mattie g Posted November 23, 2017 Share Posted November 23, 2017 4 hours ago, RDM said: Good luck. Ran a 5K Turkey Trot in 15:05 in HS. (ran x-country and track back then...) But,,, that was 37 years and 100+ lbs ago. The only way I'd "run" a 5K now would be out of a plane with no parachute. Even then the extra mass would likely create too much drag. Can still do a sub 9:00 5 K on skates, but apples and oranges... Weak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 I'm thinking we punt the first half of December. I think we hit 70 at least twice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 27 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I'm thinking we punt the first half of December. I think we hit 70 at least twice First half? Please no. I can’t handle it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: The Panic Room will be open before you know it. Already got some candidates for the watch list. Put me on it. I thought I could handle it on my own. But I am weak. If we go snowless in December I’ll be on life support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Could be worse. You could be Chuck No. I have my dignity. And I do believe if we go snowless in December I will have company in the panic room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 29 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Yea man. There seems to be a disconnect with what guidance is showing and some of the posts around here. We're still a full week from the end of November. Very impressive blocking is showing up on all guidance. Our decent snow climo doesn't even really start for several weeks. The mild pattern showing up is only a downstream ridge response to troughing in the west. Pretty normal stuff. Everything else looks really good to me. 12z eps loses the AN heights in our hood by d15 and the gefs has been consistently faster. I see no reason to be negative about December at all. If anything we should all be more optimistic than at any time in the last 6 years. Imho- it's only a matter of time before the storm track starts looking ripe for areas south of 40N. I want what you're smoking. However I concede that Northern MD could cash in on something while I am left in the dust, outside chance but with the global oceans as warm as they are winter will not come till mid Jan if the 500mb pattern is cooperative, even then it will be a struggle. I still don't fully know for certain if the hadley cell perturbation is stable. People don't realize how cold this pattern should be. Things have certainly fundamentally shifted since the 2016 El Nino. No surprise to anyone with a plebeian understanding of climate stair-stepping and water vapor feedbacks. The narrative has changed massively since 2010. You could say that back then AGW was comfortably stuck inside the background noise of climate however that is no longer the case. Infact, in order to accurately forecast we really need to discuss stuff like mid-latitude SSTA and summer thermal inertia (Without the taboo that still exists on this forum). God willing this heat will enhance snowfall once more for us instead of teasing us with near-misses. I can't stress it enough, climate forcings giveth and taketh away. You need to find that sweet spot for running your SUV, threading the needle per se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 I'm just a clown...ignore me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 A good example of 500mb blocking not yielding cold air at our laditude as per 20th century climate averages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 Good news, the Skins held the Giants to 3 points on defense. The bad news? It took them 2 quarters and 13 minutes to score a touchdown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 I'm all in on the "weather forecasting" ability of my crappy wx station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 I should clarify when I say punt the first two weeks of December I'm talking business days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 24 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I should clarify when I say punt the first two weeks of December I'm talking business days And if you don't work? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 8 hours ago, Vice-Regent said: A good example of 500mb blocking not yielding cold air at our laditude as per 20th century climate averages. How about this. Is this a good example of anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 Don't bother CAPE. When you wear bias glasses darker than eclipse glasses you can't even see the panels in front of you let alone properly analyze them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 44 minutes ago, mitchnick said: And if you don't work? Then you have to sit at the kiddie table and wait for sloppy seconds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 Things could get interesting around mid December. I like. I will be heading out to Canaan sometime probably before Xmas. It would be nice if I could use my snowshoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 Tried some Sierra Nevada Trip in the Woods- Ginger Bigfoot. Pretty tasty stuff. Lots of Ginger going on, and a tad sweet. Pretty well balanced though with the hops. Nice holiday season beer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 2 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: Tried some Sierra Nevada Trip in the Woods- Ginger Bigfoot. Pretty tasty stuff. Lots of Ginger going on, and a tad sweet. Pretty well balanced though with the hops. Nice holiday season beer. Not much of a ginger person myself. The Sierra Nevada Holiday pack I had yesterday was alright. The Coffee Stout in it I actually enjoyed though it wasn't quite to the level of a Guinness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 3 hours ago, Bob Chill said: Don't bother CAPE. When you wear bias glasses darker than eclipse glasses you can't even see the panels in front of you let alone properly analyze them. The idea that I want a particular outcome is nutty. I just try to understand where we are going. I am left in the dust on the EPS mean as well, vindicated once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 1 hour ago, Vice-Regent said: The idea that I want a particular outcome is nutty. I just try to understand where we are going. I am left in the dust on the EPS mean as well, vindicated once again. No you dont. You post panels during a time frame when the pattern is clearly in transition, and you gleefully exclaim that cold air-masses are extinct in the midlatitudes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 There's my 70 on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 Alright that’s enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 @C.A.P.E. and @nw baltimore wx...did you get a chance to hunt for Bourbon County Brand Stout today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 7 minutes ago, mattie g said: @C.A.P.E. and @nw baltimore wx...did you get a chance to hunt for Bourbon County Brand Stout today? No I didn't. I avoid going out on Black Friday if I can help it lol. Did you score any? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 13 minutes ago, mattie g said: @C.A.P.E. and @nw baltimore wx...did you get a chance to hunt for Bourbon County Brand Stout today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 Just now, nw baltimore wx said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 5 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: My local store has three varieties. The original, the blueberry, and the coffee (I think). I just got the original. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 8 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: 9 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Holy crap. I found one on Kent Island. They have one left and they are holding it for me. Woop! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 3 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: My local store has three varieties. The original, the blueberry, and the coffee (I think). I just got the original. Its hard to find stuff like that around here, and usually the good places only get a small quantity of the limited/early release stuff. The KBS was tough but I got a few. Anyway I am off to get mine now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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