ForestHillWx Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 24/11. Pretty cold for mid November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 12, 2017 Author Share Posted November 12, 2017 Current temp is 27 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 25 as I type in New City Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 21° right now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 27° here currently...lots of high clouds keeping temp up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 Next 8 days averaging 45degs., or about 2degs. BN. NYC now officially BN for month @-1.1degs. We should be about -1.5degs. by the 20th at this rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 Select Record Low Temperatures for 11/12/2017: New York City: …JFK: 29° (old record: 32°) Newark: 28° (old record: 29°) White Plains: 25° (old record: 26°) JFK and Newark set records on November 10, 11, and 12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 2 hours ago, bluewave said: It means that we are seeing the strongest ever Aleutian ridge blocking for the month of November which is set to continue. Just like recent years, record Pacific blocking is dominating again. The key here is how far west that positive is When the trough develops NE of Hawaii , it translates to one on the EC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 Ended up at 22F this morning with the fields white with frost and leaves browning. No record locally but pretty impressive to have 21F and 22F for two consecutive nights in early November. For 48 hours it's felt like mid January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 14 hours ago, Juliancolton said: This is easily the earliest I can remember having multi-day ice on my pond. Probably by at least a week or two. Hopefully it portends some decent ice on the Hudson for the first winter since '13-14... I'd love to see the ice yachts out in action again. Wasn’t the Hudson also covered by ice in February 2015? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 4 hours ago, CIK62 said: Next 8 days averaging 45degs., or about 2degs. BN. NYC now officially BN for month @-1.1degs. We should be about -1.5degs. by the 20th at this rate. Wow. We turned that around pretty quickly. Very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 Just curious, I know we have buoy temps for the ocean. Are there however water temps for the Hudson river ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 todays low would have been impressive if it was the coldest morning so far this month... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larrye Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 Anybody see anything credible in this? https://patch.com/new-york/longbeach/s/ga1sp/first-major-snow-northeast-could-come-thanksgiving?utm_source=facebook.com&utm_medium=social&utm_term=weather&utm_campaign=autopost&utm_content=longbeach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 Gfs was close with a coastal storm for thanksgiving week. Gefs is also close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 1 hour ago, larrye said: Anybody see anything credible in this? https://patch.com/new-york/longbeach/s/ga1sp/first-major-snow-northeast-could-come-thanksgiving?utm_source=facebook.com&utm_medium=social&utm_term=weather&utm_campaign=autopost&utm_content=longbeach I wouldn’t but into it, they call the polar vortex a “storm”. Hmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 1 hour ago, larrye said: Anybody see anything credible in this? https://patch.com/new-york/longbeach/s/ga1sp/first-major-snow-northeast-could-come-thanksgiving?utm_source=facebook.com&utm_medium=social&utm_term=weather&utm_campaign=autopost&utm_content=longbeach It’s a kiddie playing fake meteorologist on social media. It’s become a trend over the last few years... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 For those interested, I posted my winter outlook in the main forum: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larrye Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Gfs was close with a coastal storm for thanksgiving week. Gefs is also close. I see that. But how much credibility would any reputable met put into a GFS run that is "close" at 288 hours out? If it were a long-range forecast or a statement of seeing a pattern change that far out ... maybe. But ... 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Gfs was close with a coastal storm for thanksgiving week. Gefs is also close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 7 hours ago, sferic said: Just curious, I know we have buoy temps for the ocean. Are there however water temps for the Hudson river ? This might do it: https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?cb_00010=on&cb_00060=on&cb_00095=on&cb_62619=on&cb_63680=on&cb_72137=on&format=html&site_no=01372058&period=&begin_date=2017-11-05&end_date=2017-11-12 Has a lot of other 'water quality' type stats too. Reminds me that back during the early 1960's drought, the City was force to build [1964] a pumping station above the 'salt line'---beyond Kingston, I suppose ---(but not above the pollution line lol) as our reservoirs headed toward 20% when 80%-90% was normal. Chlorine up the wazzoo was added and the flow was fed directly into one of the water tunnels and on to our taps. This has info on the plant which was at Chelsea, which is below Kingston. https://pubs.usgs.gov/of/1988/0315/report.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 5 minutes ago, bluewave said: Euro continuing with near record low pressures for November cutting through the Great Lakes next weekend. It would be something if we get get pressures near record lows again following the record breaking late October event. Eps still shows blocking and it's different than the op in regards to the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 12, 2017 Author Share Posted November 12, 2017 16 minutes ago, bluewave said: Euro continuing with near record low pressures for November cutting through the Great Lakes next weekend. It would be something if we get get pressures near record lows again following the record breaking late October event. Could the storm in the lakes next weekend like the Euro is showing trigger a complete pattern change? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 2 hours ago, CIK62 said: This might do it: https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?cb_00010=on&cb_00060=on&cb_00095=on&cb_62619=on&cb_63680=on&cb_72137=on&format=html&site_no=01372058&period=&begin_date=2017-11-05&end_date=2017-11-12 Has a lot of other 'water quality' type stats too. Reminds me that back during the early 1960's drought, the City was force to build [1964] a pumping station above the 'salt line'---beyond Kingston, I suppose ---(but not above the pollution line lol) as our reservoirs headed toward 20% when 80%-90% was normal. Chlorine up the wazzoo was added and the flow was fed directly into one of the water tunnels and on to our taps. Fantastic reference! Thanks so much ! Just seeing if data can be converted to Fahrenheit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 Looks like all the models now have a storm before Turkey Day Right now, it looks warm for our area but we have to see if the models correct the storm to the south with the block in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Looks like all the models now have a storm before Turkey Day Right now, it looks warm for our area but we have to see if the models correct the storm to the south with the block in place. The upcoming pattern will produce for our area I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 13, 2017 Share Posted November 13, 2017 18z GEFS has the 2 inch line into NYC throughout the run with a lot of snow for inland areas and near the lakes region I think we will all see some snow with this upcoming pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 13, 2017 Share Posted November 13, 2017 9 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Wasn’t the Hudson also covered by ice in February 2015? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 13, 2017 Share Posted November 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, Rjay said: Thanks. I would love to see another month like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted November 13, 2017 Share Posted November 13, 2017 Colder than forecasted so far already below Upton's low with clearer skies than expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 13, 2017 Share Posted November 13, 2017 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: 18z GEFS has the 2 inch line into NYC throughout the run with a lot of snow for inland areas and near the lakes region I think we will all see some snow with this upcoming pattern If the models start hitting the -NAO like the 18z gfs did then you're probably right. I'll lean with climo on this one but we probably have a better than normal chance at some snow this month, take any Novie snows as a bonus. Then again there's the Euro op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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