Hoth Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: And to further illustrate the horrifically awful GFS and those that bought it..here is the EP That's a nice tight cluster. At what point do we put ensembles away and focus more on op runs? Pretty soon I'd think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 Where I live any winds above 35mph are impressive. Hopefully this doesn’t disappoint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Where I live any winds above 35mph are impressive. Hopefully this doesn’t disappoint lol it's probably gonna disappoint...these usually do. But we'll see if this is the exception, rather than the rule?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Where I live any winds above 35mph are impressive. Hopefully this doesn’t disappoint I hope you're referring to sustained winds and not the random gust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: lol it's probably gonna disappoint...these usually do. But we'll see if this is the exception, rather than the rule?? Winds tend to suck here but this has a chance of not doing so. Winds look impressive above the deck, how much will they mix down is the question..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 On my way out the door to sit in a tree. First real day today hopefully the deer move. Sent from my SM-G955U using TapatalkGood luck today! Opener is tomorrow up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 Never could understand the fascination of sitting in a tree all day praying I spot a deer. I tried it once, I was ready to shoot myself and not the deer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Never could understand the fascination of sitting in a tree all day praying I spot a deer. I tried it once, I was ready to shoot myself and not the deer. I prefer a duck blind myself, but to each his own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 Should make for some pretty crazy football games. Eagles at home in Philly at 1. Jets at home in NY at 1. Pats at home at 1. Pats game probably just finishes up before it gets nasty. NY and Philly are another story though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 36 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Never could understand the fascination of sitting in a tree all day praying I spot a deer. I tried it once, I was ready to shoot myself and not the deer. Sitting in the woods early on then walking them is awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Winds tend to suck here but this has a chance of not doing so. Winds look impressive above the deck, how much will they mix down is the question..... They look impressive many times off the deck...the issue is they very rarely get mixed down it seems(along the coast different story) for us inland folks. I'm very skeptical on whether this is different? That's why I said it'll most likely disappoint to Hoarfrosthubb...cuz they usually do. But Time will tell, maybe this one is one of the few exceptions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 Pretty impressive. Obv just above our heads in CT: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Sitting in the woods early on then walking them is awesome. Probably will have to walk once the sun goes to work tomorrow. For deer in winter fur, the progged high of 60 would be like us going out on a warm July day wearing a wool overcoat over our regular clothes. Critters will seek the shade. (And if it's clear tonight, the leaves will freeze and sound like walking on potato chips tomorrow morning.) "Where I live any winds above 35mph are impressive. Hopefully this doesn’t disappoint " I hope you're referring to sustained winds and not the random gust. Last time I experienced sustained 35+ was 1991, with Bob. though last March came close. in the 19+ years here, I've had one gust over 50 (maybe over 60 as well), June 12, 2005. Just not a real windy place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 43 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Pretty impressive. Obv just above our heads in CT: Oh yes it is pretty impressive...does it get down to the surface?? Many/most times it does not...something always seems to save us from a big wind event it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 1 minute ago, tamarack said: Probably will have to walk once the sun goes to work tomorrow. For deer in winter fur, the progged high of 60 would be like us going out on a warm July day wearing a wool overcoat over our regular clothes. Critters will seek the shade. (And if it's clear tonight, the leaves will freeze and sound like walking on potato chips tomorrow morning.) "Where I live any winds above 35mph are impressive. Hopefully this doesn’t disappoint " I hope you're referring to sustained winds and not the random gust. Last time I experienced sustained 35+ was 1991, with Bob. though last March came close. in the 19+ years here, I've had one gust over 50 (maybe over 60 as well), June 12, 2005. Just not a real windy place. I typically will sit until 10-10:30 or so, Game cam has shown deer moving thru my area at and around the 9-10:00 am range and again around 5:30-6:00 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Oh yes it is pretty impressive...does it get down to the surface?? Many/most times it does not...something always seems to save us from a big wind event it seems. If we can keep the sfc warm enough and maybe throw in a little convective rain, we could see some pretty good gusts mix down. We start fighting the penchant for inversions this late in the season...so you want to see variables that may help keep the inversions either weaker or overcome them. We had an event in late October 2006 during the SNE wx conference that had a LLJ below 900mb of over 100 knots and it ended up being a disappointment...but we all still went outside at the site and heard the jet engines roaring overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Pretty impressive. Obv just above our heads in CT: Keep in mind that's kph...so knots are a hair more than half those numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Keep in mind that's kph...so knots are a hair more than half those numbers. yea, 0.54 then multiply by 1.15 = mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: yea, 0.54 then multiply by 1.15 = mph Figured you saw that, but I'm sure some will see those maps and start running with 100kt at 925. It's a littler weird to see kph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 i've always been a fan of centimeters per second Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Figured you saw that, but I'm sure some will see those maps and start running with 100kt at 925. It's a littler weird to see kph. Or just weeniply kph by 0.63 lol. Not sure why mid levels are kph and surface is mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 27, 2017 Author Share Posted October 27, 2017 Everything seems to have trended a smidge weaker overnight. Euro and UKMet now ~980 hpa close to NYC vs low 970s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Or just weeniply kph by 0.63 lol. Not sure why mid levels are kph and surface is mph. Still impressive though. That's also wind, not gusts.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 Seems that is usually the trend as we close in...models are many times over zealous with their strength three, four plus days out, then come back to reality as we close in. Not surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Everything seems to have trended a smidge weaker overnight. Euro and UKMet now ~980 hpa close to NYC vs low 970s. Will winds be a case of pure mb strength though? 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: Still impressive though. That's also wind, not gusts.... Agree, sustained above looks potent. Ginx and dit may get their wish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Will winds be a case of pure mb strength though? Agree, sustained above looks potent. Ginx and dit may get their wish. Just give me 5-10 gusts over 65mph. That’s all I’ll ask Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Seems that is usually the trend as we close in...models are many times over zealous with their strength three, four plus days out, then come back to reality as we close in. Not surprising. They tend to seek out perfect atmosheric conditions in big storms and over simulate it at this lead time. They do it with hurricanes too. Once in a while though it becomes reality. But banking on it, you might as well just move in with James and write a novel together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 27, 2017 Author Share Posted October 27, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just give me 5-10 gusts over 65mph. That’s all I’ll ask Doubtful you'll see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 2 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Pretty impressive. Obv just above our heads in CT: On Monday you and I can post about how the wind sounded like a freight train in the sky but just a rickshaw at ground level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 6 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: On Monday you and I can post about how the wind sounded like a freight train in the sky but just a rickshaw at ground level. Yea. But you can see it not wanting to crank the wind even at 2.3k up, near the low, in sw ct already. I’d have to go to BDR to hear the jets above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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