nw baltimore wx Posted October 29, 2017 Author Share Posted October 29, 2017 47 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Was the radar supposed to look like that at this point? Nice split going on now I think the hrrr showed a split and a very defined cutoff, though the main slug was shown to be a bit more west. Also shows a break for the morning and then steady rain moving in for the evening and overnight just in time for the DC showdown this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 .11 here. Somehow, we managed to miss most of the rain over-night. Now, if we could only find a way to miss out on the wind to come later... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 2.18 in gauge when emptied at 7am, STILL raining. Front is through here, winds have picked up out of west about 10 mph and temp has fell 5 degrees in last hour, now 45.4 at 7am. New record for rainfall for date, smashing the old mark of 0.83 from 2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 0.09” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 0.42", breezy now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 So far 0.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlowerLowerDE Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 .18 here at 8:00 am. Rain began around 7:30 am. Just looked at the weather briefing product put out by Mount Holly. Wow! What a comprehensive and clear product that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Are you sure the gfs is wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 0.00 here as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 3 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Are you sure the gfs is wrong? Looks like it nailed it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 3 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Looks like it nailed it lol It will be much different later this afternoon once the low gets cranking and the deform zone forms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Deep Creek already sitting at 32F. Should be a fun day out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Pretty steady rain here the past 2 hours. 0.35" so far. Heavier stuff incoming now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Everything appears to be going according to plan. I think those of us I95 and west just missed out on about .25 of rain. That's all. Let's this play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Leesburg is back in fine form. lol.14” per my PWS this amSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 19 minutes ago, peribonca said: Deep Creek already sitting at 32F. Should be a fun day out there. Canaan looks fun tonight. Temps in the upper 20s with snow and winds to 40 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Snowing pretty good at Wise, Va now. Here's a cam link : https://www.uvawise.edu/academics/department-mathematics-computer-science/campus-webcam/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 It will be interesting to see how this goes right now the suns coming out in my location it’s pushing 70° ....Not looking very frightful at all in fact it looks like practically every other weekend so far. Above normal temps and rain that fails to produce. Storms that blow up to our NE are often not that exciting. Let’s see what this does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 3 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: Snowing pretty good at Wise, Va now. Here's a cam link : https://www.uvawise.edu/academics/department-mathematics-computer-science/campus-webcam/ Good to see that this early! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 A whopping .06" so far today. Squarely in the middle of the proverbial DC slot. Hope the HRRR is correct re us getting something later today/this evening. We need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 If one goes back through all of the NAM nest runs of the past two days, while the details have moved around, they've consistently shown that the Sunday morning precip would produce a "screw zone" for a decent chunk of DC Metro. They've also been consistent that the late afternoon period into the overnight will bring a soaker. Now that we're into HRRR range, nothing has changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 57 minutes ago, high risk said: If one goes back through all of the NAM nest runs of the past two days, while the details have moved around, they've consistently shown that the Sunday morning precip would produce a "screw zone" for a decent chunk of DC Metro. They've also been consistent that the late afternoon period into the overnight will bring a soaker. Now that we're into HRRR range, nothing has changed. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 There have been some 40-45 dbz returns moving over the last hour. 0.73" in the rain gauge so far. Might end up with an inch from the southerly flow ahead of the front this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 hour ago, poolz1 said: 0.00 here as well... Wow, much better luck here not far to your west. Had some good downpours after midnight, and am up to 0.55" now. Baro down to 29.58" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 probably worth noting now that the newer HRRR and NAM nest runs do not like big rain amounts in northern VA. The further northeast you are from DC, the better you'll do. <edit> this is pretty uninspiring for my 1000th post. I was hoping it would say "I see the rapidly rotating wall cloud just off to my northeast." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 4 minutes ago, high risk said: probably worth noting now that the newer HRRR and NAM nest runs do not like big rain amounts in northern VA. The further northeast you are from DC, the better you'll do. <edit> this is pretty uninspiring for my 1000th post. I was hoping it would say "I see the rapidly rotating wall cloud just off to my northeast." Yea, i haven't been too excited about precip totals. 0z euro was 1-2" with some higher amounts splattered around. Mosty eastern areas which makes sense given the synoptic pattern. All the models have shown some skip zones in our area in general. All the fun is packed into the comma/deform which won't get cranking here till later in the afternoon. Should be interesting on radar. Not the type of setup that you can extrapolate. It's going to blossom and intensify. Should be some banding that hits some areas pretty good. Won't know exactly where until it's happening. Even without big totals there should be a good period of wind driven rain during the late afternoon/evening. It will certainly feel like a big storm at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 7 minutes ago, high risk said: probably worth noting now that the newer HRRR and NAM nest runs do not like big rain amounts in northern VA. The further northeast you are from DC, the better you'll do. <edit> this is pretty uninspiring for my 1000th post. I was hoping it would say "I see the rapidly rotating wall cloud just off to my northeast." Interesting. This is no surprise to me at all. Our best storms do not take this path regardless of what the models spit out. The margin for error is slim for storms that blow up to our NE. Waiting for wrap around? It doesn’t happen much regardless of snow or rain. My zone forecast last night had me at a high of 59 with falling temps and rain. It’s 69 with mostly cloudy skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Getting a break here now. Skies have brightened. Time to head to the store. Lots of football to watch and very little beer. Total from "round one" is 0.95" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 I’ve got soup in the crockpot, kid decorating pumpkins and football on tv, it can do whatever it wants today. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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