Rd9108 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 12z rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Gfs is about the same 3-6. I need to stop letting the nam get me sucked in to these huge solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JPOracle Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 3-6 inches with locally more is a safe bet for somebody in Butler County, Allegheny county is a battleground. North Hills through Tarentum area, will likely get the most snow in the county in this kind of situation, I live in a valley so i am concerned for some freezing rain here a mini cold air damming effect occurs here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 32 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Gfs is about the same 3-6. I need to stop letting the nam get me sucked in to these huge solutions. Are you looking at 10:1 or kuchera? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Really thought after the euro last night we might be in for a nice treat. Little discouraged after the nam and gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OutnOakmont Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, SteelCity08 said: Really thought after the euro last night we might be in for a nice treat. Little discouraged after the nam and gfs. Me, too! I just had a second to look at the recent run and almost did a spit take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 6 minutes ago, OutnOakmont said: Me, too! I just had a second to look at the recent run and almost did a spit take. Think we all kinda knew how it would end up just frustrating seeing all of the trends yesterday wiped out in 2 hours. That was probably the worst the gfs has looked since we started tracking this one. 2-4 would be fine if it wasn't going to take such a beating from the mix. Oh well what can you do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Pittsburgh winters are like what NFL teams do to the Steelers all the time. A little dink here and a dunk there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Not gonna lie if this is trending to less and less snow. I rather it rain, so I can actually drive around tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 14 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Not gonna lie if this is trending to less and less snow. I rather it rain, so I can actually drive around tomorrow. This. Would rather have 100% rain than slop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 6, 2018 Author Share Posted February 6, 2018 It is getting down to nowcast time. If your goal is an 8 inch snowfall tomorrow you will probably be let down. I am going to watch tomorrow morning and enjoy what happens. If it changes to rain, so be it and it will change back to snow. Yes, everyone wants spring but we have a storm tomorrow morning to watch. Better than cloudy and cold and dry. Just my humble opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Despite what the overall snow amounts may be, all the models seem to agree on a decent burst of snow affecting the morning rush, possibly making this a higher impact WWA than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 All of the locals are basically blowing this off as just rain by 8am with the rain line all the way up to I-80. This storm is just going to make rush hour miserable. Nothing more than an annoyance. I don't know why i let myself get so excited for a 6"+ event. Charlie brown and the football i suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Everyone in this forum right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, MikeB_01 said: Everyone in this forum right now... Listen im not saying that we will get our 6+ storm and im not saying we won't. I'm still not convinced of the track from the NAM. I think the advisory numbers are pretty good and some spots could see more. Lets nowcast tonight and tomorrow morning and see what happens. This is like the last minute of the superbowl on sunday. You don't know whats going to happen. 25 miles makes a big difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 6, 2018 Author Share Posted February 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Everyone in this forum right now... Not me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Also, the king doesn't look like he's ready to give up either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 This was always a low probability for a 6+ storm. 3-5 and slop sounds pretty dead on and always has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Also, the king doesn't look like he's ready to give up either. Euro basically bulls eyes Pittsburgh to butler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 14 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Everyone in this forum right now... I'm long gone... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Good luck to you all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 10 minutes ago, PghPirates27 said: I'm long gone... I'm hanging on the cliff by two fingers. Someone help me up but regardless tomorrow's commute looks like it's gonna be dicey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JPOracle Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 The freezing line will not make it to I-80 unless your at state college and those areas east of us, its not making it to Butler County I-80 corridor. Tomorrow should be interesting to watch but the local mets are so horrible its amazing they got jobs. Then you get arrogance from them too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Question someone said the temp right now is 2 degrees colder than the models had it. Would this make a difference at all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 hour ago, MikeB_01 said: Everyone in this forum right now... LOL It's also humorous you needn't go back any further than say page 40 of this thread and read everyone posting about measuring 5-7 inches and how great the storm was with the quick change over etc. It's not like we are snow starved. I guess we are like the Pens, after getting a big storm these little ones just don't mean as much, when the blizzard of 93 redux appears in early March hopefully we can all just flip the switch to good analysis again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JPOracle Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 minute ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: LOL It's also humorous you needn't go back any further than say page 40 of this thread and read everyone posting about measuring 5-7 inches and how great the storm was with the quick change over etc. It's not like we are snow starved. I guess we are like the Pens, after getting a big storm these little ones just don't mean as much, when the blizzard of 93 redux appears in early March hopefully we can all just flip the switch to good analysis again. somebody is going to get the sweet spot locally, but who will it be, but my bet is Southern Butler or Armstrong county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Question someone said the temp right now is 2 degrees colder than the models had it. Would this make a difference at all? Doubtful it means much at this juncture. Now, if tomorrow at 6am the temperature is several degrees cooler through the column that could have big implications. The cold does win from time to time around here, so you can't rule it out. It's to bad that High is not further west, rather than scooting of the New England Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwc Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Got DT on our side...LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwc Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 7 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Question someone said the temp right now is 2 degrees colder than the models had it. Would this make a difference at all? problem isn't the surface temp, its the midlevels. That said, PBZ is calling for surface temps in the 40's for SWPA tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 minute ago, cwc said: Got DT on our side...LOL. DT didn't even know where Pittsburgh was. I'm pretty sure he put the dot in like Westmoreland or Washington county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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