CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Rgem is silly for ern ct on NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Reggie absolutely destroys most of CT on east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Reggie absolutely destroys most of CT on east Pic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Take a look at the GOES 16. Philippe is moving east not northeast. Wonder how this might affect the main low? Stronger south winds without any secondary system just to our south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 45 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Always lowball ! Never get excited!! There's a difference between excitement and forecasting. Emotions and operational forecasts don't mix. Im thinking sustained 20s with gusts to 50mph for most of the interior. Good luck with your calls of 70+ outside the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 20 minutes ago, Hoth said: Starting to get that baroclinic leaf look. Reminds me a touch of Jan '15. You can see the emerging cloud head over eastern NC at the inflection point where the upper vortmax is impinging on the baroclinic zone. It's always awesome to watch this happen in real time instead of just crude MetEd simulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, db306 said: Pic? Brings Phillie up into NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 26 minutes ago, WxBlue said: Lowballing and adjusting upward when warranted is better than crying wolf over and over. This isn't new in weather forecasting. its a synoptic wind event in interior New England. It could be decent and we'll see what the obs show when all is done. Trees down doesn't mean 60+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Enjoy easterners, southerners and most of NE. For GC, looks a bit meh. We look forward to pictures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Should be a nice night at Rockport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: There's a difference between excitement and forecasting. Emotions and operational forecasts don't mix. Im thinking sustained 20s with gusts to 50mph for most of the interior. PF, that would be a fairly strong fall/winter storm event but nothing really out of the ordinary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Look at those weenie lows and how models struggle. You need to be easy to get the good winds. Otherwise it's 40-50 stuff. This is why it's a difficult call on where the uber stuff is. Compare the RGEM and 3 KM NAM. You'll see what I mean. Those meso lows will reduce the LLJ on west side, but you'll have absurd rain rates to compensate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Enjoy easterners, southerners and most of NE. For GC, looks a bit meh. We look forward to pictures. I don't mind if we get meh'. Don't really want power out or a tree on our new roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Almost tempted to take a drive to the beach after midnight to check things out but a little concerned about downed limbs on the roads. Anyway, a decent wind event looks likely here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Wow. 12z GFS 925mb winds went way up. Looks more NAM like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Brings Phillie up into NYC Lol! A quite literal screenshot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Gfs 968mb in ny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Brings Phillie up into NYC Correct me if I'm wrong, other mets, but that's not really Philippe. Energy is transferring from Philippe into the developing baroclinic low just to north of it throughout this afternoon. 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: This isn't new in weather forecasting. its a synoptic wind event in interior New England. It could be decent and we'll see what the obs show when all is done. Trees down doesn't mean 60+. I agree. While it should be a decent event, I'm not sure it's worth hyping it too much and expecting crazy winds of over 60 mph outside peaks. We'll see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Holy gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Between 03z and 06z the GFS goes ape**** over EMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Tickling 90kts at 925mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Holy rain here...just pounding!! Definitely wasn't expecting the rain this heavy this early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 11 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Holy rain here...just pounding!! Definitely wasn't expecting the rain this heavy this early. Ya....been a steady train of rain here as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Holy gfs Yeah lol. That's nuts. Blizzy may get his wish of no roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Starting to monitor the track of Phillipe. Some models are now tracking that over EMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 36 minutes ago, dendrite said: Should be a nice night at Rockport. Pit2 ftw! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Not a good sign for us who like our structures intact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Over/Under for KFIT highest gust? I’m going with 46mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 46 minutes ago, dendrite said: Should be a nice night at Rockport. Plum Island, Mass FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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