north pgh Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 It looks like not much more than scattered snow and rain showers tomorrow and Wednesday. Thursday into Friday we may get a couple inches with lake effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 GFS is about to go nuke mode.... Huge storm brewing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 5 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: GFS is about to go nuke mode.... Huge storm brewing. Well not quite what I thought when looking at 500, but a solid 6-10 inch storm and no crazy cutoff through Allegheny County for once. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 500 is as important as anything at this stage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Without looking at the 500 the GFS shows a southern slider. This thing is still a week away and the euro even pushes it back further. The block looks like it wants to delay spring for a few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 Funny watching the models tonight. You can't make this stuff up. 2 counties north east of us they get 2-4 inches overnight into tomorrow. Across the state they are getting 6-12 inches of snow tomorrow. Thursday eve into Friday wrap round snow showers give 2-4 inches north and west of us????? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 28 minutes ago, north pgh said: Funny watching the models tonight. You can't make this stuff up. 2 counties north east of us they get 2-4 inches overnight into tomorrow. Across the state they are getting 6-12 inches of snow tomorrow. Thursday eve into Friday wrap round snow showers give 2-4 inches north and west of us????? . Don't worry the next storm will trend north and hit us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 45 minutes ago, north pgh said: Funny watching the models tonight. You can't make this stuff up. 2 counties north east of us they get 2-4 inches overnight into tomorrow. Across the state they are getting 6-12 inches of snow tomorrow. Thursday eve into Friday wrap round snow showers give 2-4 inches north and west of us????? . This hobby is really starting to bore me now living in this area. It's just the same story over and over. We get nickeled and dimed all winter while pretty much every storm misses us. If we happen to get 4 or 5 inches from something, which even that doesn't happen too often, we celebrate it like we just got a foot or more. lol That's why I said earlier that I'm just ready for spring now. Even that is going to hold off with this chilly air mass we'll be dealing with for a while. OK, done ranting. Should have saved this for the other thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Drove through some of the heaviest snow I have witnessed in quite a while this morning heading South on 28 around the Pittsburgh Mills mall. Radar showed pockets of 50dbz returns on radar. Couldn't see more than 10 feet in front of me, everything covered in snow, yes even roads. It was intense but brief. I honestly expected to see sleet or something with what the radar was showing. (Rates > Warm Ground + Sun Angle + Marginal Temps) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 6 hours ago, Rd9108 said: Don't worry the next storm will trend north and hit us. Lets hope so, right now 6z GFS is modeling the PA border snow wall pretty effectively. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 I think we've been missed in every direction but the south this year, so it would seem only fitting to end on that note. Still a fair chance it comes north, though. As an ex-Philadelphian, however, boy do I notice the stark difference between climates. Living on the coast just provides so many more intriguing snowfall opportunities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Honestly I start the fire academy Monday so if we miss this storm I won't be all that upset. It'll come eventually, I just might be married with two kids by the time it finally does. Today's runs are important especially if the GFS is right about timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/3/2018 at 11:55 PM, Syrmax said: It was easier to alter this post from the weekend. Mabey this Saturday night it reappears on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 4 hours ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: Lets hope so, right now 6z GFS is modeling the PA border snow wall pretty effectively. lol Shades of 2010....plenty of time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Back in the game on the GFS at 12z (probably will change back at 18z). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 Canadian has stayed south. Get ready for the ups and downs for the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 This has huge huge potential. With the block in place this is easily a possible 24 hour event. The question is will we see a similar outcome as the infamous Jan 2106 blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, Rd9108 said: This has huge huge potential. With the block in place this is easily a possible 24 hour event. The question is will we see a similar outcome as the infamous Jan 2106 blizzard. Jan 2106??? What model did you get that from!?!?!?!?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 27 minutes ago, north pgh said: Canadian has stayed south. Get ready for the ups and downs for the next one. Yep, Canadian missed the phase. You can see by 96 hours GFS has much more interaction with the northern and southern stream vort. GFS isn't perfect though, we want that to happen cleaner and faster so the storm can amp faster, raise heights more along the coast and ride further NW. GFS: Canadian: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, KPITSnow said: Jan 2106??? What model did you get that from!?!?!?!?!? I'm more so saying getting fringed to the southeast. Not the crazy amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 2106 will be our next 12 inch snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 47 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: This has huge huge potential. With the block in place this is easily a possible 24 hour event. The question is will we see a similar outcome as the infamous Jan 2106 blizzard. This is probably the biggest concern for us now. We can probably rule out a to far NW track given the block etc. Jan 2016 was a real divider, folks down by the M/D line were shoveling double digits while 50 miles away got like 3-5 inches. Really hope we don't see a repeat of that, unless it all gets shifted NW and screws somebody else! 18 minutes ago, north pgh said: 2106 will be our next 12 inch snowfall. Ha, well hopefully by then I can have my mind transferred over to some sort of AI so I can be around to enjoy it lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Shut down this subforum if this happens. Does not include today's storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Depends on where you are. Huge it for some, but Jan 2016 ish in the cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 If this has a Jan 2016 sort of set up I’m taking a road trip to Uniontown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Euro a little better but it never allows this to phase and increase heights infront of it. Also some nice hits on the gefs. Our friends down in WV and the PA border should pay close to attention to this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, Mailman said: Lake effect??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowsux Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 hour ago, KPITSnow said: If this has a Jan 2016 sort of set up I’m taking a road trip to Uniontown. Ah, Uniontown. I hear the heroin, crystal meth & crippling depression is great there this time of year too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 Want to get excited for Sunday night and Monday? Don't listen to NWS PGH. Extended starts out quiet as we are between two systems. This won`t last long as a much advertised low pressure ejects from the lower Mississippi Valley Saturday night into Sunday. Current projections from GEFS and EPS have the low still with a more eastward progression to the coast before heading northbound. This will spell little precip for our region with areas south of the Mason-Dixon line having a chance at snow. We will monitor this, as a shift west and north would mean big changes in the forecast, but with several runs continuing to show this, confidence is increasing of a low impact event, if anything at all through Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.