CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Thanks Rjay. Man some of the models go nuts on ext SE MA and the Cape as Philipe gets wrapped into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 48 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: That's always the safe bet--anything over 35 on it is a win. Also, the high will likely be tomorrow afternoon. Seeing 22 pages in this thread speaks volumes of how little people get excited by wind. A couple weeks from now, the prospect of 6" of snow will garner more board activity than this storm. That said, I'm looking forward to some good gusts even if they will pale compared to coast. I'm excited by wind... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I'm excited by wind... Most interior folk don't understand it since wx is boring there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Most interior folk don't understand it since wx is boring there. Glad we don't live there. Sitting at 400' at GYX tomorrow night around 2 AM should be fun. Most forecast soundings are mixing down 50 knots. Hell the NAM pokes MWN into the stratosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Most interior folk don't understand it since wx is boring there. I understand it. This is the most excited I have been in many many many years. Gonna be special BOX regionwide HWW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I understand it. This is the most excited I have been in many many many years. Gonna be special BOX regionwide HWW You do this and always get disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: You do this and always get disappointed. What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I understand it. This is the most excited I have been in many many many years. Gonna be special BOX regionwide HWW Setting up for some disappointed weenies. I think there's an outside shot at the westerlies getting close to HWW criteria. If things can trend like the NAM, with a core of 50-55 knots at 850 mb Monday afternoon there's a chance. Otherwise, I don't think the interior does it on the LLJ alone. They will need some help from a gravity wave or convection, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Winds tomorrow aftn could gust 50-55 or a tick higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You do this and always get disappointed. It's time to get excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Looks like the last time we issued a hurricane force wind watch was Feb 2013. I can't find one before that (not sure how long that has been a product). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Looks like the last time we issued a hurricane force wind watch was Feb 2013. I can't find one before that (not sure how long that has been a product). Weren't we told this was an SNE event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Just now, MaineJayhawk said: Weren't we told this was an SNE event? Emphatically. Right now I'm thinking the biggest wind potential could be with the Philippe leftovers, around Penobscot bay. I'm feeling pretty good about a G70KT at Matinicus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 11 minutes ago, Snow88 said: It's time to get excited I'm speaking about Kevin...not my thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Emphatically. Right now I'm thinking the biggest wind potential could be with the Philippe leftovers, around Penobscot bay. I'm feeling pretty good about a G70KT at Matinicus. You and James can be connected by one... storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: I'm speaking about Kevin...not my thoughts. LOL Time to go back to bed. Just woke up to see the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: You and James can be connected by one... storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 This looks like quite the wind event in much of the area. The whole Phillipe aspect throws a wrench into the Cape and perhaps ext ern areas. But most of the area will gust 45-60. Maybe spot 70 Cape Ane and parts of cstl MA..esp Cape Cod. If we get those conv cells zipping nwd...those will have the big gusts over 60-70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: You and James looking at max gust product? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 CT coast..esp east of HVN could gust 70 too. Ginx will be perched on top of the museum tower like Lt Dan on a boat mast from Forest Gump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: You and James looking at max gust product? We'll meet in the middle at Jeffrey's Ledge for the 100 mph gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Tolland probably as good as any in int CT to gust 50-60 on that hill. Maybe more if some cells bring winds down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: This looks like quite the wind event in much of the area. The whole Phillipe aspect throws a wrench into the Cape and perhaps ext ern areas. But most of the area will gust 45-60. Maybe spot 70 Cape Ane and parts of cstl MA..esp Cape Cod. If we get those conv cells zipping nwd...those will have the big gusts over 60-70. Honestly, Philippe may muck up winds around PWM. Almost eye-like. It just does enough interference to shift from the intense SE LLJ to the newly developing wind max east of Philippe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Tolland probably as good as any in int CT to gust 50-60 on that hill. Maybe more if some cells bring winds down. I think inland the best chance in convection, or with the low bombing out some gravity wave temporarily popping in the inversion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Honestly, Philippe may muck up winds around PWM. Almost eye-like. It just does enough interference to shift from the intense SE LLJ to the newly developing wind max east of Philippe. I was thinking that yesterday too. Some of the models had these meso lows temporally increasing/decreasing winds.It might only do it in a small area and preceding that should be some good winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Tolland probably as good as any in int CT to gust 50-60 on that hill. Maybe more if some cells bring winds down. My gut feeling is 65-68 here . Just based on past screamers of much less magnitude and how anomalous this is. Not being a weenie. Just years of watching . I really think a lot of people are going to be very surprised . Both here and the general public . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Of course the euro will win on a rain/wind storm here but can’t sniff out a snowstorm for chit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Calm before the storm here. I have a good south exposure looking down the Willimantic River Valley south of Stafford so it should be interesting how the wind goes here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Heres the next frame for the Rex Ryan wind fetishes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 I'd love to see this storm prove me wrong on winds. It just seems like TAN can't get anything above the low 50s with gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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