KPITSnow Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 I saw a euro precipitation map and it looked like half an inch of freezing rain. Please no. The thing that that would suck about this would be that usually when we see ice we torch after and end up at 50 degrees and it all melts. This would be a messy because we immediately go back in the ice box after the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 11 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: I think it was that or a rain. We needed the trough to be less sharp and riding out west to flatten some, and get some kick for the NS vort, we are seeing all that, and getting colder and more frozen, but other edge of the sword is the storm isn't as strong. Question is do we get enough to see snow, or will it be a big ice storm, or a cold rain with flurries on the back end lol Yea I agree I am just surprised that it really has trended away for big snows for anyone, even Ohio and West New York. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 Chances are increasing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 better... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 Riding the 12z ICON all the way. Tomorrows 12z suite will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 Pretty good tracks from the 12zGEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 11 minutes ago, CoraopolisWx said: Riding the 12z ICON all the way. Tomorrows 12z suite will be interesting. Like i said in a previous post, the 12z run tomorrow will be a true indicator of what this energy is going to do. The energy will finally be over land and sampled. In the mean time, ill take the ICON as well. Germans are smart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 Then you have the NAM which throws a middle finger to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 27 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Then you have the NAM which throws a middle finger to us. 18z. Throw it out. No balloon data. It will come back on the 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JPOracle Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 So were getting an ice storm or blizzard, which one, who will know till tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 1 hour ago, MikeB_01 said: Like i said in a previous post, the 12z run tomorrow will be a true indicator of what this energy is going to do. The energy will finally be over land and sampled. In the mean time, ill take the ICON as well. Germans are smart Yeah looks good! Guten Tag Herr ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 1 hour ago, Rd9108 said: Then you have the NAM which throws a middle finger to us. Looks about the same as 12z, about .5 ZR, then 1-3 of snow \ sleet. StnID: kagc Profile Thermal Adjust: 0.0 Cloud RH threshold: 85% Average Hourly Sounding: NO Date/hour FHr Wind SfcT Ptype SR |Snow||Sleet|| FZRA|| QPF CumSR|TotSN||TotPL||TotZR|| TQPF S%| I%| L% ============================================================================================================================ 180112/1900Z 49 35011KT 35.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.77 0| 0| 0 180112/2000Z 50 35010KT 33.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.77 0| 0| 0 180112/2100Z 51 35009KT 32.3F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.004 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.77 0| 0|100 180112/2200Z 52 36009KT 31.4F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.01|| 0.006 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.01|| 0.78 0| 0|100 180112/2300Z 53 36009KT 31.0F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.01|| 0.008 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.01|| 0.79 0| 0|100 180113/0000Z 54 01010KT 30.8F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.01|| 0.011 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.03|| 0.80 0| 0|100 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 180113/0100Z 55 02010KT 30.5F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.02|| 0.018 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.05|| 0.82 0| 0|100 180113/0200Z 56 02010KT 30.8F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.02|| 0.019 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.06|| 0.83 0| 0|100 180113/0300Z 57 02010KT 31.2F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.03|| 0.028 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.09|| 0.86 0| 0|100 180113/0400Z 58 02009KT 31.5F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.13|| 0.120 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.22|| 0.98 0| 0|100 180113/0500Z 59 02010KT 31.0F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.03|| 0.028 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.25|| 1.01 0| 0|100 180113/0600Z 60 02011KT 30.6F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.05|| 0.043 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.29|| 1.05 0| 0|100 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 180113/0700Z 61 02011KT 30.8F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.09|| 0.083 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.38|| 1.14 0| 0|100 180113/0800Z 62 01010KT 30.6F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.08|| 0.077 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.46|| 1.21 0| 0|100 180113/0900Z 63 36012KT 29.4F FZDZ 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.01|| 0.013 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.48|| 1.23 0| 2| 98 180113/1000Z 64 01012KT 28.5F FZDZ 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.01|| 0.010 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.49|| 1.24 0| 7| 93 180113/1100Z 65 02012KT 27.8F ZRPL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.01|| 0.01|| 0.014 0:1| 0.0|| 0.01|| 0.49|| 1.25 0| 40| 60 180113/1200Z 66 01011KT 26.3F PL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.02|| 0.00|| 0.010 0:1| 0.0|| 0.03|| 0.49|| 1.26 0|100| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 180113/1300Z 67 36011KT 24.9F PL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.01|| 0.00|| 0.006 0:1| 0.0|| 0.04|| 0.49|| 1.27 0|100| 0 180113/1400Z 68 35010KT 24.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.04|| 0.49|| 1.27 0| 0| 0 180113/1500Z 69 34010KT 22.9F SNPL 5:1| 0.0|| 0.01|| 0.00|| 0.007 5:1| 0.0|| 0.05|| 0.49|| 1.27 50| 50| 0 180113/1600Z 70 33010KT 22.0F SNOW 13:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.020 11:1| 0.3|| 0.05|| 0.49|| 1.29 100| 0| 0 180113/1700Z 71 33010KT 20.4F SNOW 13:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.017 12:1| 0.5|| 0.05|| 0.49|| 1.31 100| 0| 0 180113/1800Z 72 33010KT 19.5F SNOW 18:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.021 14:1| 0.9|| 0.05|| 0.49|| 1.33 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 180113/1900Z 73 33011KT 18.8F SNOW 23:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.009 15:1| 1.1|| 0.05|| 0.49|| 1.34 100| 0| 0 180113/2000Z 74 33011KT 17.5F SNOW 25:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.003 15:1| 1.2|| 0.05|| 0.49|| 1.34 100| 0| 0 180113/2100Z 75 33011KT 16.1F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 15:1| 1.2|| 0.05|| 0.49|| 1.34 0| 0| 0 180113/2200Z 76 32011KT 14.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 15:1| 1.2|| 0.05|| 0.49|| 1.34 0| 0| 0 180113/2300Z 77 32010KT 14.3F SNOW 17:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.003 15:1| 1.2|| 0.05|| 0.49|| 1.35 100| 0| 0 180114/0000Z 78 32010KT 13.5F SNOW 16:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.004 15:1| 1.3|| 0.05|| 0.49|| 1.35 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 180114/0100Z 79 32010KT 13.2F SNOW 20:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.006 16:1| 1.4|| 0.05|| 0.49|| 1.36 100| 0| 0 180114/0200Z 80 32010KT 13.0F SNOW 13:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.004 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 So it's either weak and east or amped and west. I don't think we see a middle ground of a great hit for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 10, 2018 Author Share Posted January 10, 2018 Will be watching tonight with my Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Absolutely maddening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JPOracle Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Just now, Rd9108 said: Absolutely maddening People are gonna be so angry, but honestly i don't care. But i think there is a chance it could be a slight nudge towards us, Still got 48 hours to go till the mess starts up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 12 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Absolutely maddening I'm not sold the SE trend is over, hope it doesn't turn into one of those be careful what you wish for things though and we end up fringed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 32 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: I'm not sold the SE trend is over, hope it doesn't turn into one of those be careful what you wish for things though and we end up fringed. Nope. When we are bullseye it shifts 100 miles either way. When it needs to shift 100 miles towards us, it stands pat. Maybe the NAM will start a positive trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwc Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 NWS Cleveland issued a WSW for Edinboro to Erie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 6 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Nope. When we are bullseye it shifts 100 miles either way. When it needs to shift 100 miles towards us, it stands pat. Maybe the NAM will start a positive trend. Hahah seriously bro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Absolutely maddening Why do we continue to torture ourselves like this?Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 22 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Nope. When we are bullseye it shifts 100 miles either way. When it needs to shift 100 miles towards us, it stands pat. Maybe the NAM will start a positive trend. Frustrating part is even it shifts it will likely be weaker. So probably won't even be more than the 3 or 4 inches anyway. Where's the 6z nam, let's bring that one back lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 1 minute ago, SteelCity08 said: Frustrating part is even it shifts it will likely be weaker. So probably won't even be more than the 3 or 4 inches anyway. Where's the 6z nam, let's bring that one back lol. I’ll just be happy if we can get a bigger snowstorm than Georgia, Florida, Alabama, sc, Norfolk, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Pretty sure this is what Einstein was talking about when he was defining insanity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Umm, guys....look at the NAM.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 How is no one posting the NAM. Aaaaaaaaaa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 NAMd!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 1 minute ago, Rd9108 said: NAMd!!!!!!! Wow!!!!!!! A foot!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 3k NAM says f you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 I'll just leave this here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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