Stormpc Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 Final tally of 1.13. Max stripe just to my south. Nice event. Leaves falling, cooler weather on tap, Thanksgiving around the corner...Im feeling it. Great mood weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 Only 0.09 here, but a nice cool and cloudy day was a win over the warmth. Very foggy about the area this am and right at 50 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 .61" for me since last night. Drizzle now which will ruin plans for going to a farm with the kids Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 Been misty and cool all morning so far. Kinda gross, especially for a Sunday. Need the precious to stop so I can get some ribs going... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 2 hours ago, mattie g said: Been misty and cool all morning so far. Kinda gross, especially for a Sunday. Need the precious to stop so I can get some ribs going... I am kinda liking this cozy gray wet Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 59 minutes ago, Sparky said: I am kinda liking this cozy gray wet Sunday. Meh. I’m no fan of this kind of weather under pretty much any circumstances, but to each their own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 1 hour ago, Sparky said: I am kinda liking this cozy gray wet Sunday. It's felt like the past 2 or 3 weekends have been rainy, so I'm kinda getting sick of it. To each their own I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: Looking forward to the hard freeze this weekend. Not sure I will see a hard freeze here, but definitely the lowest temps so far. Decent chance of 32-33 with some frost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 I'm kinda looking forward to a thunderstorm tomorrow, especially knowing it will end this warm weather for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Nam twins been trending pretty cold with Tuesday night's system...a sneaky setup that could give an outside shot at first flakes for us northerners . As depicted southern Pa to m/d line see flakes. 12k gets some into n.md.. Not exactly long range nam...is it overdone...probably ...but 18z Gefs ensembles do lend some support. 12k is probably overdone. Shows 6" for some folks in Maryland. I guess we'll see once we get closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 0z GFS colder by a mile for Tuesday, Wednesday 18z time frame. Hope this becomes a trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 4 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Surely is...but it's not in left field. 18z gefs definitely trended colder . Anyone looking for accumulation is going to be disappointed but flakes are possible . 2m temps in the 30s with 850s near 0..Hey...I've seen it before. Deck pics from @showmethesnow.lol Nah, you mountain folk in N Carroll and Balt county have a better shot of seeing snow flakes then I do here in the Death Valley called Hanover. I actually have been keeping half an eye for a few days now on the day 7/8 time frame that you have been posting about. Think that might have some possibilities for us to see our first mood flakes, especially in the favored areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 14 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: "Nam twins been trending pretty cold with Tuesday night's system...a sneaky setup with cold draining on a north wind that could give an outside shot at first flakes for us northerners . As depicted southern Pa to m/d line see flakes. 12k gets some into n.md.. Not exactly long range nam...is it overdone...probably ...but 18z Gefs ensembles do lend some support" add Euro to list. Shows some trace amounts over northern areas. No mention of e50 on the EPS? Shame on you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 e50 @showmethesnowI was gonna mention that. Full faith in e50. All in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 06z GFS has a 60 hour span at DCA (starting tonight) where the temp stays between 43-48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 Another super soupy/foggy morning here, MAYBE 1/8 mile visibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 Life's little pleasures - the model runs coming out an hour early 12z NAM Nest is plenty raw tomorrow evening. Moderate rain, low 40s temps, and a bit of wind to knock down some leaves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 GFS coming around more toward the NAM's idea of western snow Tuesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 lol @ SPC adding the marginal risk at 1300z and removing it at 1630z. Probably wasn't even warranted to begin with - guidance has looked pretty meager for anything except showers with a little gusty wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 gotta love the 1070 High over Greenland on the fantasy GFS at 336 hrs. lol https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=namer&pkg=T850&runtime=2017110612&fh=348&xpos=0&ypos=408 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 5 minutes ago, mitchnick said: gotta love the 1070 High over Greenland on the fantasy GFS at 336 hrs. lol https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=namer&pkg=T850&runtime=2017110612&fh=348&xpos=0&ypos=408 It gets better. lol. I think we know why ens mean panels are showing a west based block sig. I can easily extrapolate a d17 snow storm with the vort in the SW. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 16 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It gets better. lol. I think we know why ens mean panels are showing a west based block sig. I can easily extrapolate a d17 snow storm with the vort in the SW. LOL We can only hope for a White Thanksgiving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 53 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It gets better. lol. I think we know why ens mean panels are showing a west based block sig. I can easily extrapolate a d17 snow storm with the vort in the SW. LOL Gotta be careful the northern vort doesn't catch it too quickly though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 51 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It gets better. lol. I think we know why ens mean panels are showing a west based block sig. I can easily extrapolate a d17 snow storm with the vort in the SW. LOL Me too, but I didn't want to mention it since I've already given the vultures out there waiting to pounce on me enough fodder if my thoughts on where this winter goes fails. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Me too, but I didn't want to mention it since I've already given the vultures out there waiting to pounce on me enough fodder if my thoughts on where this winter goes fails. lol We're getting close to calling the -ao/nao real and not fantasy. Trends have been unanimous across all guidance and the wheels start turning in the med range. Numerical indices look sweet AF right now too. 5 day mean looks great again as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 I’ll take any motherf*kers -3SD AO if they just GIVING it away, but I have a little hesitation when seeing that vortex moving into AK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 44 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Gotta be careful the northern vort doesn't catch it too quickly though. It's METEOROLOGICALLY IMPOSSIBLE for any storm to cut into that block!!1!!1!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 Euro is cold Saturday morning. Like 23 at my house. Probably means -15 at IAD and 33 at DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 12 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Euro is cold Saturday morning. Like 23 at my house. Probably means -15 at IAD and 33 at DCA. These free Euro maps are sweet https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/fairfax/temperature-f/20171111-1200z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 6, 2017 Share Posted November 6, 2017 2 hours ago, mattie g said: It's METEOROLOGICALLY IMPOSSIBLE for any storm to cut into that block!!1!!1!! You spell entirely too well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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