PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 5, 2018 Author Share Posted January 5, 2018 Updated totals: BWI: 5.2" DCA: 2.7" IAD: 4.7" RIC: 6.1" That is enough for BristowWx to just edge WinterWxLuvr out of 1st place. Now it's more interesting, as the top three are really close: BristowWx: 8.1 WinterWxLuvr: 8.7 UIWWildthing: 10.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 18, 2018 Author Share Posted January 18, 2018 Updated: BWI: 6.5" DCA: 3.1" IAD: 5.0" RIC: 8.1" Leaderboard: BristowWx: 8.1 UIWWildthing: 10.5 WinterWxLuvr: 12.7 By the way, if anyone knows of any airport in the western areas of this subforum where NWS keeps official (or unofficial) snowfall data, please let me know! I want to find a way to get western areas of this forum covered in the contest somehow next year, but there doesn't seem to be anything as far as I can tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 On 11/21/2017 at 1:55 PM, WxUSAF said: BWI: 13.4” DCA: 8.1” IAD: 16.8” RIC: 6.2” tiebreaker: 3.2” Already busted on RIC, but I like where I stand on the other 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 19, 2018 Share Posted January 19, 2018 We aren't even half way through the snowfall season, based on previous years and the larger number of K-U storms in late January, February and March than this part of the season. Therefore it's a reasonable conjecture that you could double or even triple these numbers to estimate whose forecasts are really ahead. Keep the faith, double digit forecasters. Currently thinking the middle of February might produce a really good snowfall event. There is extreme cold all across northeast Siberia slowly spreading into Alaska. I have a hunch that some of this extreme cold will break off and head southeast late in January and this could set up good synoptics by mid-February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted January 19, 2018 Share Posted January 19, 2018 6 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Already busted on RIC, but I like where I stand on the other 3. And RIC # are horribly measured! You can never take their measurements seriously!! I think there is an area in DC that has the same problem. I am at 17" for Met winter and I am about 25 miles from RIC. Yea, we have done better being south, but their #s are still not accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 19, 2018 Share Posted January 19, 2018 On 11/21/2017 at 11:14 AM, Cobalt said: Just kidding. BWI: 24.6" DCA: 18.8" IAD: 26.9" RIC: 10.4" Tiebreaker (SBY) 7.8" Basically busted on Richmond, but not too far off to have a home run February and get relatively close to those numbers. Should've gone with Nina climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 19, 2018 Author Share Posted January 19, 2018 56 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Basically busted on Richmond, but not too far off to have a home run February and get relatively close to those numbers. Should've gone with Nina climo Why do you think you busted on Richmond? So far you're very close to what they have, and your forecast is higher than the current total, so there's always a chance they'll add to it and you'll be exactly right. Now for someone like myself, who didn't forecast enough for RIC, it can only stay the same or get worse. It's better to have an over departure rather than under at this point. WinterWxLuvr, for example, has already been eliminated from winning since his departures can only get worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 19, 2018 Share Posted January 19, 2018 1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: Why do you think you busted on Richmond? So far you're very close to what they have, and your forecast is higher than the current total, so there's always a chance they'll add to it and you'll be exactly right. Now for someone like myself, who didn't forecast enough for RIC, it can only stay the same or get worse. It's better to have an over departure rather than under at this point. WinterWxLuvr, for example, has already been eliminated from winning since his departures can only get worse. I feel like they'll get luckier once again, and top that total, if not much more. Good thing Salisbury is a tiebreaker though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shadowzone Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Do we have any updates from the minor event on 1/30? I think RIC reported 0.3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 31, 2018 Author Share Posted January 31, 2018 1 hour ago, Shadowzone said: Do we have any updates from the minor event on 1/30? I think RIC reported 0.3. Yes they did. All the other airports were just a T though. I hadn't bumped the thread because it doesn't really change anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shadowzone Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 and only a "T" again for Sunday 2/4/18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 18, 2018 Author Share Posted February 18, 2018 Updated totals: BWI: 8.7 DCA: 3.3 IAD: 6.6 RIC: 8.4 Current leaderboard: UIWWildthing: 7.4 BristowWx: 8.0 KingJWx: 14.0 Onceinalifetime2009-10: 16.0 BristowWx has already been eliminated (sorry!), so the next theoretical winner would be KingJWx- it's going to take a WWA event at least to move UIWWildthing out of first, so he/she is in a good spot right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 By the way, SBY now at 16.4" which is above all but perhaps four forecasts. I just skimmed through the forecasts, looks to me like there's a group of about five who would like to see one moderate snow event (in March no doubt) that largely avoids RIC. I didn't spot anybody who needs like 2-3" top ups to succeed, and then there's the rest of us looking for a big one (or two). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 20, 2018 Author Share Posted February 20, 2018 13 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: By the way, SBY now at 16.4" which is above all but perhaps four forecasts. I just skimmed through the forecasts, looks to me like there's a group of about five who would like to see one moderate snow event (in March no doubt) that largely avoids RIC. I didn't spot anybody who needs like 2-3" top ups to succeed, and then there's the rest of us looking for a big one (or two). I'm happy that I'll beat @WxUSAF in the tiebreaker this March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 I have a great tie-breaker, just no chance of a tie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 20, 2018 Author Share Posted February 20, 2018 1 hour ago, Roger Smith said: I have a great tie-breaker, just no chance of a tie. I know the feeling, that happened to me two years ago. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 8, 2018 Author Share Posted March 8, 2018 Updated totals: BWI: 10.5 DCA: 3.7 IAD: 6.6 RIC: 8.4 @UIWWildthing is still in the lead. The Sunday/Monday system may be what ultimately determines the winner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 16 hours ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: Updated totals: BWI: 10.5 DCA: 3.7 IAD: 6.6 RIC: 8.4 @UIWWildthing is still in the lead. The Sunday/Monday system may be what ultimately determines the winner. I'm winning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 9, 2018 Author Share Posted March 9, 2018 If @UIWWildthing does win it would be especially ironic, given that he or she was the very first person to post a forecast on November 1 and never once changed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 28 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: If @UIWWildthing does win it would be especially ironic, given that he or she was the very first person to post a forecast on November 1 and never once changed it. He by the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 13, 2018 Author Share Posted March 13, 2018 Updated totals: BWI: 10.5" DCA: 3.7" IAD: 6.6" RIC: 10.4" @UIWWildthing retains the lead. @KingJWx needs a WWA event that hits DCA and IAD but screws RIC and BWI. @Eskimo Joe needs a WWA event that hits DCA, IAD and BWI but screws RIC. @olafminesaw is in a great spot if we get a WWA event that hits all four airports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 13, 2018 Author Share Posted March 13, 2018 By the way, @Cobalt your Richmond forecast is exact so far. Zero departure. See? I told you don't call yourself a bust! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted March 16, 2018 Share Posted March 16, 2018 I need 2 small K-Us or one very big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 19, 2018 Author Share Posted March 19, 2018 This is gonna be an exciting finish- a lot of people in play if we do get a region-wide WSW event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 11/10/2017 at 12:09 PM, leesburg 04 said: BWI 19 DCA 11 IAD 20 RIC 8 Tie SBY 11 MBY 21 Is this still in play? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 19, 2018 Author Share Posted March 19, 2018 6 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Is this still in play? If the Euro is right, it sure is. You just need Richmond to get shafted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 22, 2018 Author Share Posted March 22, 2018 Updated totals: BWI: 15.2 DCA: 7.8 IAD: 11.9 RIC: 12.4 Our new leader is @olafminesaw way out in front with a departure of 6.6. Battle for second place is very close: Eskimo Joe: 12.9 RodneyS: 13.1 GramaxRefugee: 13.1 WxUSAF: 13.2 MillvilleWx: 13.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 22, 2018 Author Share Posted March 22, 2018 If only I hadn’t gone so low on RIC... I have the best BWI/DCA/IAD score lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Hey since this snowstorm happened in spring, shouldn't I be the winner? After all it's the WINTER snowfall contest (I'm kidding!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingJWx Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 I think I have the closest guess to IAD, right? I'm off by 0.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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