USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Models are clearly edging towards a separate entity with Philippe, he might actually bring his own winds and hit Cape Cod as a tropical cyclone. Wow our hurricane landfall occurs in October, late OCT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Instead of sitting behind the computer all day i spent mine in the woods, I don't get wood for wind because it typically under performs,Thanks Amen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Models are clearly edging towards a separate entity with Philippe, he might actually bring his own winds and hit Cape Cod as a tropical cyclone. Wow our hurricane landfall occurs in October, late OCT. Weeks of darkness will fall on Cape Cod MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 5 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Models are clearly edging towards a separate entity with Philippe, he might actually bring his own winds and hit Cape Cod as a tropical cyclone. Wow our hurricane landfall occurs in October, late OCT. Its not going to be a hurricane. Stop it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Amen. Unless it comes with +SN................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its not going to be a hurricane. Stop it. Ok, then where do the hurricane force winds the models are showing come from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Gfs is wrong Gefs is close to NJ You sound the same way you did when I tried to tell you that you weren't getting 2' in Jan 2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Ok, then where do the hurricane force winds the models are showing come from? Symptomatic of one of your plethora of diagnosis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You sound the same way you did when I tried to tell you that you weren't getting 2' in Jan 2015. That was obvious once the models showed it shifting east three days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Ok, then where do the hurricane force winds the models are showing come from? From here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: That was obvious once the models showed it shifting east three days out. The Euro gave NYC a blizzard at the 11th hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Actually Ray, and dryslot, the winds at 850mb are above 100 knots on the GFS and NAM with the TS Philippe entity when he arrives south of ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Unless it comes with +SN................. Even then....that's why I check out once its clear we won't see snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Actually Ray, and dryslot, the winds at 850mb are above 100 knots on the GFS and NAM with the TS Philippe entity when he arrives south of ACK. Stay safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Beans tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Weeks of darkness will fall on Cape Cod MA. Expecting total power grid failure from 40mph wind gusts here in Enfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 4 minutes ago, klw said: Beans tonight? A Saturday tradition growing up to go with the weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The Euro gave NYC a blizzard at the 11th hour. Ya. And it didnt with Jan 16 at the 11th hour. It’s a great tool but one can get chafed dry humping it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Just now, Sugarloaf1989 said: Expecting total power grid failure from 40mph wind gusts here in Enfield. Think we do better...50 to 55 is my guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 4 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Actually Ray, and dryslot, the winds at 850mb are above 100 knots on the GFS and NAM with the TS Philippe entity when he arrives south of ACK. Can you please post that picture? Also, psst-850 mb isn’t 1000 mb-which is your elevation. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its not going to be a hurricane. Stop it. Somebody will get confirmed hurricane gusts but I'm skeptical of the wind progs. I going with an under of 45mph on MPM Davis which is usually linked up on wunderground. Yeah, i'll get gas for the generator in the morning but that's just cuz I'm like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 go to the sounding product for coolwx.com for the location of CHH, you will see the wind lower levels, and it shows 100 knot winds at 850mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Cane gusts on Ack and Chatham aren't that anomalous...that wouldn't suprise me. ..even for a good deal of the cape. But we aren't sustaining cane force...or gusting to 100mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Think we do better...50 to 55 is my guess Being in a valley, I'm not expecting much in the way of high winds, but hopefully not another 6" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 surface winds are 40 knots sustained on the 00z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Somebody will get confirmed hurricane gusts but I'm skeptical of the wind progs. I going with an under of 45mph on MPM Davis which is generally linked up on wunderground. Yeah, i'll get gas for the generator in the morning but that's just cuz I'm like that. Agree, It will be localized but can't predict where at this lead, But reading some on here you would think its going to affect the CONUS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: go to the sounding product for coolwx.com for the location of CHH, you will see the wind lower levels, and it shows 100 knot winds at 850mb. Unless ma nature just popped a Mt Washington sized erection on a sand dune, who cares. Its probably overdone, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Cane gusts on Ack and Chatham aren't that anomalous...that wouldn't suprise me. ..even for a good deal of the cape. But we aren't sustaining cane force...or gusting to 100mph. I am not expecting 100mph plus winds here Ray, I was just pointing out that the NAM got stronger at 850mb, and they are attached to the post tropical low of Philippe when he arrives over our area tomorrow night into Monday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: surface winds are 40 knots sustained on the 00z NAM Hurricane in your brain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Think we do better...50 to 55 is my guess I will be impressed if there are reports of 50 + gusts in the CTRV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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