LoveSN+ Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: True story. Fun now casting, wish it wasn't happening in the middle of the night. No kidding. If these big gusts were to verify it would be nice if it was at least light outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 13 minutes ago, weathafella said: I thInk stop because what happened power and tree wise in 2011 was entirely snow related. Wind is not solid material-or another way of putting it is not the crystallized form of any matter. I think it was because people were without power for up to a week in Oct 2011....no way this rivals that storm for region wide power outages and duration. Heavy wet snow will win over wind any day of the week unless it's a Nov 1950 type storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 it's not impossible that Phillipe could just maintain identity and actually game strength as it lifts astride the EC... and if the NAM were not correct about the intensity while perhaps correct about the track it hooks into CT ... there's your wind field blast right there. And after all this, we flat out get whacked by a strong TS. Thing is, those types of exotic ...or perhaps 'unexpected' results cannot be discounted just yet. There's time ...that thing down there is going over 15 hours of 82 to 85 F water in a favorable SRS given to the fact that it's moving smartly along in the environmental flow. It's a weird verkokte scenario.. There's kinematics there supporting intensifying coastal cyclogenesis then to have that plausibly embedded - to which that much appears destined at this point. But where and what - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 GFS soundings at 36hr have 40kt at 950mb here with 24kt at the sfc which is only 953mb. That looks pretty damn windy here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 26 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I think it was because people were without power for up to a week in Oct 2011....no way this rivals that storm for region wide power outages and duration. Heavy wet snow will win over wind any day of the week unless it's a Nov 1950 type storm. I doubt this can match this ob from 1950. METAR KCON 260600Z 04054KT 2SM -RA FG 09/08 A//// RMK SLP020 P0009 T00890078 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS soundings at 36hr have 40kt at 950mb here with 24kt at the sfc which is only 953mb. That looks pretty damn windy here. GFS is twice as windy as the NAM up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 I would love the wind to cause all sorts of issues in eastern Mass forcing me to not drive to Boston on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 31 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I think it was because people were without power for up to a week in Oct 2011....no way this rivals that storm for region wide power outages and duration. Heavy wet snow will win over wind any day of the week unless it's a Nov 1950 type storm. I had 10 days without power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 17 minutes ago, dendrite said: I doubt this can match this ob from 1950. METAR KCON 260600Z 04054KT 2SM -RA FG 09/08 A//// RMK SLP020 P0009 T00890078 How do you even find these? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 18 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: How do you even find these? Wunderground has some of the old obs converted to METAR METAR KBOS 260500Z 11052KT 11/2SM SHRA CLR 12/10 A//// RMK SLP006 P0004 T01170100 METAR KBTV 260500Z 14052KT 3SM TSRA SQ CLR 09/07 A//// RMK SLP973 P0007 T00940072 METAR KHFD 260200Z 16052KT 11/2SM RA SQ CLR 13/13 A//// RMK SLP966 P0034 T01330128 METAR KGFL 260200Z 07054KT 3SM -SHRA SQ CLR M/M A//// RMK SLP966 T//////// Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 18z rgem consolidates the convection on the east side and really plows it into sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 18z gefs is into SNJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: 18z gefs is into SNJ Game, set, match, Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 42 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: I had 10 days without power. Apparently there's a very real chance that hits ya again. Get the genny ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, Hoth said: Game, set, match, Euro. Eps was even further south than the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 So, you're saying we are all going to die? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 I don't think the gefs is into NJ. It looks like more like NYC or western Li to me...not that I think it's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Depending on how models look in the morning i just might have to start the generator... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Apparently there's a very real chance that hits ya again. Get the genny ready. Doubtful here in Enfield, where I live now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 1 hour ago, moneypitmike said: I would love the wind to cause all sorts of issues in eastern Mass forcing me to not drive to Boston on Monday. I'd like the entire state to be without power for weeks. I have some wood to sell... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, kdxken said: I'd like the entire state to be without power for weeks. I have some wood to sell... MPM is impressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 34 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Doubtful here in Enfield, where I live now. It’s very likely you’re out and possibly an extended period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Anyone else in the Amherst/Hadley/Belchertown area hearing what sounds like thunder? Been almost constant for the past few minutes. Nothing happening at UMass. Weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 21 minutes ago, dendrite said: MPM is impressed. Oh that's nothing, another quadrant : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 5 minutes ago, kdxken said: Oh that's nothing, another quadrant : Either you have a hydraulic splitter or shoulders like Dwayne Johnson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: Either you have a hydraulic splitter or shoulders like Dwayne Johnson. Both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 12z models for Philippe, one does not look like the others: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 By the way, what is going to be happening there at the mesoscale level down there near Cape Hatteras? Convectively generated low, away from the synoptic low in Virginia? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2017 Author Share Posted October 29, 2017 1 minute ago, qg_omega said: 12z models for Philippe, one does not look like the others: Do we know if this chart is accurately depicting the ECMWF’s Philippe’s track or is it honing in on the baroclinic low forming north of EYW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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