CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 Just now, dendrite said: Nice censoring there. *Test* Cucumber I did that lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: I did that lol. Thanks for trying not to offend any fragile snowflakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 Just now, dendrite said: Thanks for trying not to offend any fragile snowflakes. Just wait until we get the man snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 29 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Tossed Right... that's how meteorology work... /s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 gfs is reasonable, precip wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 I’d just like an answer as to why typically mets toss it, but in this case are saying it’s correct ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, WxBlue said: Right... that's how meteorology work... /s I have a feeling you'll love Kevin this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I’d just like an answer as to why typically mets toss it, but in this case are saying it’s correct ? It's looks reasonable. Why would I toss a reasonable solution? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: It's looks reasonable. Why would I toss a reasonable solution? And everything else looks unreasonable? What if it showed a tucked in bomb like 12z Ukie? Would it be unreasonable? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I have a feeling you'll love Kevin this winter. I can already tell he'll be fun to have around. 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’d just like an answer as to why typically mets toss it, but in this case are saying it’s correct ? To me, I never get the term "tossing it" for models. I believe elite forecasters are those who are good at using all tools available to them and making a forecast on a blend of these tools instead of favoring one or two models over everything else. It's not impossible for this sou'easter to track right in middle between Euro and GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’d just like an answer as to why typically mets toss it, but in this case are saying it’s correct ? Ryan didn't say it was correct, only that it's reasonable. Many times the GFS doesn't make sense with regard to synoptic set ups...but this time/run it does, and I think that's what Ryan was eluding to. Doesn't mean that its correct and that's going to happen, but it's a reasonable idea at the moment. Maybe the Euro caves toward the GFS or maybe not??? How can you toss something that isn't outlandish at 3 plus days out? If anything, I'd toss the model runs that show Hurricane force winds for inland areas/and big chunk of the area. Sure, it could happen, but how likely is that?? Those runs should be kept in mind, but not banked on at this point imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: but not banked on at this point imo. Scooters spank bank? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 GFS does look synotically reasonable and pretty familiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 In an Hour the Euro will be very interesting..... If this thing can bundle/phase all the energy, it would be a monster for sure.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 Surge issues up the bays if the EURO verified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Just wait until we get the man snow. All about the size of that QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: More rain than Irene on the 6z GFS. Don't need that. Some of the bridges that were washed out in GC have yet to been replaced--and probably won't be, I reckon. We soak here. Pit2 ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 26 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Surge issues up the bays if the EURO verified Fortunately it's coming about halfway between new and full moons, so the surge won't be building from the high end of the lunar tide cycle. Too early to check the tables to see if when the surge hits within the daily cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 UKie is 970 ish over NYC and up HRV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: UKie is 970 ish over NYC and up HRV With a secondary popping off the Carolinas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: UKie is 970 ish over NYC and up HRV That would be a big hit for SNE...that's a big storm as depicted for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: UKie is 970 ish over NYC and up HRV With all of the leaves that are still on the trees here I'm thinking it's too bad that I don't have a generator. It's tough to flush when the power is out and the well pump can't work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: With a secondary popping off the Carolinas? Maybe more of both pieces of energy not coming completely together/phasing rather than a secondary?? Or not lol??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: gfs is reasonable, precip wise. Area wide 1-2"s? Or more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 5 minutes ago, gravitylover said: With all of the leaves that are still on the trees here I'm thinking it's too bad that I don't have a generator. It's tough to flush when the power is out and the well pump can't work Every homeowner in NE should have one. We live in a dangerous area and in dangerous times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, BRSno said: Area wide 1-2"s? Or more? Looks 2-4” for most with some higher amounts up in the north country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Every homeowner in NE should have one. We live in a dangerous area and in dangerous times. Don't forget about the underground shelter for tornadoes and hurricanes and a well for devastating droughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 19 minutes ago, gravitylover said: With all of the leaves that are still on the trees here I'm thinking it's too bad that I don't have a generator. It's tough to flush when the power is out and the well pump can't work Buckets under the eves? (With a rock in each so they don't blow away.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 3 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Don't forget about the underground shelter for tornadoes and hurricanes and a well for devastating droughts. The crushing droughts especially...need a backup well with multiple buckets nearby to water our lawns as quickly as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2017 Share Posted October 26, 2017 Euro gearing up for something decent I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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