Burghblizz Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: I agree, they might get multiple winters in a row with awful snow then get a couple with big storms. We are almost guaranteed to get 30-40 inches a year. It does seem they have hit the jackpot quite often over the past 10 years or so. I hope I get to see another 92-96 Era, although I didn't truly appreciate it at the time. I’ve never had to deal with a sub 20” winter....but I think I would learn to if it meant higher big storm frequency. Especially as you get older and 39 days of measurable snow a year gets old! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Good developments are happening in the low level wv imagery. The dry air that was there is now becoming very saturated. Only a matter of time before wwe star seeing some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 5 minutes ago, SteelCity08 said: I'm 15 minutes west of the city and have only seen 7+ once in the past 8 years and that was 2011. I know march 2012 there were many areas that saw 8+ but Ithink my elevation did me in there. Haven't seen a 10+ storm though since feb 5th 2010 lol. Pretty sure there's only been 2 in the last two decades. 2010 and 2003, at least officially. Yep. I really don’t think I saw 6+ Till this year. I’m also not counting when we got a 4 or 5 inch clipper, then got 2-3 in LE over the next two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowsux Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 I'm so exited about this storm.....in a sexy, sensual way. I know many here can relate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 8 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: What’s really surprising about that map is the low amounts for Garrett county. Must be keying in on a sucker hole in the H5 low. Not sure though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, KPITSnow said: Yep. I really don’t think I saw 6+ Till this year. I’m also not counting when we got a 4 or 5 inch clipper, then got 2-3 in LE over the next two days. I moved here in 2013. The only significant storm was the 8 inches i got in Jan of 2015. That is the only time i have seen something over 6 in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: I’ve never had to deal with a sub 20” winter....but I think I would learn to if it meant higher big storm frequency. Especially as you get older and 39 days of measurable snow a year gets old! I agree. If we are in a lousy pattern it's pretty easy to not think about snowstorms. It's mainly the tracking that excites me. Having larger storms that might actually happen is a nice draw. Instead of tracking 10-15 a season and getting 1-3 or 2-4 each time followed by snow showers. Earlier in the season it's fine but as it drags on it starts to wear on you. Especially when you're in a big storm drought like we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 The NAM literally has a hole right over us, with every direction from us getting at least 3 or 4 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 5 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Yep. I really don’t think I saw 6+ Till this year. I’m also not counting when we got a 4 or 5 inch clipper, then got 2-3 in LE over the next two days. Same but I could easily be forgetting one or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 There was a storm in March that I got banded overnight and had 12+ it was very isolated, I'll have to see if I can find any pictures. It had to have been 2013 or 2014. It was totally unexpected. One of the few times my yard cashed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 I could literally make money off of our weather. Just bet the under every single time and you will most likely hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Time for some beer ... Have we had 1 winter storm watch or warning in AGC this year? I may be wrong but I feel like at least once a year we would get one, even if the snow didn’t materialize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 I never say this...im ready for spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: There was a storm in March that I got banded overnight and had 12+ it was very isolated, I'll have to see if I can find any pictures. It had to have been 2013 or 2014. It was totally unexpected. One of the few times my yard cashed in. I think I remember that one. I recall seeing what I received and couldn't believe some of the totals being reported lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Bring on the warm weather, not hot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Getting some light snow now, have a coating. Interesting watching the radar move East to West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: The NAM literally has a hole right over us, with every direction from us getting at least 3 or 4 inches. Remember when it showed a foot? Think it was like 12 hours ago or something lol. If we don't get 4+ out of this I'm going to find a new hobby. Then I'm going to realize this isn't a hobby it's a sickness and be back the first time there's a storm threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 5 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: There was a storm in March that I got banded overnight and had 12+ it was very isolated, I'll have to see if I can find any pictures. It had to have been 2013 or 2014. It was totally unexpected. One of the few times my yard cashed in. March 2013....I got~10”.....mostly overnight so no sun angle issues. Was nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, RitualOfTheTrout said: Getting some light snow now, have a coating. Interesting watching the radar move East to West. Yes Radar is starting to fill in. I believe this is looking better than the 00z NAM initialized Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Burghblizz said: March 2013....I got~10”.....mostly overnight so no sun angle issues. Was nice We need more of these pics. To remind us that it's possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 I remember 19" in January 2016. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Mailman said: I remember 19" in January 2016. Brutal lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 https://i.imgur.com/kUHMWZS.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Mailman said: I remember 19" in January 2016. i misspoke earlier. I got 8 from this storm. Not one in 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 5 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Yes Radar is starting to fill in. I believe this is looking better than the 00z NAM initialized It's either filling in or showing the first signs of that snowhole. Can't decide. It's funny, I went from hoping the nam was right all day to hoping it isn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Mailman said: I remember 19" in January 2016. I don’t even count my 6” from that as a good storm because of the miss. We used to have more posters from south of the city that would have done very well with that one. But not too many Fayette/ Westmoreland folks right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, Mailman said: I remember 19" in January 2016. Had to twist the dagger again on that one eh. Lol watching those radar returns go from 35dbz to 20dbz as they pushed North still gives me nightmares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwc Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 50 minutes ago, Mailman said: FWIW, this is essentially 3AM-10AM snow. won't know what's really going to fall until early AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 21, 2018 Author Share Posted March 21, 2018 Here are some of my findings on this storm and what I have learned in my 15 years of posting on these weather boards. 1. The models do a bad job on forecasting for this area. For example: all models were showing anywhere from 7 to 13 inches of snow for this area up until today. We average 40 plus inches of snow each year but the models anywhere from 3 days to 10 days probably give us 125-150. It seems that storms either underperform or over perform quite regularly. When we get a foot plus it is usually a surprise. Notice how many of us waited to post until yesterday because we were all expecting Lucy to pull the ball out from us? We all knew it would happen but we held out hope and got sucked in and now we are disappointed. 2. The models were showing as much as 6 inches from the first waive and I got barely 1 so it was wrong. So why do I have to believe that if it shows 4 inches through tomorrow from the second waive it will suddenly be right? The NAM has a hole over us for the last 3 hours and it has been snowing here. The way I see it some of us could get 2 inches through tomorrow afternoon and some of us will get 8. We must not take these models so seriously as we will most likely get disappointed. 3. Next year I will be here doing the same things again because I love following the weather and it is a fun hobby. Just like the summer too I love thunderstorms and I will see lines fizzle out or storms go around me but I will still be sitting on my porch waiting for that storm to pop up and surprise me. Okay im done typing and I just want to relax and enjoy the weather. I keep thinking that in a couple months I will be sitting on my porch with temps in the 70's looking for distant lightning. We will all be back next year and let's hope it will snow until 3:00 pm tomorrow and we will all over perform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 21, 2018 Author Share Posted March 21, 2018 I hope I didn't scare people away. Radar looks nice and snow is accumulating on my street. Some nice bands are moving east to west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.