AMZ8990 Posted December 16, 2017 Author Share Posted December 16, 2017 15 minutes ago, John1122 said: I honestly like your position better currently than mine. As I mentioned, out of the 50 ens members more were similar to the 12z run yesterday with the western areas near the threat than the far eastern areas. At this range the signal is strong that a storm is going to happen. Think of it like a hurricane cone. I'd say St Louis to Charlotte at minimum are still in the window of it's potential path. Thanks Carver, I needed someone to bring me back down to reality! Ha. I hope it pans out for all of us honestly. You are right though, it has had west tn near the storm or in it on quite a few runs. I'm anxious to see how todays runs pan out. BTW, it sure was nice to see ole Jax posting last night. I'm sure I speak for most on our forum when I say we've been missing his input. We're Glad to hear your feeling better Jax!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 This is the control from last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 12z GFS makes some big changes to the EPO ridge around 222. I am of a mind to toss it unless it has support from other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 12z gfs takes the apps runner path an gives the western areas a big ice event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 Major differences at high latitudes on the GFS. Definitely not buying that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will (little rock) Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 1 minute ago, Carvers Gap said: Major differences at high latitudes on the GFS. Definitely not buying that run. Thank goodness lol I live in the bulls eye in Southern Arkansas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will (little rock) Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 How does the Euro Snowfall Map Look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 4 minutes ago, Will (little rock) said: How does the Euro Snowfall Map Look? The 0z Euro is basically 1-3 inches from Monroe, Louisiana and extreme SE Arkansas with heavier totals through North Central Mississippi with 3-4 inches in those areas and NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 I looked back through the last 10 runs of the GFS for 1 pm on the 23rd. It's a valley wide moderate snow event, freezing rain events for NW areas, all rain with the freezing line in central Ohio, all rain with the freezing rain in central Kentucky, and two or three runs it was no precip at all with the freezing line in central Mississippi with deep south ice. So to say the least, we're still a ways out and it's sorting plenty of things out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 Tapatalk working now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 The Canadian makes very little sense to me. Nicely positioned 1043 Hp with -20 degree temps under it but the storm cuts straight into it and warms us well above freezing and seems to shove the high northwards towards Canada due to a super ridge over central Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 I really just have a hard time with every solution that seems to come out. I don't see an App Runner with that screaming 1058 High dropping out of Saskatchewan and the SER being weaker, maybe an inland runner coastal Carolinas or Miller A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastKnox Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 So far, the 12z Euro is more progressive and isn't stalling the 500 mb cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 Slows it down once again in the eastern Valley and the cold catches up with it,nice hit for you guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 Slows it down once again in the eastern Valley and the cold catches up with it,nice hit for you guysEven Knoxville?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 Euro blows the cold front through, but the second wave is weak/strung out and doesn't really get it's act together this run. Very light snow from Nashville eastwards basically. 1/2 inch or so in Nashville, maybe an inch just east of there, 1.5 inches on the high spots on the Plateau. 2 inches near Wise and the high spots of SWVA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 Least this Christmas might feel like Christmas.Both the GFS and Euro looks colder today.Euro this afternoon spits out.02 snow for us..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 8 minutes ago, John1122 said: Euro blows the cold front through, but the second wave is weak/strung out and doesn't really get it's act together this run. Very light snow from Nashville eastwards basically. 1/2 inch or so in Nashville, maybe an inch just east of there, 1.5 inches on the high spots on the Plateau. 2 inches near Wise and the high spots of SWVA. Yeah you're right,i didnt switch my control and was still looking at last evenings run,it wasnt that great after all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted December 16, 2017 Author Share Posted December 16, 2017 2 hours ago, John1122 said: 12z gfs takes the apps runner path an gives the western areas a big ice event. That would be a disaster if that panned out. That much ice has severe consequences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 I guess I'm here now since the Mid Atlantic posts aren't updating for some reason 12z Euro really doesn't have much of a storm at all during the Christmas timeframe More of a weak event really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 I guess I'm here now since the Mid Atlantic posts aren't updating for some reason 12z Euro really doesn't have much of a storm at all during the Christmas timeframe More of a weak event really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 4 minutes ago, Cobalt said: I guess I'm here now since the Mid Atlantic posts aren't updating for some reason 12z Euro really doesn't have much of a storm at all during the Christmas timeframe More of a weak event really They go through, you have to refresh your page each time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 3 minutes ago, jaxjagman said: They go through, you have to refresh your page each time. I've been doing that. Only have gotten your notification, and only have not seen updates from the Mid Atlantic thread, despite getting notifications saying there are 19 replies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 9 minutes ago, jaxjagman said: They go through, you have to refresh your page each time. I've been doing that. Only have gotten your notification, and only have not seen updates from the Mid Atlantic thread, despite getting notifications saying there are 19 replies And by the way, it keeps pasting previous images for whatever reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: I've been doing that. Only have gotten your notification, and only have not seen updates from the Mid Atlantic thread, despite getting notifications saying there are 19 replies Definite kinks need to be ironed out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 3 minutes ago, Cobalt said: I've been doing that. Only have gotten your notification, and only have not seen updates from the Mid Atlantic thread, despite getting notifications saying there are 19 replies Definite kinks need to be ironed out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 3 minutes ago, Cobalt said: I've been doing that. Only have gotten your notification, and only have not seen updates from the Mid Atlantic thread, despite getting notifications saying there are 19 replies Definite kinks need to be ironed out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 4 minutes ago, Cobalt said: I've been doing that. Only have gotten your notification, and only have not seen updates from the Mid Atlantic thread, despite getting notifications saying there are 19 replies Definite kinks need to be ironed out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 5 minutes ago, Cobalt said: I've been doing that. Only have gotten your notification, and only have not seen updates from the Mid Atlantic thread, despite getting notifications saying there are 19 replies And by the way, it keeps pasting previous images for whatever reason Not working for me now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 5 minutes ago, Cobalt said: I've been doing that. Only have gotten your notification, and only have not seen updates from the Mid Atlantic thread, despite getting notifications saying there are 19 replies And by the way, it keeps pasting previous images for whatever reason Not working for me now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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