George BM Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 KIAD: 38F to start Novie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 Days like this with thick cloud cover can bust cold. Always love driving to/from work on days like today really gets that winter fell set in you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 not sure whether to put this here or in the longer range thread, but Monday appears to have some SVR potential here, with (for now) modest instability progged ahead of a strong cold front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 1 hour ago, high risk said: not sure whether to put this here or in the longer range thread, but Monday appears to have some SVR potential here, with (for now) modest instability progged ahead of a strong cold front @Kmlwx Soundings are decent enough for 18z MON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 50 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Winter feel out there . Currently 44 at 2pm MOS was like 58 today for Westminster wasn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 Just now, losetoa6 said: Gfs 0z Cobb output had 56.2 for Westminster. Actual high at my house was 54 before it dropped after lunch to 44 at 2pm. Nice. I love days in November that wind up being cold, cloudy and slightly windy. Just something awesome about it. Especially if you have a wood stove and a nice house in the countryside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 3 hours ago, yoda said: @Kmlwx Soundings are decent enough for 18z MON We'll see. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 Just now, losetoa6 said: Everything but the wood stove . I settle for a firepit Just don't light your house off...we ran 2 house fires on Monday in Pleasant Valley! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 59 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: We'll see. Meh. no one is calling for wedges, and if this were in early May, we'd correctly be downplaying it. It's more of a "looking for any hint of potential" setup. But it's looks like a low- topped line with big gusts is certainly a possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 52 minutes ago, high risk said: no one is calling for wedges, and if this were in early May, we'd correctly be downplaying it. It's more of a "looking for any hint of potential" setup. But it's looks like a low- topped line with big gusts is certainly a possibility. That I will agree with. - We'll see what method we follow to failure this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 The GFS isn't in agreement yet, but the NAM and especially the NAM nest look nasty for Saturday with highs barely making it to 50 and some light rain overspreading the area during the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 42 minutes ago, high risk said: The GFS isn't in agreement yet, but the NAM and especially the NAM nest look nasty for Saturday with highs barely making it to 50 and some light rain overspreading the area during the afternoon. Yeah, a very CAD-y look to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 Toasty out today. IAD 76, DCA 75 at the last ob. My station has popped above 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 4 hours ago, MN Transplant said: Yeah, a very CAD-y look to it. Bring it . Love the three C’s... CAD, cold, clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 78 as well here. Took a drive today out 66 then up 81 thru Winchester and west, then back Rt 50, 17 and 66 back home. Sadly, the foliage is so drab. Lower elevations, even here locally, it's 'ok'...but it's strange seeing hill and mountain sides with nearly full leaf canopy, but no color other than light yellows and brown's. I know its past peak but was thru there last week as well and not much difference. That 6 week late August thru early Oct drought ruined it. Carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 21 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I’m sick of November torches. unlike most of us on the Board, they're normal around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 4, 2017 Share Posted November 4, 2017 Chilly this morning at 42. It should be a beautiful fall day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 4, 2017 Share Posted November 4, 2017 43 here. That HP over Ontario is getting it done for today. Nice change from the way too warm weather of the past couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 4, 2017 Share Posted November 4, 2017 11 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Mini model war for end of week happening. Gfs really backed off last 2 runs on the 3 day cold snap..evident at H5... but Euro has held serve . 850s Gfs...some timing differences but you get the picture. You can add the Ukmet to the Gfs camp as well A model on its own is usually wrong. The GFS lately has thrown out some outlier solutions at 6z however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 4, 2017 Share Posted November 4, 2017 As long as its seasonably cool, it doesn't matter to me if we end up with a "less cold" stretch than modeled. Not like we are concerned about snow chances or anything this time of year. I am just so done with mid to upper 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted November 4, 2017 Share Posted November 4, 2017 1 hour ago, C.A.P.E. said: As long as its seasonably cool, it doesn't matter to me if we end up with a "less cold" stretch than modeled. Not like we are concerned about snow chances or anything this time of year. I am just so done with mid to upper 70s. Agreed. I don't need BN temps at this time of year; I just want some damn seasonal temps for more than 2 day stretches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted November 4, 2017 Share Posted November 4, 2017 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: A model on its own is usually wrong. The GFS lately has thrown out some outlier solutions at 6z however. A model showing cold is usually wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 4, 2017 Share Posted November 4, 2017 Nicer out today than I imagined it would be. 48.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted November 4, 2017 Share Posted November 4, 2017 51.5, clouds thickening. Showers incoming by mid afternoon. Beautiful day. I love the extended period of 50s/30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 4, 2017 Share Posted November 4, 2017 Now this is a beautiful November day. 52F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted November 4, 2017 Share Posted November 4, 2017 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: 3k putting down upwards of .75"+ tonight. Wasn't expecting that much Looks like a decent little overrunning setup this evening at least for light/steady rain, and disco mentioned possible fog/drizzle later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted November 4, 2017 Share Posted November 4, 2017 51 degrees. .33 so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 1.05 of rain. Pretty substantial considering the forcasted amounts. Love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 Picked up 0.45" overnight. This past week was dry after the 2"+ that fell last Sunday, and despite the warm temps the soil remained very moist. Can really see the effects of the lowering sun angle and shorter days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 5, 2017 Share Posted November 5, 2017 0.60". Good for the new grass. Definitely peak color this weekend. Maple is days away from all coming down in a bunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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