nw baltimore wx Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 This should jinx it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Its actually Ophelia if its named Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 28, 2017 Author Share Posted October 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, yoda said: Its actually Ophelia if its named Well, there you go. eta. I thought that was the Ireland storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 11 minutes ago, CT Rain said: That's impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Well, there you go. eta. I thought that was the Ireland storm. Damn, you are right... my bad NHC didn't have it up on the list yet on here -- http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWSAT.shtml So that's why I messed up... carry on smartly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Fun storm, wind. It will be cool to walk around at 1am. 5 degrees away from being snow on the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck said: Fun storm, wind. It will be cool to walk around at 1am. 5-10 degrees away from being snow on the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 28, 2017 Author Share Posted October 28, 2017 Philippe lives! Though I'm not sure the center of circulation will still be defined at Boston's latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 A friend of mind made a good point about the winds. He asked me when the last time we had widespread gusts over 40mph though the region and I honestly couldn't remember. It's been a while. He said all the branches hanging by a thread and weak trees waiting to fall could do some damage. 40mph winds with leafed out trees is a lot different than bare trees in the winter also. We're in a pretty good spot for nw flow behind the storm. Mid level max overhead tomorrow night and everything I've seen for the last few days looks pretty good for mixing gusts down. We never do that well with southerly gales. W-NW winds probably make up over 90% of out HWAs and HWWs. It's gonna be rockin Sunday night. There will be some power outages. Not widespread or anything but this storm will leave some sort of mark on the region. I'm looking forward to the winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 15 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: A friend of mind made a good point about the winds. He asked me when the last time we had widespread gusts over 40mph though the region and I honestly couldn't remember. It's been a while. He said all the branches hanging by a thread and weak trees waiting to fall could do some damage. 40mph winds with leafed out trees is a lot different than bare trees in the winter also. We're in a pretty good spot for nw flow behind the storm. Mid level max overhead tomorrow night and everything I've seen for the last few days looks pretty good for mixing gusts down. We never do that well with southerly gales. W-NW winds probably make up over 90% of out HWAs and HWWs. It's gonna be rockin Sunday night. There will be some power outages. Not widespread or anything but this storm will leave some sort of mark on the region. I'm looking forward to the winds. HWA... High Wind Advisory? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 This front hasn’t moved an inch all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Finally get to peak color, and a day later wind and rain knock all the leaves down. Just when you (finally) don't want rain.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 3 minutes ago, George BM said: HWA... High Wind Advisory? I thinks it's actually just a wind advisory and not high wind advisory. I know the criteria pretty well. Advisories are sustained 31-39 or gusts from 45-58. Warnings are sustained 40+ or gusts above 58. I'm not 100% sure but that's pretty close. We should get advisory criteria no problem. Warning much less likely but possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 34 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I thinks it's actually just a wind advisory and not high wind advisory. I know the criteria pretty well. Advisories are sustained 31-39 or gusts from 45-58. Warnings are sustained 40+ or gusts above 58. I'm not 100% sure but that's pretty close. We should get advisory criteria no problem. Warning much less likely but possible Gotcha. To answer your friend's question. The last time we had widespread wind gusts over 40 mph was probably the February 12-13th event this year. It started of as an April 2nd, 2016-like low-topped convection squall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 23 minutes ago, George BM said: Gotcha. To answer your friend's question. The last time we had widespread wind gusts over 40 mph was probably the February 12-13th event this year. It started of as an April 2nd, 2016-like low-topped convection squall. Yeah, that stands as my highest recorded gust in 6 years with my PWS. I actually woke up from the wind buffeting our brick house and causing some sort of pressure differential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
motsco Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 obs so far it’s pretty darn nice out right now. 61/54 imby 9:30 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 12 minutes ago, motsco said: obs so far it’s pretty darn nice out right now. 61/54 imby 9:30 pm Ditto for MBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Windy sprinkles on the way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Front is C R A W L I N G east, maybe 30-40 miles in last 6 hours. Last two hours the rain with it has made my neighborhood, slightly over 3/4 inch in those two hours. Temp is 55.4/54.2 and wind SSE at 7 so front NOT through here yet. Where it has passed, Beckley and Bluefield have both fell back into the 30's already as of 11 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Just now, losetoa6 said: @wxdude64 thanks for the update man ! No problem! I'd say y'all up northeast better have things tied down and buttoned up for tomorrow afternoon and evening! Still pouring here, getting close to overflowing the CoCoRaHS inner gauge looking at it on back deck so closing in on an inch now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Ukie looks basically the same as the euro with track and strength. Very good consistency with euro/ukie. Won't know until it happens but the gfs looks like it's going to not perform well with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 5 hours ago, Bob Chill said: A friend of mind made a good point about the winds. He asked me when the last time we had widespread gusts over 40mph though the region and I honestly couldn't remember. It's been a while. He said all the branches hanging by a thread and weak trees waiting to fall could do some damage. 40mph winds with leafed out trees is a lot different than bare trees in the winter also. We're in a pretty good spot for nw flow behind the storm. Mid level max overhead tomorrow night and everything I've seen for the last few days looks pretty good for mixing gusts down. We never do that well with southerly gales. W-NW winds probably make up over 90% of out HWAs and HWWs. It's gonna be rockin Sunday night. There will be some power outages. Not widespread or anything but this storm will leave some sort of mark on the region. I'm looking forward to the winds. yea, could be kinda cool seeing the leaves flying everywhere. i don't remember the last big wind storm here either. big wind is not a part of the weather we do particularly well here aside from localized severe weather, but sounds like the bike/hike trails could be messy on tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Nice slug of moisture headed towards the DC area from the south. This has the classic heavy rain maker look. Hopefully we can stack up some decent rain before the big wind hits. If we're gonna have a storm we might as we enjoy some tree damage. Maximum destruction is what we're all here for. I've seen this place when red meat is thrown in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 29, 2017 Author Share Posted October 29, 2017 0.09" as of 6AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 4 hours ago, dailylurker said: Nice slug of moisture headed towards the DC area from the south. This has the classic heavy rain maker look. Hopefully we can stack up some decent rain before the big wind hits. If we're gonna have a storm we might as we enjoy some tree damage. Maximum destruction is what we're all here for. I've seen this place when red meat is thrown in lol no thanks on the tree damage. Too many and too close to the house here. I am all in for the heavy rain though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 .10 so far. Missed round 1 basically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Been raining in Balt for a few hours . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Was the radar supposed to look like that at this point? Nice split going on now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Rain began here about 30 mins ago and its gotten heavy in the last few minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Looks like First heavy slug missed most of mont. county. maybe later today for some needed rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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