much on it at this point with the temps now over 32... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 It just started mixing an hour ago in Virginia Beach. It flips to just snow during heavier rates, but precip is rather weak most of the time. 37 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Compacted now after the heavier snowfall ended around 2 here but this was a good event overall for Glen Allen. Happy second day of spring!! Haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted March 21, 2018 Author Share Posted March 21, 2018 Officially 2" at the airport bringing the season total to 12.4". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 34 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Officially 2" at the airport bringing the season total to 12.4". Above seasonal avg. We’ve had some nice events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted March 21, 2018 Author Share Posted March 21, 2018 40 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Above seasonal avg. We’ve had some nice events. Eh, nothing over 6" for MOST people outside of Tidewater. 2-4" events get old....can definitely be better. But, no complaints I guess... even if you nickle and dime your way to seasonal average. A good season at RIC is one in excess of 20". We are due. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 2016? Was that year 20 total? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Nice event wish we could make these events a night time deal , maybe Saturday night 3.8" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxReese Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Had a 4.2" of snow just south of Charlottesville. That eclipses the snow total we had thus far this year (3.4") and all of last year (3.6") in one storm. haha! Let's see what Saturday night/Sunday morning have in store for us. My concern is the strong high will crush everything south of us. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Is still trending south.. So Id say 1 to 3 tops at the moment for the Richmond area... (if anything at this point) With more south & west ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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