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November Discobs Thread


George BM

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7 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Current temp is 22 here. Could drop another degree before sunrise.

 

The Euro and 3km NAM were pretty much spot on. The HRRR, not so much.

I've found that the Nam Nest and Euro are the go to when it comes to temps inside 36 hours, even with my forecasts out west into Texas and the Desert SW. HRRR tends to overdue radiational cooling events, but it is pretty solid inside 8 hours when it comes to frontal boundaries. Forecasting the last 2.5 years at my job really opened my eyes to some of the intricacies in temp forecasting with high res guidance. At long leads beyond 36 hours, Euro is my go model to with blend of MOS and taking into account the setup. 

 

20 degrees at work and 16 back home. Brrrr 

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On 11/9/2017 at 5:27 PM, mitchnick said:

18z RGEM got a touch colder Saturday morning than 12z!!!!

 

rgem_T2m_neus_15.png

 

On 11/9/2017 at 5:38 PM, nw baltimore wx said:

If it gets down to 15 here Saturday morning, I will parade out in my backyard in the buff. No way it's going to be that cold.

 

On 11/9/2017 at 5:47 PM, nw baltimore wx said:

Oh, I'd video the whole thing. Just for RR.

 

33 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

20 here.

Is it safe to say we are now safe from your threats of posting video on your winter time exploits? B)

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