Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Nice you're already gusting higher than GON. You'll do well then in Tolland. They’ve been gusting 35-39 ct coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: They’ve been gusting 35-39 ct coast Ahh ok yeah I'm only able to look at the reported observations, not what is actually going on. Good to know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 God I miss WxBell. This meso low is like a little stinger. It's an extremely small but vicious little bugger. It tracks over RI up into E MA and gives that area 50-70kt gusts on the models, then in the sweet spot on Cape Islands, 70-90... So many different facets to the system. There's the original winds from the big continental low. Average stuff that is for Western areas producing rain now. When that deepens, looks like heavy rain and possibly convection lifts nearly due north over the area, mixing down high gusts for the interior and eastern portions. Then the meso low comes in as final shot tracking over SE MA and into Maine coast. Really think of it as three different bouts of wind almost. First is meh, second is substantial, third is major. Third is the most questionable. Anytime you see 90mph wind gusts you raise a flag and you should be skeptical. But if there's convection, all bets are off. Just know that the most severe winds are limited to SE MA, Islands, Cape Cod, Cape Ann, and some portions of the E MA coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 GON is 15G23kt. Not quite 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2017 Author Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: GON is 15G23kt. Not quite 30s. Yeah there was a STamford mesonet 35-40. The OXC AWOS gusted to 30 knots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ahh ok yeah I'm only able to look at the reported observations, not what is actually going on. Good to know. Yeah it’s all good man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: GON is 15G23kt. Not quite 30s. Looks like widespread 35-39 down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Maybe I am in the wrong spot on the coast, but I've hardly seen a gust over 15mph. A lot of rain but it's been very calm here. Perhaps things will change soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah it’s all good man Nice glad one station got up to that so far. Good luck. Sorry if I'm a wet rag, I just hate using one ob to say the "coast is 35-39" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Just now, Sn0waddict said: Maybe I am in the wrong spot on the coast, but I've hardly seen a gust over 10mph. A lot of rain but it's been very calm here. Perhaps things will change soon. And the "where is the wind" posts have begun as Will predicted. Still hours away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: And the "where is the wind" posts have begun as Will predicted. Still hours away. Don't doubt the storm at all, just posting my obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Whatever these tropical lows do..I feel like we may see a variety of conditions. I feel like those lows will screw around the winds. If you are east, you rip, if west..it's heavy rain. It's not a high confidence situation for those winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1" of rain today, the heavier stuff was south and west of here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 4 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: And the "where is the wind" posts have begun as Will predicted. Still hours away. I’m already getting messages about fail and bust. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2017 Author Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m already getting messages about fail and bust. Lol. It still could bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 The winds are increasing as my dad and I drop off my brother at the naval station in Newport, Ri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m already getting messages about fail and bust. Lol. A lot of areas might see highest gusts on the backside, well inland. But this looks pretty damn interesting right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 That disco is an all-timer. Wind is definitely rising here now. Definitely stronger when it rains hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-68.17,37.81,2104 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kbc360 Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 I usually limit my posts to winter interaction with Ginx, but as a fire chief in NE CT this one has me concerned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 From radar it appears eastern areas make up for lost time soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 0.00" of rain. Winds in the mid 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Winds are gusty here in Newport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 7 minutes ago, CT Rain said: It still could bust. Not with such unanimous model agreement. The one thing that “may” happen is instead of it being over such massive areas it could be a bit more sporadic under convective elements. Another words everyone gusts 55, but only some hit 65-70+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Sky looks nasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, kbc360 said: I usually limit my posts to winter interaction with Ginx, but as a fire chief in NE CT this one has me concerned I work at a utility company and we are in storm mode here, definitely concerned. All about the wind, which could be bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Whatever these tropical lows do..I feel like we may see a variety of conditions. I feel like those lows will screw around the winds. If you are east, you rip, if west..it's heavy rain. It's not a high confidence situation for those winds. That meso-low going into SE MA is going to crank for you guys. West of it is not nearly as robust but you can see how tight that core is on the HRRR...like one county size of insane wind riding east of that meso. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Just now, powderfreak said: That meso-low going into SE MA is going to crank for you guys. West of it is not nearly as robust but you can see how tight that core is on the HRRR...like one county size of insane wind riding east of that meso. I'm not sure it goes as far west as, say, here. Probably best shot Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2017 Author Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Not with such unanimous model agreement. The one thing that “may” happen is instead of it being over such massive areas it could be a bit more sporadic under connective elements. Another words everyone gusts 55, but only some hit 65-70+ I could totally see gusts only 40-45 if the mini low east develops and we wedge some. Wouldn't take much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2017 Author Share Posted October 29, 2017 5 minutes ago, kbc360 said: I usually limit my posts to winter interaction with Ginx, but as a fire chief in NE CT this one has me concerned Which town are you in? Let us know how things look! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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