MikeB_01 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 3 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Where do you get this map from? I believe those maps come from https://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/HRRR/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=hrrr_ncep_jet&domain=t3&run_time=12+Jan+2018+-+02Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Leading edge precip moving through eastern ohio is making it to the ground. Cambridge and New Phila both reporting light snow right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 4 hours ago, MikeB_01 said: From KPIT ".SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... The trailing cold front will slowly move through the area tonight as it out runs its upper level support. Light snow will overspread the entire region overnight. Models are hinting that a thin band of more enhanced snowfall could develop ahead of the cold front with the passage of an upper jet in the southwest flow aloft and increasing low-level moisture convergence. However, at this time, there is disagreement on where this band may develop. This is something that can be addressed once the hires models get a look at it." Depending on where that band sets up, I think we can end up on the high end of the snow totals. Just by looking at some of the models this morning, HRRR looks like it sets up well, while the Nam almost skips up entirely. Will be watching the Water vapor imagery today as well as t he 500 mb wind. If those can line up well, I think we see 3. Looking like a general 2-3, maybe a jackpot of 4 if everything lines up perfectly but would be a very narrow area of potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Decent snow coming down in Cranberry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Light snow has commenced here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Snowing here, as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 HiRes modeling still indicating that band sets up a little north of us. Looks like it goes right through youngstown and the counties north of Pit, Lawrence and Mercer. Based on some current Meso analysis and watching the radar I would think that band sets up a little further south of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longdong Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 32 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: HiRes modeling still indicating that band sets up a little north of us. Looks like it goes right through youngstown and the counties north of Pit, Lawrence and Mercer. Based on some current Meso analysis and watching the radar I would think that band sets up a little further south of there. Like cranberry gibsonia areas get the big band? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 9 minutes ago, Longdong said: Like cranberry gibsonia areas get the big band? Call it a hunch. I'm not even sure I have any reason to back it up. Ive just been watching where the strongest 700mb winds are and I am picking the spot right in the middle. I would say a little north of there. Beaver, Zelienople, Elwood city... That area I would put my money on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 14 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Call it a hunch. I'm not even sure I have any reason to back it up. Ive just been watching where the strongest 700mb winds are and I am picking the spot right in the middle. I would say a little north of there. Beaver, Zelienople, Elwood city... That area I would put my money on Yeah looks just north of Allegheny county. Maybe even the northern tier of the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 38 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Yeah looks just north of Allegheny county. Maybe even the northern tier of the county. I agree and then overnight the southern parts line up from Westmoreland and Southern Allegheny Counties. It's almost like a thunderstorm line that fizzles and then reforms after it passes us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longdong Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 55 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Yeah looks just north of Allegheny county. Maybe even the northern tier of the county. That is some good stuff also I’m upset at nighttime storm we are over due for a good daylight thunder thump ..$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stjbeautifulday Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 How come no advisory for this clipper?? Is it that it is snowing for too long and not enough snow per hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Back roads are in pretty rough shape already....not sure if it’s the holiday and lack of “headlines” with this. Very slippery snow as well. Probably not quite an inch here, but pushing it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, stjbeautifulday said: How come no advisory for this clipper?? Is it that it is snowing for too long and not enough snow per hour? Right....usually have to have a county average of 4” in a 12 hour period.....but there seems to be some flexibility with that especially early/late season and combined with other elements Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1" new snow in Cranberry, steady light snow falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Was there supposed to be a break in precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, SteelCity08 said: Was there supposed to be a break in precip? The HRRR predicted a definite weak spot in the precip. Not sure it predicted a complete break. One of the reasons why the accumulations were supposed to be more north and south of AGC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 7 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: The HRRR predicted a definite weak spot in the precip. Not sure it predicted a complete break. One of the reasons why the accumulations were supposed to be more north and south of AGC Def looking like a pretty healthy lull attm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 10 minutes ago, SteelCity08 said: Def looking like a pretty healthy lull attm HRRR doing a pretty nice job with this one. Looks pretty close to the actual radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 First "round" was a bust down here. Looked like a decent band went through, but none of it reached the ground. Virga storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Measured 1.75 inches. Snow has stopped for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Latest HRRR gives us another 1.5 in over night and into the morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Looking out, seems like maybe a half an inch from the first band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 The AGC snow dome is in full effect lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 26 minutes ago, SteelCity08 said: The AGC snow dome is in full effect lol Hopefully the front still has a little oomph when it comes thru. Might be able to pick up another inch. Id say i got about 1 in during the first band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 I don't know why people aren't posting but the front seems to be slowing down and it looks like we will have light snow riding along it almost all day tomorrow. It only looks like 2 inches or so but it looks like it snows into the late afternoon tomorrow instead of ending in the morning. Not a lot but it will be fun to see snow in the air most of the day. Am I wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 14 minutes ago, north pgh said: I don't know why people aren't posting but the front seems to be slowing down and it looks like we will have light snow riding along it almost all day tomorrow. It only looks like 2 inches or so but it looks like it snows into the late afternoon tomorrow instead of ending in the morning. Not a lot but it will be fun to see snow in the air most of the day. Am I wrong? Not wrong but I'm waiting for the big daddy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 Nice batch about to move in. I wouldn't be surprised if we get a fresh inch with this batch and 1-2 during the day tomorrow. It will probably be the last snow for a week at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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