psv88 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 13 minutes ago, bluewave said: The current 72 at ISP is only 4 off the record high of 76. 72 now here as well, incredible day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 2, 2017 Author Share Posted November 2, 2017 Current temp is 74 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 Silly warmth again today-these torches often over-perform. Looks like more of the same tomorrow, one day cooldown Sat and right back into it Sun/Mon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: It’s incredbily warm on the SS right now. I was just standing on the LIRR platform In shorts and a tank top straight from the gym. I’m starting to get nervous we are in for a torch winter With the near record SST's and high dewpoints, even the South Shore is able to get 70's on a southerly flow in early November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 was very warm when i went out this morning i almost forgot it was november.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 Temp was hovering around 74-75 on the SSP. No complaints at all from me. I noticed daffodils popping up out of the ground earlier, I wouldn’t be surprised if they started blooming before the cold does them in, if that even happens at the rate we’re going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 22 minutes ago, bluewave said: With the near record SST's and high dewpoints, even the South Shore is able to get 70's on a southerly flow in early November. The Atlantic SSTs have gone to a classic -AMO configuration: -AMO: Current SSTs: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 doesn't really look like a -AMO. Just less positive. EPIC warmth in the NW Atlantic around NE Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 Just for comparison, +AMO: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 Still no frost here. The pepper, eggplant and tomato plants are in remarkably good shape for this late in the season and I'm also still getting a good crop of raspberries. Looks as if the cool shot next week might end the growing season? I'm glad we're at least extending it through the first week of November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 one of the remarkable things about this fall's warm spell is the warm SSTs and it's lack of a fall sea-breeze I just went back in my records and found that today's high IMBY of 72F is the only time since I moved to my home here in Shirley (10/2007) that I've ever hit a high above 70 in November, mostly due to, if we had a warm spell in the past, the sea-breeze would kick in and mute the high temperature here are my records for November maxes 2007- 66.7 2008- 64.6 2009- 64.2 2010- 62.8 2011- 65.5 2012- 64.8 2013 - 64.9 2014 - 64.5 2015 - 67.8 2016- 64.7 2017 - 72.0 (so far) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 2 hours ago, winterwx21 said: Still no frost here. The pepper, eggplant and tomato plants are in remarkably good shape for this late in the season and I'm also still getting a good crop of raspberries. Looks as if the cool shot next week might end the growing season? I'm glad we're at least extending it through the first week of November. I'm still picking figs. Grape tomatoes are still very sweet too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 It's a scary future when we're shattering records left and right so quickly/frequently. If things turned this warm after one strong Nino, then you can only imagine what the next ones will bring. 18z gfs is basically a torch with a few near normal days sprinkled in. If the 2nd week chill underperforms then we should easily be <+7 by mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 Sitting outside in watchung and hearing crickets on November 2nd is strange Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 1 hour ago, swamplover56 said: Sitting outside in watchung and hearing crickets on November 2nd is strange front screen door still has screen in it (usually have the glass in by now) and it's open tonight letting in the mild air....just crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 64/61. What month is it again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: It's a scary future when we're shattering records left and right so quickly/frequently. If things turned this warm after one strong Nino, then you can only imagine what the next ones will bring. 18z gfs is basically a torch with a few near normal days sprinkled in. If the 2nd week chill underperforms then we should easily be <+7 by mid month. Our entire climate zone is changing. I’m dreading that first snow free winter. It’s coming just hopefully not soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 11/2: TEB: 77 New Brunswick: 76 ACY: 75 EWR: 75 TTN: 75 PHL: 75 ISP: 73 LGA: 72 NYC: 72 JFK: 71 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 Next 8 days averaging 55degs., or +4degs. or +5degs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 8 hours ago, swamplover56 said: Sitting outside in watchung and hearing crickets on November 2nd is strange Completely agree. Between the crickets and Katydids, I would have thought it was the third week of August. I still have the screens in as well Brian. 2015 I made it all the way through December with them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 Went surf fishing today in S Jersey and still catching summer fare (kingfish, spot, weakfish/sea trout). Even had a Florida pompano. Unreal. Used to fish for stripers in 3rd week of Sept when the fall run USED to begin in the 90s......then it turned into an October run after 2000......2009 or so moved to November. Now looks like December will be the month. Not liking the looks from the various LR ens for remainder of November.....AN temps BN precip.Sent from my LG-V410 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 Between 8th -19th., average temps. might average BN overall. Brutal heat lol! on 12-14th. might rival 1993 on those same dates. http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfct_anom&rh=2017110306&fh=240&r=conus&dpdt= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 Foliage color rapidly increasing now, should be at peak in a couple days, which is a solid week behind schedule. I think the numerous chilly nights here since mid October in concert with the dryness probably precluded a mid November peak for color. I do notice driving through NJ though that the urban corridor of NE NJ is probably about 65% changed whereas much of Monmouth is closer to 80%. The radiational cooling has a material effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 off to the races today. Already in the low 60's here. Sunday and Monday look warm too, so we'll be +5 to start the month 1st week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 Mostly cloudy. 63F. Predicted high today is 70F, wouldn't be surprised if we surpass it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 would think some records highs are in jeopardy today given how quick temps are moving up and full sun for a chunk of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 Google photos reminded me of a hike I did with my family today two years ago and the trees still had a fair bit of leaves hanging on and the color level was similar to this year. I think there is a bit more leaf cover this year but not much. Nice day out there right now but maybe a chance at some wetness this afternoon...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 In perfect GFS style, the temperature for this time next week has been altered by more than 40 degrees in one run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 6 minutes ago, CIK62 said: In perfect GFS style, the temperature for this time next week has been altered by more than 40 degrees in one run. up or down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 9 minutes ago, gravitylover said: up or down? Highs in the mid 30s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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