USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 We could see a hurricane for crying out loud Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 At least with winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: A tenor of the autumn thus far I hope folks take note of.. This is not indigenous to just our local hemispheric scope either ... there's been a tendency all over the world (really) for proficient phasing, just as the ensuing cyclone season is in its infancy this year. I suggest that is important. I just watched the evolution of a NW Atlantic hyper bomb last week that was really a fusion of a hybrid circulation remnant with a chancy buck shot polar S/W that got injected out of N Ontario. That low was down in the mid 940s mb, proper. The systems thus far (this last, and now this one as modeled) are not extinguishing momentum like they did much of last year, and the winter prior, as they come E of ~ 100 W.. They are turning the corner with heights falling, not filling ...with lesser apparent shear/absorption of wind stream velocities as their southern components traverse the TV area. That's a big deal for me. Those velocities down there were horrendously huge pretty much end to end last year and the year prior... the majority of time, and it quite literally stole a lot of kinematics from the individual waves that would/might have otherwise been more proficient cyclogen entities. Perhaps this early tendency for 'less robbing' and shearing, and more energetics being conserved in the actual S/W physical presence in the flows... won't last, but, at no time for nearly 20 months did this sort of wave conservation show up this successful, so that is an interesting step in the direction of less clawing and scraping one's regions to seasonal storm frequency and vitality. ...I almost wonder if the hang-over of the super Nino is just finally minored out... whatever - I love it. The bard of AmericanWx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 53 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That was more of a nor'easter. This is different. I know there was a hybrid argument, but this situation is sort of like a rapidly developing low. Warm seclusion storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 lol, Hazey?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Bob did the graphics for Box Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Bob did the graphics for Box Look who was on the desk . Belk . Enough said . Take the lowest , close to vest approach , instead of what’s likely. Then the AM shift issues HWW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Should have just gone cat 1 winds, Always can go higher if need be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 It’s nice that they did not cut off the southern counties in CT. Makes us feel like we are part of SNE afterall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: Should have just gone cat 1 winds, Always can go higher if need be. Yeah start high and go higher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Lol...wow I'm gonna Gust to 36mph for the storm Sunday night and Monday according to that NWS Graphic. Exciting stuff there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 13 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah start high and go higher Hype sells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol...wow I'm gonna Gust to 36mph for the storm Sunday night and Monday according to that NWS Graphic. Exciting stuff there... Hot dog! Fire up the genny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 38 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Look who was on the desk . Belk . Enough said . Take the lowest , close to vest approach , instead of what’s likely. Then the AM shift issues HWW What's your call? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 1 hour ago, dryslot said: lol, Hazey?? That's a freakin' riot! where did you find that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Just now, kdxken said: What's your call? He is expecting 60+, but will end up with something like 35mph and use some beaufort exaggeration to claim roaring 50+ gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Just now, kdxken said: That's a freakin' riot! where did you find that? The guy has his own channel and does this with every storm. He is probably laughing to the bank. I'd like to see him do some live streaming model analysis with James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 1 minute ago, dendrite said: The guy has his own channel and does this with every storm. He is probably laughing to the bank. I'd like to see him do some live streaming model analysis with James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 10 minutes ago, kdxken said: That's a freakin' riot! where did you find that? Frankie MacDonald.......Hello Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 We southeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 34 minutes ago, dendrite said: The guy has his own channel and does this with every storm. He is probably laughing to the bank. I'd like to see him do some live streaming model analysis with James. Is he just acting? Or is he serious about trying to warn people lmao!! I mean you'd think the end of times was on it's way. Massatusits is how he says it lol. That had me rolling! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 4 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: A tenor of the autumn thus far I hope folks take note of.. This is not indigenous to just our local hemispheric scope either ... there's been a tendency all over the world (really) for proficient phasing, just as the ensuing cyclone season is in its infancy this year. I suggest that is important. I just watched the evolution of a NW Atlantic hyper bomb last week that was really a fusion of a hybrid circulation remnant with a chancy buck shot polar S/W that got injected out of N Ontario. That low was down in the mid 940s mb, proper. The systems thus far (this last, and now this one as modeled) are not extinguishing momentum like they did much of last year, and the winter prior, as they come E of ~ 100 W.. They are turning the corner with heights falling, not filling ...with lesser apparent shear/absorption of wind stream velocities as their southern components traverse the TV area. That's a big deal for me. Those velocities down there were horrendously huge pretty much end to end last year and the year prior... the majority of time, and it quite literally stole a lot of kinematics from the individual waves that would/might have otherwise been more proficient cyclogen entities. Perhaps this early tendency for 'less robbing' and shearing, and more energetics being conserved in the actual S/W physical presence in the flows... won't last, but, at no time for nearly 20 months did this sort of wave conservation show up this successful, so that is an interesting step in the direction of less clawing and scraping one's regions to seasonal storm frequency and vitality. ...I almost wonder if the hang-over of the super Nino is just finally minored out... whatever - Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Look who was on the desk . Belk . Enough said . Take the lowest , close to vest approach , instead of what’s likely. Then the AM shift issues HWW Looks pretty reasonable to me.....40-50mph gusts inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 47 minutes ago, dendrite said: The guy has his own channel and does this with every storm. He is probably laughing to the bank. I'd like to see him do some live streaming model analysis with James. .....Especially in Harwich, Massatootsis!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks pretty reasonable to me.....40-50mph gusts inland. 40 at EWB? Yea I will take the over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: 40 at EWB? Yea I will take the over I just meant for the interior. I agree it looks underdone in se areas... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 35 minutes ago, qg_omega said: We southeast If GON only gusts to 34 with a 970 ish going into NYC I will never question OKX again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Warm seclusion storms Yeah I just think this is a different beast going to our west. I remember that storm well. Lots of damage and unexpected too. I heard there was talk of reanalysos on that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2017 Share Posted October 28, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: If GON only gusts to 34 with a 970 ish going into NYC I will never question OKX again So Westfield higher than Groton? Ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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